Saratoga August 10

I’m at Saratoga for the week, so if you are around drop me a message on Twitter (@rich_halvey) and we can make a plan to say hello.

It’s been pouring here in SaratogaSprings this morning, and I expect we’ll see some scratches and off the turf. As of 10:00, the Steeplechase race (first) is cancelled and races 3 and 10 are already off a turf that is labeled GOOD.

Here are a few horses I’m looking at today.

Race 2.  2 You Lie is likely to go favorite off the big drop in price. She’s got a decent wet track rating and has a win on a wet track, although her last sloppy track race she told the lead and faded badly. I’m more interested in 3 Sweetrayofsunshine going for David Jacobson. He has quietly had a decent meet upstate winning at 26%. The horse is another one taking a tumble in price off her last two, but she’s shown she likes the slop and has dominated at the lower price. For a price I’m throwing in 6 Miss Amalita who also has speed and a liking for the off going. She’s the price on the ML.

Race 5. 10 Wild Zambezi is taking a drop in price and has a win on a sloppy MTH track. Todd Pletcher often uses Saez so no issue with the rider. Pletcher often drops horses he’s looking to move out of his barn and you’ll be lucky to get the 7-2 ML. 2 Skill Not Luck drops in for Chad Brown, and while he is deadly with turf fillies, he’s a lot more ordinary with dirt colts. He should take to the wet track though. Still, at the likely price I’m not thinking he’s more than a part of a vertical. 5 Humboldt N Frost dominated a field at $16K two back, and Jose Ortiz who rode him in that race gets a return engagement . He’s been working well since his last and should take well to the slop.

Race 6. 1 Tizza Temper is the horse I’m interested in here. Tiznow progeny are usually good on the off going and at 8-1 I’ll be giving this horse a long look. The works are adequate and Jeremiah Englehart is  better with first timers than he is given credit for.

Race 8. The two horses I’m interested in here are 6 Wake Up in Malibu and 8 Three Alarm Fire. Both horses have wins on wet tracks and fit the race conditions very well. In the case of the 8, it appears he has complete disdain for GP where he has four starts and one second place finish. Otherwise his lifetime record would be a little more impressive. One big plus – he has a win at the distance at SAR on a slightly off track. The 6 comes off a win in a state-bred stakes. He’s shown plenty of early foot and is four for four in the money in the wet track.