Belmont October 23

Another card washed off the turf on a sloppy main track. But, as yesterday showed, there will be opportunities.

Race 1

  • 7 Piscesbymoonlight – has a high wet track rating, but has only a win and a second on a wet track. He has good early speed, and although he’s  been a little heartless in the stretch, the slight class drop could be enough to propel him to the wire.
  • 5 Wellington Wizard – never been on a wet track but has enormous wet track breeding. Dutrow has been a little snake-bit at BEL but has a big shot here.
  • 2 Call Wil – won his only race taken off the turf at TAM, although the track was listed as fast. Klesaris/Arroyo has been hitting at 25%.

Race 2

  • 1 Gypsum Johnny – drops from MSW into the claiming ranks. Didn’t break quickly enough in his last, but did show some interest in his maiden race in the slop.
  • 7 Igotthediscoinme – was coming well and fell only half a length short in his first race. Was bet in that race and that is a positive sign.
  • 4 Jacapo – Hushion trainee didn’t get out last time and raced wide around the track. Drops from MSW to MCL this race. Good wet track rating.

Race 3

  • 3 Genre – Pletcher trainee has been working steadily for debut. 8-1 ML on a Pletcher horse is odd, but enough positives to put her on top.
  • 8 Sierra Olivia – ran well in the mud last out for Pletcher. Monster wet track rating. Improvement here could get the win.
  • 5 Profess – another Mott trainee. Didn’t look great in the slop first out at MTH, improved a ton on the turf second time. Mott moved her back to the dirt and didn’t scratch in the slop.
  • 7 Summer House – showed speed last out in the mud but faded badly in the stretch. Great wet track rating and some very nice works leading up to this.

Race 4

  • 4 Golden Itiz – actually has no races on a wet track and is 0 for 10 this year, but his last four races have been on the turf, a surface he actually has had no success on. He’s done ok on the BEL dirt and has a good wet track rating. Upset possibility
  • 8 Joan’s Choice – has one win in six tries on the wet track. David Jacobson trainee ran a dull race in the mud last out, but has been fairly steady this year. Probably not value at 2-1, but has good chances.
  • 3 Conspiracy – a third in two wet track races. Contessa claimed him for $25K two back, jumped him up and brings him back down today. Like the move.
  • 1 Sacred Ground – one of the other MTOs that looks good. 8 of 12 in the money on a wet track gives his good outs here.

Race 5

  • 2 Inaflash – easily wired a $12500 field last out and switched barns to Neal Terraciano, a very low profile trainer. Not a bad wet track record, 7-1-2-1. Fast work two weeks ago, and a good work right before that.
  • 6 Coast of Sangria – claimed last out by Sydney Dutrow. Has a wet track win.
  • 8 Rettalfa – David Cannizzo claimed her last out and moves her up in price slightly. Has been consistent this year as a 4 year old.

Race 6

  • 7 My Super Nova – second in her maiden debut, came back in a state-bred stakes in the mud and ran second. Nice wet track rating.  Looks very strong here.
  • 8 First Service – raced wide around the track in her last and gave it up in the stretch. Mike Hushion has been hot lately. Has a monster wet track rating.
  • 11 Hush Now – Made a nice improvement in her second start and cuts back in distance today. Live longshot
  • 10 Barrel of Dreams – first timer for Hertler has been working well. Should like a wet track.

Race 7

  • 2 Encryption – From the Haskell to an OC$75. Seems to have trouble cracking the winner’s circle but has the best figures in the race. Have to use him.
  • 12 Againsome – 2 seconds in 2 tries on a wet track. Has been consistent this year and looks well suited for the mile.
  • 13 Jigsaw – won in the slop last out and was claimed by Linda Rice. He looks a step below Encryption, but the slop has a way of equalizing.
  • 4 Roman Approval – a win and three seconds on a wet track. Castellano/Maker 29%

Race 8

  • 1 Goodtolook – is much more suited to the 1 1/16 mile distance. Contessa gave him a couple of months off and brought him back with steady breezes. 2 for 6 wins on the wet track. 10-1 ML is an attractive price.
  • 8 Gridley Here – won last out at BEL after switching from the turf. Has run much better on the dirt, looks to be in great shape, and Rosario sticks with him.
  • 10 Cousin Michael – consistent over the spring and summer. Jacobson gave the horse two months off and jumps him up a grade. 4 for 4 in the money on the wet track, although no wins. Seems to be hard-trying every time out.
  • 3 Saturday Appeal – Lots of second place finishes, but is 2 for 6 winning on a wet track. Should be somewhere in the mix.

Race 9

  • 14 Maura’s Pass – has been turfing but improved a lot when dropped to MCL. Actually didn’t run horribly in her dirt debut.
  • 16 Roman Reign – Ran a good one in the slop last out. Seems better suited for the dirt. Off only a week, but being an old-school guy I don’t mind this trainer move.
  • 10 Ainteasybeinggreen – was off a year, came out three weeks ago and set the pace the the stretch. Speed isn’t her problem – stamina is – but perhaps the drop from MSW helps.
  • 5 Lil’ Zilla –  nothing but turf to this point, but she has been close in a few tries. Has decent figures and that may be enough for her to get a piece.