Belmont May 1

Race 1.     6-2-5

New York Chrome has a win at BEL and is making a substantial drop in price, although his figures aren’t as dominant as you might expect. He’s got some tactical speed and gets a good switch to Irad. Saint Joseph should be winging up front. He switched trainers to Barbara two back and he seems to have him going in the right direction. His lone win came at this distance. Nicholson hasn’t looked formful since coming off a short break, but he has had some success at BEL. Maybe a bit of a stab but should go off long and can make the verticals.

Race 2.     4-8-3      Dirt:  15-7-1

Street Fightin Man is one of the few with primary turf experience. He’s gotten the ultimate equipment change since his last, and his turf numbers are as good as anything in here. Worth a look at the odds.  Kangaroo Style seems better meant for the turf and his workout pattern should have him ready today. There Goes Ben gets a positive switch to Irad and he makes a big drop today. Seemed to be getting better at the end of last year, and if he has filled out could be a danger.

Race 3.     3-2-5

Takrees comes off a close second in the Cicada and should relish the extra half furlong. Estelle looked good at GP this spring, grudgingly giving ground in the stretch of a seven furlong affair. Has the best last race figure. Laxfield Road is one for one on the dirt, and after breaking her maiden ran creditably in two stakes races. Ward is 37% off the long layoff. Every reason to give the horse win consideration.

Race 4.     5-2-3

Sweetrayofsunshine just wired a field at AQU and in her prior race won the Xtra Heat. In fact in her last six races she has four wins and two seconds. She loves to win and never gives a bad accounting. Has to be used. Myfourchix had a little trouble at the start and ran evenly in the Broadway which was run in good time. 5 of 5 first or second at the distance and has a win at BEL. Awesome News gets a nice switch to Johnny V and rarely finishes out of the money.

Race 5.     10-8-1     Dirt: 1-10-9

Bapu has the best figure of the horses that have made most of their starts on the turf. Southern Union showed great improvement on the turf and should keep moving forward. Shootout hasn’t been on the turf but has been in the money in his last three. Turf breeding is decent and Castellano takes the ride.

Race 6.     9-1-6-4

Lady Kressa has the best lifetime figures and could turn the tables on Lamontagne today. War Queen comes over from Great Britain for trainer Chad Brown. He is lights out with turf fillies shipping from Europe. Has a win on the soft turf. Lamontagne has good speed on the turf but may find the softer going less to her liking. Still, is consistently in the money.  Gold Tinker goes for Alan Goldberg who has a good win percentage from limited starts. Could surprise at good odds.

Race 7.     1-6-7

Geaux Mets rarely runs a bad one and is at a very comfortable price level. Should have no trouble with the added half furlong. Bass River Road won last time he was at this level and looks to be about as fast as the top choice. Curious Cal drops a good amount in price. Has one start since last Aug and that should set him up well for today.

Race 8.     1-3-7

Zindaya has run decently off the layoff and has a steady diet of restricted stakes. On her best day is a major contender. The switch to Chad Brown should be a big plus for her, Shrinking Violet missed the Grade 2 Monrovia by the slimmest of margins. Figures say she is in the mix. Lady Shipman rarely goes past 5 1/2 furlongs, but she is a win machine and a very fast horse.

Race 9.     8-3-1.    Dirt:  1-9-11