Aqueduct January 25

Race 1      6-5-4

Star Magnolia has a good wet track record and is running second off the claim for the effective Abby Adsit. Casual Elegance has five starts on a wet racetrack with 3 seconds and a third and that seems to be her style. Good enough to finish in the money, problems cracking the winners circle. Drops a notch today in search of the win. Brad’s Ruby drops way down for Jeremiah Englehart. Has shown a good turn of foot in her wins and should be pushing the pace.

Race 2      2-4-5

Aleander makes his fourth start since coming to the Jacobson stable from the West Coast. Overall the best figures but not likely to be value. Laghubaar drops from straight maidens to the claiming ranks looking for a win. Considering his first two starts were uninspiring and his connections are willing to let him go cheap after paying $400K at the August 2012 Fasig Tipton sale, they don’t see a bright future for him. Still, he may be good enough to catch a piece here. Perfect American is approaching the professional maiden ranks but does have his best races on the inner and on a wet track.

Race 3      7-5-1

Lubango has been knocking around for a while and has been in the money 50% of his starts. A wet track won’t bother him and he should be able to get good position from his outside post. Holy Invader was only a quarter length behind Lubango and that was his best start in a while. Has been better in the past. Last win came on the inner and perhaps today will be his day. Do a Leggar should be the speed in this race and is two of four on the wet going.

Race 4      6-4-3

Laila’s Jazz has been with better in the past and has the best figure of anyone in the last year. He had bad luck in the race on Dec 8, falling over a downed horse but came back to run well against the strong Be Bullish. Third time on the inner is a charm. Ground Force goes first off the claim for Jacobson. Been off almost four months but has been working steadily in January. Horse likes to win and has been successful on a wet track. Brass Pear is the speed of the speed, and has the best last race figure by far, but is 0 for 4 on the wet. Still a major player.

Race 5      7-4

Is She Hot drops down for RuRod and looks poised against this field. Shine On Erin inherits the second spot. She had her best finish in the slop last out after being wide.

Race 6      9-3-1

Towering Moon is making his second start off a 10 month layoff. Last out he didn’t get out well from the outside post but if he has a better break today should be a big factor. Longfor the City started in September after being off a year, and has been off since. In the meantime he switched trainers to Chad Brown and while the horse likely has had physical issues, the fact that Brown puts him on the track is a positive sign. Goodtolook benefits from the scratch of the ML favorite. Should have the lead and has big numbers from his last on the AQU slop.

Race 7      9-3-2

Court Dancer didn’t look great last out but prior to that had been close. One second from his only start on a sloppy track. Second lasix may help. Jazzminegem ran well in his comback after being off since April. Seems to thrive on the inner. My Won Love has two good races in a row on a wet track. Figures to be fighting at the end.

Race 8      8-7-1

Deceived is making the critical third start of a layoff for top conditioner Michelle Nevin. Was much better at the beginning of 2014, running well enough to place in the Damon Runyon and start in the Gotham. If he recaptures some of that form, he’s the main contender. Royal Posse gets the ultimate equipment change (to a gleding) for this start. Should be toward the front and has shown heart in the stretch. Wildniteattheopera has not finished worse than second in his career, including a trip at this level in the slop last out. May be the value.

Race 9      7-6-3

Marcy inherits the top spot with the scratch of Discreet Force. Not a win machine, but just missed on a good track two back and does make a serious drop in price for this start. Alpha J. gets a huge boost with the scratch of the ML favorite; should be the speed of the speed and is capable of wiring a field with an easy lead. Inaflash has a lot of positives. She’s in good condition, has a recent win on the inner, and is effective on wet tracks.