Belmont May 17

Race 1      6-5-3

Flag On the Play was claimed last out by Servis and he is 34% with new arrivals. Alysaro should be one of the horses battling up front. Takes a pretty good drop into this MCL off a long layoff, but Englehart is 21% with horses coming back. Island Therapy failed in the slop last time but has the figures to break through for win number 2.

Race 2      3-2-7

Beyond the Green raced well first time with winners. His breeding suggests a preference for the turf, and that may be enough to break him back to the winners circle. J.C.’s Not Brown puts the blinkers and has the best turf numbers in the field. Bullhead Boy goes for the strong Pletcher/Velasquez combination. Has been with better and we’ll see if the turf makes a difference today.

Race 3      3-1-4

10 year old Be Bullish just keeps on going. The sentimental choice. Attractive Ride is another old veteran. A 25% career winner with the figures to give Be Bullish a run.  American Creed drops down to this level and is competitive off his best.

Race 4      2-8-7 

Magical Miss is far better bred for the turf and distance, and she was well enough thought of to be made the favorite last out. Possible proce horse. Summersault is the horse with the fastest turf number and should be feared here. Bebob Raindrop has a decent start over the BEL turf. Come is off an 8 month layoff, puts the shades on, and works say go.

Race 5      3-4-5

Goodtimehadbyall has consistently good figures and fits the class. Have to wonder why he failed first out for Patrick Reynolds, but I’m willing to give a guy having a good 2015 so far a chance. Doc Almon goes first time for DJ and that is always reason to consider a horse. Has won with better recently. Regulus goes for the strong combo of RuRod and Irad. Has had success at BEL.

Race 6       8-6-3

Whale Rock just missed first time out after a troubled start and has the best time of the group. So Noted goes first out for Charlton Baker. I like the workout pattern where he shows a speedy three furlongs early and some good four and five furlong works. At 6-1 ML I like his prospects. True Bet has been close as this level for a while. Now he’s newly gelded and that’s enough to give him a shot here.

Race 7      10-1-2-8

Runaway Posse goes for low provile connections but has been turfing with some success, including a win over the BEL turf. Macagone is coming in as a new gelding and has had competitive efforts on the turf, including a win at Belmont. Looks like all the front speed here. Thurgood makes his season debut for Clement. He looked good last year, has nine more months of development and plenty of room for improvement. Sonnyandpally is looking for three in a row. Has been struggling with NW1X but has competitive turf numbers.

Race 8      4-2-3

My Won Love is better suited at this level. Has the front speed and competitive numbers. Here’s Zealicious was brilliant in 2014 but has been struggling since the claim by Chatterpaul. I’m banking she’s better on the BEL dirt than the AQU inner. Lady Gracenote drops a few notches since the claim by Diane Balsamo. Still, she’s a dangerous competitor.

Race 9      5-11-6

Stormy Sky drops out of MSW into the MCL ranks and her one race on the BEL truf was not that bad. At 6-1 ML I like the possibilities. Your Turn has one of the better turf figures and should be coming at the end. Another interesting longshot for me. Lirica Heat has a lot of starts and generally I don’t favor 10+ start maidens, but perhaps the change of scenery helps.