Belmont July 12

Race 1      3-6-5

Dusk to Dawn came out in 2015 vastly improved since last year. He looks like the front speed and I like his chances with the slight cutback in distance. So Noted had a little trouble at the start last out but still ran a bang-up race. Looks to be in good condition and is as fast as anything in the race. Chief of State seems to need a bit of pace to run at and if he gets it he will be dangerous.

Race 2      8-5-3

Mr. Palmer was claimed last out by Patrick Reynolds and makes a huge drop today. Off his best he dominates this field. Noble Doss is consistent and past figures put him as a solid contender. Ortiz stays for the ride. Moneyinyour Pocket ran well with this group last out. More likely in the verticals.

Race 3      3-1-2

Big Looie was claimed last our by DJ. His win at this price two back would make him the top figure in the field. Don Dulce has been consistent but will need some pace to run at. Top Billing comes out of the G3 Pimlico Special and should be right at home in this field.

Race 4      3-8-2

 Skye Saratoga had some trouble at the start of the last race but still ran a strong effort. Drops in price today and looks primed for a good effort. Lady Liana ran well first time out in 2015. Jumps up a bit in price but should handle it well. Saratoga Karaoke wired a $50K starter allowance field last out and off her best fits well with this group..

Race 5     4-7-9-1A

Lady Kreesa should appreciate the slight cutback in distance. Is very competitive at this level. Summerdale won with better at SAR last year and showed a good run in her first out of this year. Should show some improvement today. Lakeside Sunset jumps out of the statebred ranks. Hasn’t run a bad race in her career and although she hasn’t seen the turf her speed will still be dangerous. Rumble Doll gets a look if one of the top three are scratched.

Race 6      3-4-2

Sanctifica ran very well first out. Has a huge speed advantage and Clement is high percentage second time out, The Strip ships up from CD for McPeek who is doing very well at the meet. Good enough to compete with these. Midnight Citra gets first Lasix in her sixth start. Has been suffering from seconditis but can improve enough to get over the top today.

Race 7      1-8-3-6

Aussie Prayer came very close to breaking her maiden last out at this level and seems the one to beat. Not Now Joanie has shown speed at the MSW level and should carry it farther dropping to the MCL ranks. Kitty Kat is another dropping from the MSW level and adds blinkers today. Figures say she has a shot. My Kinda Gal goes second off the layoff for Pletcher. Have to respect the connections.

Race 8      2-1-3

Whale Rock has two excellent starts. Love the last when he was well out of it early and made a strong run to win. Little Popsie looks a step slower, but with Pletcher and Velasquez his chances improve substantially. Ride a Cat broke his maiden in strong fashion but flopped in his first with winners. If he runs back to his maiden he has good outs at a long price.

Race 9      5-1-6

A Lot looks very strong here. The addition of Lasix got him to his best figures, including a second in a Grade 2. The mile should be perfect. Noona’s Boy has been running with some pretty good stakes three year olds and while he doesn’t have a turf start he has plenty of turf breeding. Interesting at the odds. Gallery is another who doesn’t seem to run a bad race. Seems to like BEL and is well suited for the distance.

Race 10   3-8-2

Well Lawyered drops way down for this run. First start of the year he was competitive early but faded badly. Should improve loads today. Dominic’s Smile benefited from a DQ last out but fits at this level. Prophet’s Cat seems more likely in the verticals but has the figures to be a factor.