Belmont September 24

A pretty good mid-week card. Fairly full fields and competitive races. Let’s get handicapping.

Race 1

  • 7 Ave’s Halo – Claimed by David Cannizo after a win at this level, jumped him up and brings him back to the level at which he was claimed. Pressing style and competitive figures.
  • 1 Pura Vida Zen – Speedy sort should be the front runner. First time on turf but has had success on synth. Weak in the stretch on the dirt but expect her to carry speed farther on the turf.
  • 9 C C’s Pride – better on the turf. Drops into winning claiming level.

Race 2 

  • 8 Flag On the Play – drops into MCL and gets Lasix after being off for 10 months. McLaughlin high percentage with this move.
  • 5 Inca Saint – blinkers on for Chad Brown trainee. Originally had the horse, lost him and claimed him back at SAR. should be live.
  • 7 Nicholoson – Just missed at SAR. Steady runner had a couple of fast workouts in preparation for this. 
  • 1 Inception – long layoff after running a big race at Woodbine against well regarded Kaigun. Will be long odds but if he returns healthy could outclass the field.

Race 3 

  • 1 Sweet Sweet Afleet – broke out at the start, solidly bumping with rivals, bolted to the center of the track coming out of the turn, reacted badly to the whip and finally got going to finish a clear second. If she runs clear today, she is the likely winner.
  • 2 Kleptocrat – puts the blinkers on  and jumps up to MSW again. Perhaps he is strong enough to finish in this field.
  • 7 All Luv Me – takes blinkers off and makes his 9th start at this level. More likely to be in the money than win.
  • 6 Moonlight Fantasy – horrible looking race first time out, but was off slow and raced very greenly. Mike Hushion is good off the layof and has been very good so far at BEL. Could be any kind and is a must use

Race 4

  • 2 Galaroyale – has had trouble getting out of the gate but has still run competitively. With a clean break she should graduate.
  • 9 Miss Lech – in the money three of four starts, 6F should be a perfect distance. Chad Brown trainee has a good second at BEL and has worked steadily up to this race.
  • 3 Harp N Halo – exits same SAR turf race as Galaroyale and D’Kennesaw Cat. With less trouble she is highly competitive here.
  • 1 Korite – took the worst of the bumper car start and is another that can be competitive with a clean trip.
  • 4 D; Kennesaw Cat is not a likely winner, but should be used in tri’s and supers

Race 5

  • 3 Takeoff Your Hat – Steady sort always seems to make a race of it. Right there off her best effort.
  • 4 Willow U – just missed last out at SAR. Has looked more focused in her last five with the addition of blinkers.
  • 9 Take It Inside – should be the controlling speed and that makes her dangerous. High percentage trainer Michael Gorham looks to surpise the NY crowd again at long odds.
  • 5 Lady Kressa – Donk trainee has been with better and has been close in all her races. Switch to Ortiz may help.

Race 6

  • 1/1A Back Forty/Glickman – Glickman has already won at the meet and has been consistent at BEL. Back Forty the weaker of the two, but still has a high win percentage and Jacobson behind him.
  • 7 Street Shark – front running sort has won half his starts. Claimed last out by Englehart  and looms the danger.
  • 4 Regulus – Contessa runner looked like a tired horse last out but has been competitive most of the year. We’ll see if the three week rest recharges him.
  • 9 The Big Deluxe – Toscano has the four year old colt rolling on the lead. But he looks a bit heartless in the stretch. Could hang on for a piece.

Race 7

  • 2 Bio Pro – has been 7F once with a second place finish on the BEL turf. In good form off of a 2 length beat in the Grade 2 Bernard Baruch where he was steadied in the stretch.
  • 3 Golden Rifle – in his last six has four wins and two seconds. Chad Brown has him well spotted here.
  • 1A Strong Impact – slightly stronger than his entry mate. One of the two will be scratched early. Not quite the horse he was earlier in his career but still a quality runner.

Race 8

  • 7 Zindaya – broke her maiden at SAR after three good second place finishes. Hasn’t gone 6F yet but looks to be getting stronger. Lezcano stays.
  • 8 Ballerina Belle – a horse with some serious seconditis, but still can’t be counted out. Only win came on the BEL turf.
  • 9 Scatcapade – just missed at 5 1/2 last time out. Pressing style so needs to establish position and stay clear of trouble.
  • 2 Tasmona – Chad Brown trainee adds blinkers for this trip. Appears to be a little short at longer distances, but 6F should be perfect. 

Race 9

  • 7 Cody’s Notes – Looked like a winner last out but hung in the stretch. Seems to ready for a big one.
  • 12 Chasin Chama – Drops back to MCL after trying straight maidens last time. Competitive with these.
  • 11 Hushhushmushmush – another one coming back to MCL where he looked good. Brown/Ortiz combo hitting at 28%
  • 6 Fictional Character – did not like the slop last out and has had two difficult breaks in his last two. Lezcano has to put the horse in a good spot so he can do what he seems to prefer – run on in the stretch. At 10-1 an interesting longshot.
  • 10 Wake Up and Go – has been knocking around with this type for a while. Most likely in the money rather than win.
  • 13 Lotza Heat – Dangerous if he draws in