Saratoga August 14

Race 1      3-6-1

Ground Force has been off since AQU but Jason Servis is 23% with layoff horses. He drops to his lowest price in a while for the return. Rockford isn’t at the distance very often, but is 1 for 1. Another one of the price droppers. DJ scratched what looked like the stronger half of the entry leaving Mr. Masterpiece. I like the angle and sooner of later DJ has to start having more winners.

Race 2      7-1-2

Bottle Walk showed high speed in her debut before hitting a wall. Expecting an improved performance today. Diannecantretire puts the blinkers on after a disappointing performance in a straight maiden at MTH. Should be the pacesetter. Anna Rae is by Tiz Wonderful who has done very well with his two year old progeny.

Race 3      7-3-4

Heaven’s Touch looks like the speed of the race and goes for Wesley Ward who is 28% off the layoff. Ward/Hernandez is a 25% combination. Midnight Champagne has been consistent in 2015 and Michelle Nevin is excellent off the layoff. In Haste makes the big price drop in search of a win.

Race 4      9-6-1

Frisky Magician improved on the turf and should be toward the front. A little more improvement should make him the one to beat. Wicked Freud ran well first time out and has a figure as good as anything else in the race. Tiz a Chance showed good talent first time out in 2014. Motion is 24% off the return.

Race 5      6-9-3

JC’s Shooting Star has a mild case of seconditis, but given who she’s been up against that’s not such a bad thing. Had some trouble at the break last out and went wide but still finished well. Donatienne was another that had trouble at the start last out. Has a nice second at SAR last year. Saratoga by Design cuts back a sixteenth after showing good speed.

Race 6      1A-5-6

Moneyinyour Pocket looked bad before his last race but before that had a nice victory. Shouldn’t have any trouble with the distance. Mr. Palmer was claimed last out by Servis and he is 40% with his claims. Locker Room Guy has been devastating at FL and should compete well in this group.

Race 7      10-8-4

Ramble gets a positive switch to Johnny V and drops down in search of a win. Outer Orbit is 2 of 3 at the distance and 1 for 1 at SAR. Jewelisa is also 2 of 3 at the distance with a second at SAR.

Race 8      7-4-2

Conquest Superstep ran well on the turf last out but is probably superior on the dirt. Has good figures from SA and DMR. Building Permit goes for Brown/Castellano. Has been running consistent figures. Prize Take rarely runs a bad one although she has been struggling to find the winner’s circle.

Race 9      4-1-5

Sentiero Italia duels again with Strict Compliance and the last time they met it was a Grade 1 that they dead heated in. Different running styles so it may depend on how the surface is playing. Consumer Credit is the third horse coming out of the Belmont Oaks and she’s been competitive in G1’s all year. Should appreciate the distance cutback.

Race 10   2-4-7

Sauvignon has been improving and has the fastest last race number. Esther the Queen showed good interest last time on the turf and should improve today. Congress Park ran well first out in 2015 and gets Castellano back for this trip.