Belmont July 3

Race 1      3-4-6-5

Noble Doss just missed at this distance in his first start of 2015.  Stays at the same price level. On his best day he looks like the field topper. Flash Paws won his last out at this distance. It was his best race in a while but he has strung them together in the past. Moneyinyour Pocket is dropping significantly in price from 2014. DJ hasn’t improved the horse, but if he runs some of the races we saw last year he’s a major contender. Groomedforvictory ran a good one last out. Last two starts have shown major improvement.

Race 2      1-7-3

Royal Ascot Zip was taken for $35K by Linda Rice first out. She put him right back in a MSW where he couldn’t hold his speed but drops him down to $20K today. Has plenty of speed and the only question is how he’ll take to the dirt. Heavy Hitter looked good at this level last out. I’ll swing for the fences with Warrior Jays in the third spot. He’s obviously not a turf horse, nor a high level claimer. Adds blinkers and moves to the dirt. I’m not saying he is a great thing, but I’ll use him in the verticals.

Race 3      3-2-7

Love to Run just won at this level two weeks ago, and actually has an intervening race. Chatterpaul has not had great success running them back so quickly, but the horse is in condition and is competitive in terms of figures. Star of New York has been consistent in 2015 and figures to be pushing at the end. BEL dirt win percentage is abyssmal though so not going overboard in the win slot. Cosmic Coincidence has been close in his last two at this level. Should be the one to catch.

Race 4      2-3-6

Killarney Rose has the fastest figures in the field and is dropping from MSW to this claiming affair. Will be hard to beat. Summer Chant is another dropping in the MCL ranks. Pletcher is fantastic moving horses to MCL and I’ll take it on faith this one will compete today. Durant missed the break last out but stayed in the race and closed well. Breeding doesn’t scream turf, but the first effort wasn’t bad.

Race 5      6-9-4

Swear by It moved over to the Chad Brown barn over the winter. Comes out looking for win number two. Well suited for the distance and Brown is excellent off the layoff. Resolutely came out well first time in 2015. Additional development over the winter should make her tough in this field. Aesthetique did not look good in her 2015 efforts at GP but should be better adapted to BEL.

Race 6      9-7-8

Bellamy Way was over his head in a stakes last out, but prior to that ran reasonably well against the very talented Ostrolenka. Figures fastest with the scratch of the 1. Devilish Grin has four seconds in five starts. Clearly has the talent, has to show he has the heart. Interior Secretary ran better than looked in his first out. Has been gelded since last winter and Weaver is ok with horses off the layoff.

Race 7      5-3-6

Spring to the Sky faltered in the Jaipur but before that was running consistently with better than this. Gets the nod against a softer bunch. Summation Time ships over from PID for Clement. One for one over the BEL turf and has the figures to compete. Shore Runner is four for four in the money over the BEL turf. Moved to the barn of Joe Sharp last out and he is quietly having a good meet.

Race 8      8-6-4

Marbre Rose has run two good races over the BEL turf. She encountered some traffic issues in the Intercontinental and could turn the tables on Zindaya today. Zindaya was the winner of the Intercontinental and that makes her 3 for 3 on the BEL turf. Rarely runs a bad one. Photo Call has been running in graded company lately and came close in the Beaugay. Passed an easier spot at Parx to run in this one.

Race 9      9-5-12

Women Win has been close to the winner in her last two races. With the scratches in today’s race, she many stand out. Bold Print has been on the turf the last two outs and has figures that make her competitive here. Sing for Beauty has shown plenty of early speed and with the scratches could inherit an easy lead, making her dangerous.