Belmont May 11

Race 1.     5-1-2

Conquest Prankster goes first time for Mark Casse who is decent with maiden debut horses. Last workout and breeding suggest he could be the speed here. Jegos Fire acted up at the gate last time and lost any chance to be a factor. The connections are low key, so the odds should be generous. Dr. Joy goes forChristopher Clement who is also decent with first timers. Very well bred for this short sprint.

Race 2.     8-4-6

Texas Tea should be the speed here and he adds blinkers to focus him better. At the right price level today. Swivel has been close in his last two but has been struggling overall. Very well bred for the mile. Saratoga Sight is going second time with winners and has competitive figures.

Race 3.     6-4-5

Know It All Anna makes her 2016 debut for Linda Rice who is 25% with these long layoff types. Has done well at BEL and has run well fresh before. Northern Screamer finished a good second in the Xtra Heat. 6 of 8 in the money lifetime. Skipalute has a win and a place in three starts at BEL and gets a trainer upgrade to John Kimmel.

Race 4.     1-11-3

Pinnacle Mountain made a big improvement in figure when moved to the turf. A repeat performance puts him in the mix. Ro  Bear had a couple of thirds on the turf last year, and the works look good for the return. Dream Doctor seems inclined to want to come from well off the pace, and there may not be enough speed here to set up a sustained late run. Tim Woolley is 25% off the long layoff with limited data.

Race 5.     4-2-3

Protection is a dismal 2 for 28 lifetime, but does have 10 other in the money finishes. Castellano takes the mount and that may make the difference. Spearhead has one superb turf race and has been gelded since his last start. Has decent speed as well. Park Ranger hasn’t been on the turf but on raw figures is almost as fast as the favorite. He’s coming off a big win and seems to be in top condition.

Race 6.     2-3-1

Indulgent goes first time for Kieran McLaughlin and the workouts indicate she may have some talent.  Deedeezee has one turf route on her resume, but she’s better bred for the dirt and Pletcher is 37% off the layoff and 25% moving from turf to dirt. Taurine is another firster for Christopher Clement. Seems well bred for the dirt and the sprint distance. Half to Capo Bastone who also was precocious.

Race 7.     6-9-8

Skill Not Luck is a bit of a flyer. He has one great turf race, and it was at BEL. Chad Brown has to be a big positive. Snake Oil Charlie has good figures on the turf, but is another that has a low win percentage. Another longshot that looks interesting. Captain Moss has not been on the turf in a while, but he is one for one on the BEL turf and should be winging in the front.

Race 8.     5-6-2-10

Storm Petrel has improved significantly since being moved to the turf. Her last race was as fast as anything in the race. Pletcher is strong 2nd off the layoff and at 12-1 has to be given a look. Elysea’s World ships to the U.S. after a one race career in Europe. Her maiden looks like it was a pretty good race and Chad Brown is very strong with Euro shippers. Finn’s Girl ran well in the PG Johnson last year, and that is one of the better races for 2YO turf fillies. Her debut had a figure that topped her 2015 best. Has good outs here. Hold Harmless ran really well in the Grade 3 Herecomesthebride. She didn’t break well last out and I think you put a line through that race.

Race 9.     9-11-2

Southern Gentleman ran pretty well in a losing effort at this level last out, and was claimed by DiPrima who is decent first off the claim. We Did adds blinkers and drops out of a straight maiden. Could be the value play. Croke Park is another that drops from MSW   And off his best is competitive.