Saratoga August 19

That makes two days in a row that the P4 paid over $2,500 and two days in a row where you could have had it if you followed my picks. Today Saratoga is trying to make up for some of the races that were washed out last week. With 11 races, some of the race analyses will be abbreviated.

Race 1. One More Round sticks out on figures here, but will have to contend with Chad Brown first timer Homewood Field. Clear the Mine has six previous starts and has shown some talent. Could be the one if either of the top two are not in top shape.  2-3-5

Race 2. Another race without a lot of clever analysis. Tashreeh is making a price drop and that should help him hold his speed better. Evolution had all sorts of trouble at the start last out but prior to that had been on a good streak. Steve’s Image hesitated at the break last out and that probably cost him any chance at the win. Should show better today.  1-7-4

Race 3. At the risk of sounding repetitive, the favorites look best in this race. Wellabled has a big number off his AP race. Freud’s Friend showed some courage in the stretch in winning his last race over this course. Iron Mane dominated a field at IND and runs for top 2YO trainer Wesley Ward.  1-5-6

Race 4. Finally a competitive affair. This one actually swings all the way to the other side with a lot of potential contenders. Burndines is the clear speed in this one. Anthony Dutrow hasn’t been spending a lot of time at SAR this year, but the horses he has brought in have been live. Speed has not been reliable on the turf, but he doesn’t have a lot to push him. Farhaan has a win at SAR this year to go with his win from two years ago, and McLaughlin brings him back at the same price. He doesn’t race often on the turf, but when he does he seems to run good figures. Abtaal ran third in the aforementioned race with Farhaan and could improve here.  Primary 7-10-3  Secondary 1, 5, 6

Race 5. Frankly you can’t immediately toss anyone out of this race. I’m putting Tale of Life, Doyouknowsomething, and Mr. Palmer constitute my top three, but you can’t immediately toss Transparent or Securitiz, and Muqtaser could be anything.  2-1-5

Race 6. This race has a lot of potential value. Prime Time Man goes for D Wayne Lukas. The coach is not nearly the trainer he once was, but he can occasionally recapture old glory. This horse broke slowly last out, but ran evenly and finished with a good figure. Maybe the sentimental pick, but he can’t be discounted. Approvethismessage may be the best of the speed horses, and he goes for Midwest trainer Stephen Lyster who has a pretty good win percentage. Castellano takes the ride. Mambo at the Gym seems to be suffering from some seconditis but has the figures to compete in this group.  Primary 10-7-3  Secondary 6,9

Race 7. Picco Uno hasn’t run a bad one in his short four race career and has the best last race figure. Jason Servis has been having a good SAR meet. Even Bette had no speed last out but still made a decent run to pass horses and get third. She should outrun her 15-1 ML odds today. Riot Worthy has been showing signs of seconditis but has still shown enough talent to be a factor here at the end.  Primary 8-2-10  Secondary 7, 9

Race 8. This is a confusing and competitive race. Startwithsilver has two good races in her last two turf starts. Linda Rice has been having a good SAR meet. My Kinda Gal has raced well since breaking her maiden. She should thrive at the sprint distance. Little Bear Cat has been in good form for David Cannizzo and gets an interesting switch to Irad Ortiz.  Primary 9-8-3  Secondary 2, 4, 5, 7

Race 9. In this race the favorites look best, although there are a number of contenders.  Primary 2-3-9  Secondary 4, 5, 6

Race 10. The Adirondack was one of the races cancelled on Saturday. The selections still stay the same. Primary 7-3-5  Secondary 2, 6

Race 11. Wide open race.  Primary 5-6-7  Secondary 1, 4, 9, 10