Belmont July 16

Race 1      1-7-8-4

Change of Command has been dormant since May at GP, but right before that was running in Graded stakes. Has a forwardly placed runing style and that was solid yesterday. At his best he is the fastest in the field. Holy Invader had been running in cheap races until the last two, and was competitive with horses at today’s level. Dreams Cut Short was claimed last out by Contessa and could improve under his care. Shock Leader has been in the mix with better, may need to show more courage in the stretch.

Race 2      9-2-1A

La Nina was over her head in the Astoria but she will show better on the turf with MSW runners. Fly Girl looks well bred for the sprint distance and the turf and has been working well for Graham Motion. Sally’s News ran well in her first start. Took the lead in the stretch but was run down. Should improve today.

Race 3      4-1-5

Scarly Charly ran well after a five month vacation and fits the conditions well. Integrity will be up front. Was claimed last out by RuRod and he is 29% first off the claim. Should enjoy the distance cutback.Tenango was a winner last out at this level and is competitive on his best day.

Race 4      3-9-8

Point Hope makes the big drop for Linda Rice. Ran a huge one two back and with a repeat should dominate the field. Yakov ran better than looked last out and should enjoy the distance cutback. Spider Roll is another dropping through the floor and is competitive off his best effort.

Race 5      8-1-4

Elated should be finishing best of all. Has competitive numbers and gets Castellano who is over 40% when riding for Clement. Wonder Brew ran well on the yielding BEL turf last out and slight improvement will put him over the top. Forensic has a lot of starts and is always close – more likely in the verticals.

Race 6      2-5-7

Piccolo Flats was over her head last out but in the previous race won at a similar level. Have to like her chances today. Mei Ling ran very well first time out in 2015. Takes the blinkers off for the Pletcher/Velasquez combination. Delightful Joy was overmatched in the Beaumont and in her last stumbled at the start, losing her best chance to win. Better racing luck puts her in the mix.

Race 7      8-6-4

Ulysses won his maiden impressively but didn’t run well in a restricted stakes next out. The drop to claiming ranks should allow us to see his best. Fracula was grabbed by Michael Pino last out and he is an eye-catching 24% first off the claim. Won at this level last out at CD. Broughton Kitten was gelded since his last. He had run with much better on the West Coast and should fit well at this level.

Race 8      8-2-3

Mighty Zealous is a hard trying horse who may have a mild case of seconditis. Numbers say he is fastest off his best but he may not have the most courage when it comes to passing horses. Fox Rox has a good win percentage and is well intentioned for this distance. Escape to the Moon is another that has been close without getting over the top. Still, have to respect the figures.

Race 9      9-8-7-3

Reign has been running creditably with MSW, finally makes the drop to the claiming ranks. That could propel him over the top. Egyptian Magic goes second time for Linda Rice. Didn’t make the distance in her two turf tries so should appreciate the cutback. Dia de Encanta was taken last out by Bruce Brown. Has been close with slightly lower animals, but shows a  lot of willingness to make an effort. Your Turn looks more apt for the verticals.