Belmont October 2

The word us that we are back on the turf today. That should make things a little more pedictable.

Race 1

  • 8 Angel Choir – is dropping from MSW to MCL after showing speed at the mile distance. Even though she is on the outside, she should have enough early foot to get into the race out of the gate. Definitely looks like she needs to be given a looser rein. Looking for her to have enough to run to the wire in front.
  • 6 Pure of Spirit – did not break well last out and was totally trapped down at the rail in the stretch. Jockey Rice looked like he had some horse in the stretch, but had nowhere to go and when he finally got out showed some run. She also drops from MSW. With a clean trip she’ll have every chance.
  • 1 Beauty Surprise – seemed the best last time when she had to alter course in the stretch. Will have that same issue from the rail today. Second off a short layoff and Clement is pretty good with that move.
  • 7 Reckless Move – last race was her best. Has been improving since dropping to MCL.

Race 2

  • 2 Kool Kat Strut – broke slowly last out but still finished with interest. First off the claim for Shettino and gets a switch to Ortiz.
  • 5 Igotthediscoinme – Nick Esler 31% when debuting in maiden claimer. Last work points to good potential. Read the Footnotes is a good sire with 2 year olds.
  • 7 Scattered Dreams – two starts in the mid-Atlantic, two second place finishes. Trainer Bailes has not won at BEL yet, but has a useful runner here.
  • 9 Sandler – Pletcher drops this horse from MSW after a short layoff. Have to expect a better run today.

Race 3

With the scratch of Shankopotamus Cay to Pomery looks like all the speed and his chances are significantly increased. 

  • 1a Cay to Pomeroy – Since Worrie is named on both parts of the entry, one of them will scratch. This looks like the stronger part of the Englehart coupling. Has a ton of speed and will have to contend with Shankopotamus up front. Class drop should give the horse a better shot to hang on.
  • 5 Shankopotamus – the other speed in the race. Was claimed last out by Sciacca after pulling up in the stretch closing day at SAR. Sciacca kept him on the claim and has given him a couple of works in prep for this. Has won two of his last three.
  • 7 Starship Captain – has a win over the BEL main. Was claimed two back by Levine and only finshed 4 behind strong winner Capital City.
  • 4 Zoebear – in the money in more than half his starts. Was claimed last out by Toscano and he is 15% wheeling them back. Actually looks a little better at the six furlong distance than routing.

Race 4

  • 5 Miss Potenza – stretches out to 6F. Held off the closers and was game to the wire in her first dirt start. Michael Lerman has been 21% from a limited group of starters this year. Best figure of the horses that have started.
  • 4 Club O R – puts the blinkers on for Violette who is not killer with that move. Was brushed at the start, retreated quickly to the back, steadied down the backstretch, and tried to make a closing move to no avail. Has to improve today.
  • 2 Zenstone – first timer for Gary Gullo who is 25% with debuting MCL. Has an abbreviated workout tab but the works are good.
  • 12 Midnight Champagne – outside post shouldn’t hurt. Broke well in her SAR race on the turf, but hit a wall after 3/8. Drops into MCL in an attempt to hang on longer.

Race 5

  • 2 Honor the Kitten – Jumps up to $50K claimers after a solid win last out. Could bounce of his last, which was only two weeks ago after a two month layoff. Has been with better and definitely fits this group.
  • 3 Charlie’s Picnic – is 2 for 2 over the BEL turf including a last out win. Moves up to 7F which will definitely stretch his talent. Rosario stays aboard.
  • 7 Joking – hasn’t cracked the winner’s circle on the BEL turf but has been been knocking. Should have no trouble with the trip.
  • 1 Why Not Whiskey – competitive figures, having trouble crossing the wire first this year. Can be used in the backholes for sure.

Race 6

  • 15 Scooby Dude – ran an immense race last time out. Was pushed all the way back at the start, started making a sustained move about five furlongs out, and looked strong in the stretch. Based on that start has a huge chance today.
  • 2 Kerjillion – Chad Brown trainee led to deep in the stretch. He and Castellano have been a powerful combo. By far the best figure of the horses that have started.
  • 11 Pronunciation – coming out of the same race as the two mentioned above. Ran evenly after being bumped at the start and having to go wide. Improves with a clean trip.
  • 9 Doctor Red – first timer for Michael Maker who is 21% with debut horses. Nice set of workouts.

Race 7

  • 8 Sunlover – drops into a $40K NW2L. Last out was first off a long layoff. He broke toward the rear, stayed wide throughout and managed to close some lengths in the stretch. Hasn’t won in a while but his last win was on this turf course. Should go off at decent odds.
  • 1 Bajan Summer – 1 for 3 on the BEL turf. Sciacca keeps him at the same level second off the claim. Has been running competitively and has the figures to win this race. Ortiz gets back up for Sciacca.
  • 2 Defining Product – just missed last out and was claimed by William Heffner who is 1 for 2 first off the claim. Should like the cutback to 7F.
  • 4 Vona – Almost wired a field at Sar last out. Goes second off the claim for Linda Rice. Has enough speed to take them wire to wire.

Race 8

  • 7 Bakken – Chad Brown trainee is coming off a second in the Grade 2 True North. Has run consistently good figures and looks totally the horse to beat.
  • 6 Geaux Mets – Destroyed a group of state breds last out at FL. 50% win rate, has not run a bad one in a year. His best puts him right there.
  • 5 Captain Serious – Didn’t really run as expected last out but cuts back to his optimal distance. Lots of early foot but perhaps a beat behind the horses above.
  • 3 Candyman E. – probably the best stretch runner. If the race breaks down, he may be the one coming.

Race 9

  • 8 Mythical Man – drops into a $25K NW3L. Should enjoy the cutback in distance and the switch from McCarthy to Lezcano.
  • 10 Media Kid – has been close in his last four after winning a $20K starter at AQU in April. Has lost to a string of horses that have won their last out.
  • 11 Loveisheartandsoul – Back to $25K after trying $50K last out. Looked strong winning at SAR. Was taken by Contessa that day and this looks like the right spot for the horse.
  • 10 Media Kid – 9 of 15 in the money. Good prospect for the back holes.