Race 1.     2-6-5

I’m putting Liberty Fuze on top, but I’m not buying into the 3/5 morning line. She’s winning at near 30% lifetime, and is clearly the speed of the race. She fits the conditions. Da Wildcat Girl looks like the horse with the best chance of pulling the upset. She was taken last out by Richard Stoklosa, a fairly low profile trainer, and she looks to be in top condition. Enduring Touch finally broke through the NW2L condition last out and takes a healthy step up.

Race 2.     3-4-1

Just Afleet has shown good speed in three starts and has the look of a horse that could win with slight improvement. He adds blinkers in the hope that makes the improvement. Third Son stepped up from a sprint to a route off a brief layoff and looked like he was in the right spot. He would be no surprise in the winner’s circle and may be the value play. The coupling of R F Burton and Yummy Bear looks very tough, and the 6/5 ML is really a reflection that they both have a chance to win, but I’m not sure either is superior to the top two.

Race 3.     3-7-1

American Progress was claimed by Linda Rice two back and has run two decent if not outstanding races. The last was better than looked and he tops the field off his last figure. Rapid Rouge is 4/5 on the ML and looks in top condition for RuRod. He fits but at the price doesn’t excite me. Joe Mooch has the speed to get a tactical spot from the rail and has been consistent from a figure standpoint.

Race 4.     1-8-3

I like that Baronet went right to the front from the 12 post and ran gamely around the track. She should get a good spot from the rail and wins with some improvement. Little Bear Cat drops in price after a so-so turn on the inner, but did show some speed last out. Show Giant was four lengths behind Baronet in that maiden $25K, jumped up to $40K and was soundly beaten. She’s back at the lower level today and could be competitive.

Race 5.     2-7-4-8

Ima Wildcat finished a strong second at this level in December, jumped up and was overmatched. Drops back today and projects as the one to catch. Sourcesandmethods seems to be heading toward regular seconditis, but has been popular at the claim box with four claims in the his last five races. Abby Adsit does the saddling today and she is fair first off the claim. Touchdown was taken last out by RuRod and that makes him more attractive. Rich ‘n’ Tuck was taken by Linda Rice last out and is 5/2 on the ML based on back class and the fact that Rice is 25% first off the claim. He’s also been gelded since his last. Could merit his odds, but I may look elsewhere for value.

Race 6.     1-4-5

This looks like the most competitive race of the day.  Swell comes off a win in a $50K SA, and dops into a statebred NW1X. If he runs to his last he’s the likeliest winner. Organic Gemini took a while to break his maiden, but he seems to have taken very well to the inner.  Now that he’s figured it out, he may start stringing them together. Private Thrill is another that seems to have a liking for the inner. He fits the conditions well. If you are looking at the Pick-4, consider throwing in Uncharted Course.

Race 7.     6-2-1

Another tough to predict race. Son of a General either didn’t care for Mike Miceli’s training, or the inner last out, but before that was a winner for $32K. The drop to $25K should be in his favor. Worth a look at the odds. Conspiracy has done well on the inner and has done well with better quality animals. Should be the speed here and will have to be caught. Life’s Reward won last out and was taken by Gregory DiPrima who is a respectable 18% first off the claim. Should be one of the horses near the front.

Race 8.     7-2-1

Flora Dora has done well with graded horses and won the Busanda last out with statebreds. I’d be a little more confident if Marialice Coffy had a better training percentage. Still, this has been a good runner and she’s worth a long look. Katniss the Victor will be trying to win by running as opposed to using a bow and arrow. She’s made two starts, and is a nose away from being 2 for 2. Can’t discount the chances of an improving three year old. Lost Raven has been competitive with these sorts in the past and certainly has chances here.

Race 9.     2-3-5

Bluemoonofsaratoga drops out a MSW where she ran the top last out figure. Silly Face improved on her second start on the inner and looks right behind the top horse. Mlle. Chanteuse ran a much better than looked race first out at a route distance. She drops back to a sprint and at 12-1 ML should could make the day if she pulls the upset.