Belmont October 21

Race 1      3-6-4      C=2    V=2

Call Me Stoney should be the front speed. Big drop suggests he holds on. April Color was grabbed by the low profile Juan Ortiz who contracts with the ice cold Cornelio Velazquez for the ride. Should result in some nice odds. Royal Burgh is a 5 start horse that was well thought of earlier this year. He got picked up in a Todd Pletcher fire sale but should be good enough to compete here.

Race 2      5-7-6      C=3    V=3

High Ridge Road looked strong first time out and the combo of Brown/Ortiz is always dangerous. Que Chulo is not 20-1 in this race and has as good a chance as anyone. Sylish Quality has a strong set of works and Nicks is good first time out.

Race 3      2-3-1      C=1    V=1

Frazil can be excused for the race in the slop last time but the cutback in distance should make him the best chance. Distorted Dream is 5 of 8 second place and loves the distance. Storm Pursuit likes to win and is competitive with these.

Race 4      6-4-9      C=1    V=1

Weather Girl goes for Asmussen/Castellano. Improved when dropped to this level and has the best lifetime figure in this group. O K by Me improved markedly when moved to the turf and at the odds she’s worth a look. Hope’s Roar has been looking to break through for a while and looked best when dropped to seven furlongs.

Race 5      5-1-3      C=2    V=2

Just Got Out looks to be the fastest in the race. Not a lot of speed though to set her up. The Jacobson entry looks tough although lately he’s been scratching one or the other. Even with a scratch I’ll stick with the other. Bounty Pink has been running consistently and figures as close as anything else.

Race 6      6-5-2      C=3    V=3

Thamaan drops down to MCL after looking good first time out. Looks like perhaps Chad Brown has decided the horse doesn’t have a place in the stable. Brevard is probably better suited for today’s distance and has been improving with each start. Bluegrass Rye drops into MCL. Every bit as fast as the first two.

Race 7      2-3-7      C=3    V=2

Sister Sophia does not have a bad lifetime start. Her best should top this field. Sweetpollupurebred wasn’t that far behind the top choice last out. She’s done well at BEL and should adapt well to the distance. Run to Mama should be tracking the leaders and will get first run in the stretch.

Race 8      1-4-6      C=1    V=1

The Big Deluxe is better on the dirt and at his best dominates the field. Bond Vigilante was snatched by Bruce Levine and he’s a respectable 22% first off the claim. 3 of 5 at the distance and 1 of 2 at the distance. Gypsum Johnny has been with much better in the recent past and looks to be in good condition.

Race 9      11-3-8-12      C=2    V=2

Sauvignon looks to be the fastest in the race and the drop from MSW should make her tough to beat.  Fredaq drops from MSW and goes second off the layoff. Sugar Mags has run two nice seconds in a row and and seems to be improving. Miss Rickles was competitive with a few of these last out and no reason to expect a regression.