Belmont September 10

Race 1. For a short field I thought there were a lot of contenders, and then I went and made the favorites the top two. Grey Glory won won convincingly last out at SAR, drops slightly in price but steps up to the next condition. Top last race figure. Boomerang Toy came to SAR and ran two strong races, winning on a day that favored speed but doing it with energy to spare. To the Victor has a lot of starts but drops to a more benign level today. Fairly consistent figures. Primary 3-5-4  Secondary (2, 6)

Race 2.  Another race with a lot of contenders. Tambourin was claimed last out by Danny Gargan and he is 23% first of the claim. The horse didn’t really get out last time but if he can replicate his first effort in America he could be the winner. Special Ops just missed at SAR and drops in price today. Good set of figures for this run. Smokey Brown is better than his 12-1 ML odds might indicate. He’s been consistent and has been competitive at BEL.  Primary  5-6-1A  Secondary (3, 4, 7)

Race 3.  The 1 and 2 look very good in here. Comfort ran a strong second to Frosted in the Whitney. Touchofstarquality has run well in restricted stakes and has figures nearly that of the top choice.  Primary 1-2  Secondary (3, 4, 5)

Race 4.  Adirondack Dancer has a good record on the BEL turf, although I’d like to see more wins and fewer seconds. Has good tactical speed and the top last race figure. Wicked Freud steps up to a route but last time Should have no problem with the stretch-out. Sanctify passed on a spot Friday for this one. Mott is generally known as a trainer who likes to race his horses into Primary  2-1A-3  Secondary  (4, 5)

Race 5.  Nothing special to look at here. Divine Interventio, Afleet Martini and Made of Steel look best and will be bet by the crowd. Primary 3-6-7

Race 6.  Another race where the favorites look best. Moonlit Garden, Berned and Blind Pool get the nod for me.

Race 7.  Ticonderoga looks best, but will likely be a heavy favorite.  Ultron had a troubled start last out, pressed the pace and faded. Still, that was a nice improvement over his first start. Kiss the Toad improved substantially when moved to a turf route. Could give the top choice a real run for the top money. Primary 6-2-9  Secondary (1, 3)

Race 8.  Startwithsilver hasn’t run a bad race in her lifetime. She didn’t break sharply in either of her SAR races but she has a win at the distance and on the BEL turf. Dangerous at her best. My Kinda Gal is another that likes BEL and the distance. Consistent figures lately.  Uncle Southern looked strong in his return to the turf and has shown well in his prior BEL efforts. Primary 6-9-3  Secondary (1, 2, 4)

Race 9. I liked Araqeel in his SAR start when he was trained by Chad Brown. He was claimed last out by Steve Asmussen but he still has the top figures in the field. Inventor’s Gate ran a good race last out at SAR. Low key connections suggest a good price may be in the offing. Ross J Dawg has only been worse than 4th once lifetime and picks up Castellano for the ride today. Data Driven is the Chad Brown entrant and may wind up going favorite. The numbers look a little lighter than the top choices here, but he wouldn’t be a surprise. Primary 5-9-4-2

Race 10.Wide open closing race. I’m looking at Louisiana Lady at 10-1 ML. Leo O’Brien isn’t the same dominant trainer of NY beds he once was, but he still has some talent. The horse had to go out fast from the inside post last time but is in a much better spot today. Unspoken Mission had all kinds of trouble last out but still only missed by 3 lengths. Very much a contender with a clean trip. Discreet Image could have been looking for a race with winners but was barely caught last out. No reason to expect a lesser effort today. Primary 6-7-9  Secondary (4, 10, 12)