Race 1. 5-7-2
Adrestia should go off the big favorite off two MSW races where she showed good speed. Blinkers go on today. Have to respect her off the drop, but not likely to be value. Jennifer’s Legacy goes first time for James Ryerson who is 23% with limited starters. Breeding and workout pattern both positive. Cats Halo showed nothing first out on the turf but drops to a MCL. Should do better on the dirt and may surprise.
Race 2. 5-1-7
Petrocelli has been popular at the claim box lately. Should be the clear front speed and should have no problem back at the sprint distance. Fire Alarm just won at this level at Parx and has been running consistently. Should be a factor today. Wizardly drops in price off a win in a $25K NW3L. Last race figure says he is competitive here.
Race 3. 6-1-4
I thought this was a very competitive race. Beautyinthepulpit has gone off as the favorite in four of her last five. There’s a lot of speed in the race and she’s the one that figures to benefit if the race breaks down. She’s at the right level and has the figures to top the field. Igotthediscoinme drops back slightly to the mile distance. Juan Ortiz is a very low profile trainer, but the horse has won at this level and has a win and 5 seconds in six starts at the distance. At 15-1 ML he’s worth a look. Pretension benefited by the scratch of Longfor the City and should be in the front scrum. Wired a field last out and could make it two in a row.
Race 4. 3-7-4
Indygo Tigress had a rough trip first time out but still beat half the field. Switch to Javier may be helpful. Egyptian Rose has been knocking around at this level for a while. Has shown speed and may hold it longer against this field. Kitai is making her 12th start. May have in the money prospects, but has had too many chances to win.
Race 5. 3-1-4
Ostrolenka has the best last race figure and should enjoy the drop back to 7F. Can run to the front and sustain and considering he’s been competitive with state bred stakes horses this drop should be nothing bu helpful. Drama King seems to be at the top of his game and can run the sprint or route. Between the Lines may be a half step below some of these, but he’s in shape, likes the AQU main and should do well at the distance.
Race 6. 5-2-8
Rapid Rouge was claimed last out by Gary Gullo who is 27% first off the claim. He seems to have found his level at this low claiming price. He just won for $16 and if he runs back to that race he’ll be a solid bet. March Too has been competitive at the low claiming level and seems to be on the upswing in his form cycle. Worth a look at the price. Saint Finian cuts back to a one turn sprint and while he may look a step below, he has some back class and looks to be competitive in this spot. May make the verticals at the odds.
Race 7. 4-1-6
Integrity has shown well on the AQU main. He has plenty of early foot and has the top figure in the field. Narvaez just wired a slightly easier field and hasn’t been out of the money in his last eight races. Always gives a good effort and should be good at the distance. Manhattan Mischief is one for one over the AQU main and may be the surprise horse here. Last race figure at Parx tops the field.
Race 8. 2-1-3
Eloquent Tribute just beat an ALW NW1X. In her last 10 she’s been worse than 4th only once. Figures well at the sprint distance. Myfourchix has a win and a second in two starts on the main and has run consistent figures. Blithely is another that never seems to run a bad race, likes the AQU main, and is 5 of 10 at the distance. Would be no surprise in the winners circle.
Race 9. 1-4-5-6
Of the horses that have started, Urbanity sticks out. Her figure sticks out given it was her first start. Dream On has been off a year and a half, but the works have been really solid and at 10-1 in this race she’s worth checking out. Riot Worthy has 9 starts and 5 seconds. Looks more solid for the verticals than the win slot. Hot Cajun Sauce had a poor break first time out but managed to run creditably. Worth considering.