I like today’s card. All selections are for a fast track and races on the turf.
Race 1 3-1A-6
The first race is one of the early two year old races. I’m favoring the two Bustin Stones horses trained by Michael Mareina. They both sold for nine times the stud fee and they’ve obviously been working as a tandem. I like their pattern – a fast three furlong work followed by some good four furlong workouts. I wonder about the filly running with the boys, and she may not be as strong as the others. Rajiv Maragh rides the Mareina colt and that looks like a positive. The RuRod entry has to be given some consideration.
Race 2 4-3
Darling Bridezilla has a good turn of speed and is in top form.
Ginnny’s Grey drops in half for this run and goes second off the claim for 2015’s hot trainer Danny Gargan. Go Olivia Go is another dropper. She’s been off for five months after running in 42 races in the last two years. The works are nothing special and it’s been quite a while since we could see how she runs off a layoff, but I like the potential of a well-rested horse. My Donna Jean is the last of the class droppers and can be used.
Race 3 3-2-5
Mail goes for Chad Brown and Ken Caramouche, a 43% combo. He has consistent figures and has one good race over the BEL surface. Mylute has a steady diet of stakes races and goes first time for Pletcher. Integrity has a ton of early foot and just a little trouble finishing, but is still the dangerous speed.
Race 4 2-4-5-9
Nic N Jr hasn’t run a bad one in a while and the Lezcano /Cibelli combination is 6 for 13. Ducks Dock is the closer in the field and with a clear run can be dangerous in the stretch. Weekend Express didn’t run horribly first time with winners and with some improvement can make a dent. Cuppa Joe could be the controling pace and may not back up against this group.
Race 5 5-7-9
Cody’s Notes made an uninspired first start in 2015 but improvment can be expected second time out. Crescent Street should have the lead but has looked heartless in the stretch. This group may be an easier puzzle to solve. Fordham Bound drops out of a straight maiden. The works are steady and he is worth a look. If Plundering makes it in, he is a contender.
Race 6 7-8-4
Letsgotovegas crushed her maiden field and with small improvement should defeat this group. Edith dropped last out in search of a win and almost got it. Second time may be the charm.
Busted Handle came up with nice figure on the last race on the turf and if she transfers that form to the dirt she’s competitive. Underthemoonlight ran well at this level three back and should be competitive here.
Race 7 8-2-1
Compliance Officer comes off a six month break. Last time he did that he ran fourth in a stakes. This is a decidedly easier field. Has a penchant for BEL. Asset Inflation is three of four on the BEL turf. He’s another coming off a break. Last out he was over his head but is in the right spot today. Dowse’s Beach is always competitive and the works say ready to go.
Race 8 7-3-2
Face the Music improved noticeably with the addition of Lasix and has the best last race figure.
Gallery is overlayed at 12-1 ML. Plenty of early foot and fits the conditions. Competitive in here. Fundamental goes first time with winners for Chad Brown and with a little improvement could have a say in the outcome. Ship Disturber has some good races on the dirt but has decent turf breeding. Worth a look at the odds.
Race 9 6-10-3-5
Polar Axis showed improvement last out on the AQU dirt. 15-1 ML reflects the fact his figures aren’t quite as fast as others in here, but the works are steady and with more improvement no reason this one can’t be a factor at a price. Bold Over ran well first out while failing as the favorite and should be better second time. New York Victory drops out of MSW into a claiming race. He showed a bit of ability and the drop should be in his favor. David Rocks dropped to this level in search of a win last out and ran his best race. Competitive in here.