Belmont September 16

Race 1.  Redneck Gold starts as the ML favorite, but I’m not quite as taken with her as the linemaker was. I’m more inclined to look at Stella Who. She broke her maiden at AQU and jumped up to an OC $50K next out, laid off for three months, came back on the turf and lost her jockey out of the gate. This is her lowest price by far, and her figures say she is competitive. (Note: in the event of a scratch, Prove It All Night should still be considered.) Spun Cooper showed some speed at SAR after shipping from Maryland. She was grabbed out of that race by Abby Adsit who is ok first off the claim. She was consistent in Maryland and came close to her top number at the Spa.  Primary 1A-2-5  Secondary (6)

Race 2.  Hidden Vow stays at the $25K level after running a decent race at SAR last out. Positive jockey switch to Irad Ortiz. Powerful Impact makes a significant drop from OC$40K to this level. Winning rider Jose Ortiz gets back aboard for this trip. Mobridge has a good record on the BEL turf and has competitive figures. Primary 1A-4-6 Secondary (3)

Race 3.  Nothing tricky here. I took Clear the Mine over Juan and Bina mainly because of the 1 for 20 record on the part of the latter. Vulcan’s Forge ran well in an off the turf affair last out and I like that Fletcher gives him another shot on the dirt today. Primary 4-2-6  Secondary (5)

Race 4.  A number of legitimate contenders here. Ross Boss showed a lot of speed in a MSW in January at AQU and switches trainers to Peter Pugh. The drop in price should allow him to carry his speed farther. He gets first Lasix for this run. Massena was grabbed last out by John Toscano and takes a slight drop for this run. The two races at BEL gave him very competitive figures. Buckwellspent gets a good switch to Jose Ortiz and really upped his game with a couple of seconds at SAR. Primary 4-5-1  Secondary (6, 7, 9)

Race 5.  This looks like it could be an all race if you’re looking at the horizontals. Mewannarose ran well at SAR and has a win at BEL. Takes a big tumble in price, which with DJ is not a negative move. Royal Saint was claimed last out by Mike Miceli. The horse has a win and a second in two starts at BEL. Saratoga Wildcat comes off a win at SAR (naturally) and was claimed by Danny Gargan. Gargan is still a high percentage trainer first off the claim.  Primary 1-3-5  Secondary  (4)

Race 6. Always a chance for something strange in a two year old maiden race. Harlan’s Hunch ran a good race at BEL before finishing out of the money at SAR. Top figure in this race. Forge goes for Chad Brown who does very well dirt to turf. Should be the one to catch here. Toshiro gets fist Lasix after just missing in a 5.5F race on the SAR turf. Another one that should be close up early. Primary 1-8-11  Secondary (2, 6)

Race 7.  Ametrine takes a big tumble in price today and gets a nice switch to Johnny V. Figures suggest she should be best in this race. Ortiga has run well but has struggled to get back to the winners circle. Off her best race she’s a danger. It’s Two Hot Benny could be the speed here and may be hard to catch.  Primary 3-7-5  Secondary (4, 6)

Race 8.  Green Mask comes off a close second in a G2 and another close second in the Troy at Sar. Figures say 3/5 odds might be warranted. Dowse’s Beach has a good record at BEL and seems to be finally putting it all together. Life in Shambles is riding a three race win streak and while his best figures are on the dirt, he’s shown an ability to negotiate the turf. Primary 1-2-6

Race 9.  Smart Alex almost made her turf debut a winning one and winds up with the best last race figure. Queenofthechannel takes the blinkers off today. She was competitive against better before dropping to this level. Diamonds for Leah almost won an MSW, dropped to $75K and didn’t do much, and takes another drop to $40K today. Off her best she’s definitely competitive.  Primary 7-11-10  Secondary (3, 12)