Belmont October 13

In the last three days one of my selections has won 24 of 29 races at BEL. I hope to keep the magic working today.

Race 1      2-6-4

Race 2     2-9-7

Race 3     4-3-1

Race 4     10-2-5-7

Race 5     6-3-4-9

Race 6     4-6-3-12

Race 7     The Punkin Pie      2-4-8-6

  • 1 Thetaloveandmine – scratched
  • 2 Katie’s Garden – Speedster is one for one at the distance and hasn’t been out of the money in her career. John Sherriffs is not having a very good year, but this horse has accounted for a chunk of his success. Has a nice series of workouts in the last two weeks. Johnny V stays aboard.
  • 3 Classic Point – Puts the blinkers on for Jimmy Jerkens who has been having a horror of a BEL meet. Five year old has been a bit over her head in graded stakes this year. She runs best pressing close to the pace and I’d look for Irad to try that tactic today. May not be the fastest horse, but in not without a chance.
  • 4 Wildcat Lily – Rudy Rodriguez has been having a spectacular meet, and brings this one in off a prep at Parx after laying off for five months. That race should set her up nicely. One of the main contenders.
  • 5 Risky Rachel – scratched
  • 6 Unbound – Japanese invader makes his stateside debut for Graham Motion who is 30% with debuting foreign horses. Really was not more than an allowance horse, but given the size of Japanese fields and the fact he was generally in the top three finishers, the horse appears to have plenty of heart.  Definitely the X factor here; hard to use him, hard to ignore him
  • 7 Rock Me Mama – scratched
  • 8 Voodoo Tales – horse has been running with lower quality animals – $20K starter allowance, ALW NW1X. Still her last two races showed some good talent and she seems hard to leave off your tickets.

Race 8     12-7-9-6

Race 9     The Pebbles     11-4-8-9

  • 1 Cash For Ever – made a tremendous close in his first start in America, only to fall short by one and three quarters. Perhaps she will do better with a little more ground to cover. Would be no surprise to see her do well in this group, but I’m going to look elsewhere for the top spot.
  • 2 Hot and Spicy – James Bond brings her in from Canada where she was running in restricted stakes. She looks a step or two slower than the best in here.
  • 3 Secret Someone – Broke her maiden, laid off for five months and came back to win her NW1X. May blossom in the future, but I’m not sure the future is today.
  • 4 Lady Lara – been running in England where she was graded stakes placed.  It’s clear she wasn’t Group 1 quality, but she does seem to be a mile specialist. Mott has had a good BEL meeting. One of the contenders.
  • 5 Distorted Beauty – Hasn’t done anything wrong this year and may outrun her odds, but she’ll have to show she can run with this kind before I’ll back her.
  • 6 Walk Close – Another that should like the mile distance. She was only two and a half behind Ball Dancing who came back to run second in the QE II at Keeneland. Improving horses are always dangerous and Clement has been training up a storm. Another that wouldn’t be a total shock.
  • 7 Ubiquitous Mantle – Still looking to win a NW1X. Just doesn’t look the caliber of these other runners.
  • 8 Kenzadargent – Chad Brown trainee is two for two since shipping from France.  Yes, she’s stepping up but she is multiple group placed. She is a major danger today.
  • 9 Sandiva – didn’t break well in the San Clemente at Del Mar but before that she was winning Group 3 races in France and England. I’m sticking with the Euros in this race and Sandiva is one of the contenders.
  • 10 Munriah – three start horse for Graham Motion. Another that could be better as time goes on, but she needs to prove to me she can run with these types.
  • 11 Indian Rainbow – last of the Euro invaders. Clement has been very successful with horses making their first start in America. Runs pretty much exclusively at the mile distance. She’ll be my choice in here.

Race 10     3-6-10-12