Aqueduct April 21

Race 1.     4-5-3

It’s another two year old race and this time Silver Mission is the Pletcher/Velasquez entry.  Enough said. Lethal Shot goes for low profile connections but gets Jose Ortiz. 24% trainer Phil Schoenthal sends Fuhrlong off a good workout pattern in Maryland.

Race 2.     6-7-1

Congrats Kid is not the sort I normally gravitate toward, but given he was claimed by Asmussen two back he gets a chance to improve enough to hit the wire first. Best figure of all the horses that have started. Whereas Willy drops in price quite a bit for this start and turns back to a slightly shorter race. His numbers aren’t that far off the top choice. The Rudy Rodriguez entry are both first timers, but I like the prep he’s done. He’s one of the better trainers with first timers at AQU.

Race 3.     3-2-6

Valkimqua drops back to the right price after trying a little tougher. Blinkers go on today and Englehart has had some small success with that move. Off her best she looks like the winner. Sweet Peaches just won on the AQU main and Gargan brings her back at the right price. She’s been with better in the past and may be on the upswing. Lucky Boots tries this level for the second time. May be a little underlayed at 5/2 but can’t be discounted.

Race 4.    4-6-5

Ginned Up is one of only a couple with turf experience. She’s got by far the top figure and has to get the nod in the absence of any other with current form. Votre Coeur goes first time on the turf for Chad Brown. Brown is dynamite with turf fillies and no doubt he’ll have her ready to run. Feeling Bossy comes off a decent effort last out at GP and adds blinkers today. Johnny V gets aboard and that can’t hurt.

Race 5.     2-5-4

Natalie Victoria is hard to pick against here, She has a series of figures that would easily win this race, and she has enough speed to to be a factor on the pace. She’s dropping down the price ladder substantially from her last two, but considering RuRod claimed her for $20K and got a win out of her, maybe it’s not so negative. Still, she’s 0 for 9 at AQU and that is at least a small concern, Littlemissperfect closed in her last to win comfortably, That represents Andrew Lakeman’s only win in 2015 so far. Jose Ortiz returns for the ride and that is a positive. Just Got Out failed in the mud last out but she was over her head. Back at the right price today.

Race 6.     5-1-6

Is She Hot has the best speed by far and if she gets off to a leisurely pace she may be hard to catch. Lotsa Noodles exits the same race as a few of these. She’s been claimed a few times in the last five months, and she has a number of back figures that would dominate this field. After Barrera took her he took the blinkers off but puts them back on today. That may just focus the horse more. Just Catty ran evenly last out and won last time she was at this level. Serious contender.

Race 7.     2-3-8

Jademarie’s one victory came on the turf and her last race is much better than looked. Her current form is ambiguous – she’s been racing with tougher although not really showing her best. I like the chances but at 2-1 I’m not seeing value. Weekend Score was a flop on the inner, but has a number of nice turf efforts in her past. Looks like she’ll need to clear early to have a real shot here. Light Years Away may be the best of the early speed, and from the outside post will have to move early to get position. Maybe a little ambitiously placed but she could make one of the verticals if she comes in.

Race 8.     1-7-9

Super Sharp ships to AQU from LRL. I like a couple of things about the horse. First she’s been running mostly in open company and drops into a state-bred NW1X today. She is likely the best speed in this race, and her latest figures are very competitive. Finally, Jose Ortiz takes the mount. Taken by Surprise goes for Pletcher and she has a win over the AQU main. First time she’s gone with older horses, so she’ll have to be on top of her game to succeed today. Quibbler is taking a pretty good jump up today but does own the best last race figure. Worth considering in the verticals.

Race 9.     5-4-1-9

In the Beat was claimed last out by Gary Gullo and he is 26% first off the claim.  The horse comes back at the same level as his last winning effort. Will need to get into a good striking position early. Ground Control gets Irad back for this trip. Wasn’t disgraced on the inner track routes, but will likely be better at this distance. The Jacobson entry of Castaway and Syndicated both look competitive in here. March Too has the fastest last race figure and can’t be discounted.