All posts by richhalvey

Asmussen and Thyroxine

As is my tradition, Thanksgiving is for family, not betting horses, so I won’t be posting selections this week. However, I want to give thanks for all the friends and followers I’ve made in the last year. It’s a lot of work doing the selections and the blog, but knowing it is appreciated is payment enough. Meanwhile, horseracing news never stops, so here is a new blog on the trevails of Steve Asmussen and his fight with PETA. Enjoy.

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We waited for the decision on Steve Asmussen and his alleged abuse of horses (as presented by PETA) for what seemed like years. Actually it was years. I won’t keep you in suspense any longer. The New York State Gaming Commission called the most serious PETA allegatons “unfounded.” I expect that will hardly discourage PETA. Horseracing for them is animal abuse for a number of reasons, but mostly because it is horseracing.

Any relief Asmussen may have felt was short lived, because while he didn’t face penalties for the worst of the PETA allegations, he did get fined $10,000  for the administration of thyroxine, a hormone made by the thyroid gland and one of the most important of the thyroid hormones, less than 48 hours before a race. In humans it affects almost every process of the body, including body temperature, growth and heart rate. It is estimated that 20 million Americans (7% of the population) suffer from some form of thyroid disease. (Consider this a public service announcement. Get your thyroid levels checked.)

Although Asmussen beat the worst of the raps, the NYSGC found that three PETA allegations against Asmussen or his team were valid: that veterinarian Joseph Migliacci allowed partially completed furosemide eligibility forms to be completed by third-parties in his presence; that thyroxine was used without evidence of its medical necessity; and that Asmussen administered synthetic thyroxine.

Interestingly, those three things are not covered by Commission regulations, and he was not fined for any of them. One of Asmussen’s lawyers, Clark Brewster, criticized the NYSGC fine Asmussen received for thyroxine because they never held a formal hearing or presented allegations to which he could respond.

Brewster said, “Wouldn’t it be nice to have some due process? It is not a drug. It is a hormone. It’s not listed in any way as a drug or hormone that you cannot use.” He added that it was the first time to his knowledge that anyone had been fined for using thyroxine.

In researching hypothroidism in horses, the consensus seems to be that, unlike the human population, it is a rare condition in horses, and there are a lot of things that can impact throid levels, including

  • The age of a horse (young horses have higher levels than adult horses)
  • Season (cold temperatures stimulate the thyroid gland while warm temperatures inhibit it)
  • Time of day (levels generally spike in the late afternoon and are lowest between midnight and 4 a.m.)
  • Use of anti-inflammatories at the time of testing (corticosteroids suppress thyroid function, and NSAIDS will also skew test results)
  • Stress, systemic inflammation (e.g., infection)
  • Activity level (horses in training have more circulating thrroid level)
  • Animals eating  while being sampled tend to have higher thyroid levels
  • Certain plants can inhibit thyroid function by altering iodine metabolism.
  • Certain medications (e.g., bute and acepromazine) can lower thyroid hormone levels
  • Even dietary imbalances in daily iodine intake can cause imbalances in daily thyroid levels.

The point is that it is not inconceivable that Asmussen’s vet could have measured levels that indicated hypothyroidism, even if it was related to external factors, and recommended thyroxine therapy. In fact, Asmussen’s attorney Brewster said Asmussen used the hormone on limited horses on the advice of veterinarians to treat low thyroid levels. “It wasn’t just haphazard use of a hormone,” he said. He also noted that the “proof” of Asmussen’s indiscriminate use of thyroxine came from PETA, and was not gathered by NYSGC investigators. In the absence of blood tests, no animal doctor could reach a conclusion on a horse’s hormone levels, and according to Brewster, Asmussen willingly provided all the records that would have justified thyroxine treatment.

All things considered, fining Asmussen may have been as much a political move as one that was necessary to protect racing. Even if anecdotally the chances of Asmussen’s horses having hypothyroidism seem pretty minimal, by stepping outside due process NYSGC has raised legitimate concerns that they are willing to ignore their own rules in an effort to appease outside groups or to put themselves in some sort of limelight. Asmussen’s lawyer pointed out that thyroxine isn’t listed anywhere as a banned substance and this is true for a whole slew of vitamins, hormones, and supplements. NYSGC applied tortured reasoning to fine Asmussen for a substance that is not illegal to use, and it is a short distance to making anything they please a finable offense.

There is another interpretation of the NYSGC action to fine Asmussen. Because NYSGC wasn’t going to punish Asmussen for the most serious PETA violations, they wanted to either prove they took PETA seriously, throw them a bone, or perhaps get them off their case. NYSGC made it a point to conclude three of the PETA allegations had merit, even though none of the three was a violation of NYSGC regulations. NYSGC executive director Robert Williams, in a written statement, praised PETA for its role “in bringing about changes necessary to make Thoroughbred racing safer and fairer for all.” Considering they slathered Asmussen with the nasty allegations that NYSGC determined had no merit, and their major contribution was pointing out Asmussen’s vet oversaw filling out forms instead of doing it himself, there wasn’t proof positive from PETA that Asmussen’s horses had hypothyroidism, and Asmussen treated his horses himself with a legal, therapeutic medication, it might be a little over the top to give PETA too much credit, unless of course there was some pandering going on.

It also could have been a message to those pushing for federal legislation that New York can take care of business and doesn’t need U.S. ADA intervention.

Lest you wonder if keeping PETA at bay was on NYSGC’s mind, a story in the Blood Horse noted NYSGC didn’t stop at dispensing with Asmussen.  It said, They (NYSGC) also proposed changes in drug rules. NYSGC said it wants to make it impossible for veterinarians and trainers to “experiment” with drugs or use them as a training tool. One rule read, “No drug may be administered except to treat a diagnosed medical disorder or as a generally accepted preventive medical practice.”

It went on, “No drug or other substance that could abnormally affect a horse should be administered unless in the course of reasonable, good-faith care of the horse,” states the proposed rule change. Officials said the wording is meant to broadly bolster regulators’ enforcement abilities against the improper use of drugs. The NYSGC also is advancing draft rules to require that trainers keep logs of any drugs a stable gives to a horse, and new rules for how veterinarians can renew equine drug prescriptions.

To be fair, PETA influence or not, it’s a reasonable protection to draw the line between using therapeutic medications to enhance performance and using them to legitimately treat a condition. The wording may need some scrutiny (what exactly does “abnormally affect” mean), but the idea is at least legitimate for discussion.

Back to Asmussen, as I’ve said in the past, applying a broad, generic definition means EVERYTHING is performance enhancing, including water (I certainly hope pointing that out doesn’t get it on the NYSGC list of finable substances). If Asmussen gives his horses feed, it contains all sorts of “performance enhancing” vitamins and minerals. Is it just a matter of time before enriched feed becomes illegal, especially if NYSGC rules wind up with highly interpretable language?

If NYSGC gets away with fining Asmussen without establishing his guilt for violating a Commission rule at a hearing where he has a chance to defend himself, we are officially on the slippery slope. Not a single one of the people on that Commission would approve of a legal system that would convict them of a crime, and punish them, without having a hearing in front of an impartial judge and an impartial jury with an opportunity to present their side of the case. Yet, they don’t think twice about acting with the authority of an imperial monarch in this case.

Whether you think Asmussen should be punished for administering thyroxine is beside the point. You should be incensed at the way NYSGC handled the situation. Regardless of your passion for punishing trainers who look to gain an edge by administering performance enhancing substances, it is a black eye for horseracing to punish a trainer without a proper hearing, sufficient factual evidence, and an opportunity to present a defense. Don’t miss the point – this isn’t about thyroxine. This isn’t about needing more rules to constrain drug use. It’s about how the future bodes for trainers that are found in violation of rules that never existed. It is about absolute power corrupting absolutely.

I would hope the horsemen do not let this pass unchallenged. NYSGC owes everyone a legal, defensible justification for Asmussen’s fine.

Qui tacet consentit

RMTC Response to Roy Sedlacek Post

A week ago I posted a piece on trainer Roy Sedlacek pleading guilty to the use of a supplement containing the banned Class A drug, AH-7921. In that post I criticized the Racing Medication and Testing Consortium (RMTC) for not being more proactive in the testing of supplements. RMTC sent me a response to the column and that response, unedited, is shown below.

Let me first say that we are on the same page when it comes to illegal, performance enhancing drugs in racing. Ensuring trainers are not administering illegal substances to horses is critical to protect the integrity of racing. While I have (deservedly) taken some of the racing commissions to task for how they dealt with certain medication/drug cases (but have not criticized the test results or testing labs), I have consistently said that trainers who knowingly administer substances with the intent to gain a performance edge should be dealt with harshly. In my recent blog on H.R. 3084 (http://halveyonhorseracing.com/?p=2580) I also supported HBPA, ARCI, WHOA and other groups working in concert to deal with drug and medication issues. A theme in my blogs is that there needs to be a combined proactive effort to educate horsemen about drugs, medications and supplements. 

I’m certainly not looking to get into a non-productive back and forth. RMTC had a legitimate point that my blog may have made it sound as if they were doing nothing on supplement testing. Clearly they are, and I have revised the Sedlacek blog post to make that clear. You can make up your own mind whether the efforts they discuss below to test supplements are sufficient.

I certainly had no issue with the testing New York did to find AH-7921 in Sedlacek’s horses, and it’s comforting to hear RMTC is trying to find tests for previously undetectable substances, although nothing in my blog made any criticism of NY or RMTC for their post-race testing work. It was disappointing to hear that RMTC does not issue  some sort of public notification every time they detect a new illegal substance, especially because the number one issue for many horseplayers is the perception that there is rampant use of undetectable, illegal substances in horseracing. It may be just my opinion, but knowing RMTC is aggressively responding to the perception is critical to the long term health of the game. How will we know unless they make an effort to get the results of their work out there? If there is one thing that has been consistent in my blogs, it is the need for transparency in all aspects of enforcement.

I would concede that my statement in the blog, “…if they were really serious about cleaning up the sport they would be ordering Lightning Injection and the rest of these unregulated supplements and testing them,” could be interpreted in the extreme as telling them they needed to purchase every compound on the internet for testing. Even if that is the ideal, it may or may not be asking for too much. I’ve revised the Roy Sedlacek blog to make it clear when I am talking about ARCI and RMTC, and have clarified thoughts about testing supplements based on the RMTC comments.

I’m not sure how many supplements there are out there – horseprerace.com listed 373 products, but many of them appeared to be repeats, double listings and size differences, so maybe 150-200 unique products on that site. While I’m not sure the number of products out there is too daunting to put on a regular testing schedule, the RMTC comments did reinforce the point I made about supplements – they are unregulated, often do not contain the listed amounts of ingredients, and can be contaminated. You can test two bottles of the same product and come up with different results. Still, even that is worth knowing for trainers and the public. If you want to minimize the impact of these supplement manufacturers, the best way to do it is to hoist them on their own petards by showing they are inconsistent and possibly dangerous.

We all know there are snake oil peddlers active at racetracks, armed with their own “studies” about the efficacy or safety of their products. It is important for the RMTC to reinforce that they are fighting fire with fire by informing trainers and the public of the testing they are doing. Even the RMTC assertion that of the 100 unknown substances they have tested in the past few years, “[only] three have had anything more than sterile water, preservatives, sugars, and amino acids or various combinations of specially compounded common medications,” should validate a more aggressive testing program because it is just as useful for trainers to know they are snake oil as they contained illegal substances. Trainers are using these supplements because somewhere they got the idea they work, and they’ll keep using them until it is proven they don’t. 

Current post race testing yields less than 0.5% positives, and 0.01% positives for Class 1 and 2 substances. The testing of 100 supplements referenced in the RMTC letter apparently yielded 3% illegal substances. It would be absurd to argue that we should substantially limit post race testing, even based on those results, and I would say three out of 100 supplements is also worth the effort, regardless of the difficulties.

I’ll end where I started. The work of the RMTC is a critical part of cleaning up the game, and they are to be lauded for what they do. But I still believe they could do much more, and I still believe we spend far too much trying to catch trainers after the fact, and not nearly enough on proactive, pre-emptive research. At the end of the day, a violation avoided is worth far more than a violation punished. Get the information out there to the public and the trainers about the effectiveness and results of RMTC and it will benefit the game.

As for making a donation, all of us horseplayers are already “donating” 15 to 30 cents of every dollar we bet. I suggest you start by convincing the people that divvy up the booty to give you a larger cut, and if you want my support on that, you’ve got it.

The RMTC response is below.

 

RMTC Response to Roy Sedlacek Post

I recently read Rich Halvey’s commentary in halveyonhorseracing.com regarding the recent positives called in New York for AH-7921.  In response, I would like to take Mr. Halvey’s statements regarding the RMTC to task and encourage him to reach out to us at the RMTC before he posts another misinformed piece.

First and foremost, while it is commendable that the New York Drug Testing Laboratory found AH-7921 in post-race samples, it is certainly not novel or unexpected. Horseracing testing laboratories have been aware of this substance and have been testing for it for several years. Developing methods for finding new substances is a requirement for RMTC Accreditation. As a result, the RMTC Accredited Laboratories are continually working to find tests for previously undetectable substances. Even though  a press release is not issued every time a new drug is detected or a new test is developed, that does not mean we are not finding new substances and developing new tests daily.   

 Second, RMTC does order a myriad of substances that are available via the internet – in addition to those provided to the RMTC by trainers, veterinarians or racing jurisdictions. These are tested for the presence of prohibited substances.   Some of the findings are rather interesting so we are not surprised Mr. Sedlacek purchased what he thought was ITPP and ended up with an AH-7921 positive. In the past three years, the RMTC has greatly increased its focus on an area we call Tactical Research. As a part of that Tactical Research, the RMTC has tested:

  •  Many substances purchased on the internet by RMTC or trainers on behalf of RMTC;
  • Several substances anonymously mailed to the RMTC by trainers;
  • Over 30 substances confiscated during barn and veterinarian truck searches in New Mexico – in which RMTC staff personally participated;
  • Numerous substances confiscated in Florida;
  • Two substances confiscated from a barn in Delaware and identified dichloroacetic acid and tadalafil; and
  • Individual substances that were submitted by numerous jurisdictions.

Just in the last few months, the RMTC has submitted three substances from three separate jurisdictions to RMTC Accredited Laboratories for analysis. Moreover, the RMTC works with many states and racetracks that are willing to spend their own funds to have substances analyzed in horse racing laboratories. RMTC has developed a protocol that we follow and that we share with others to use in requesting these services.

Of the nearly one hundred unknown substances that RMTC or individual jurisdictions have tested in the past few years, only three have had anything more than sterile water, preservatives, sugars, and amino acids or various combinations of specially compounded common medications. Two of those were for the substances submitted by Delaware. The final one was from a trainer who anonymously submitted a colorless injectable liquid.

In his article, Mr. Halvey suggests that the RMTC purchase every compound on every website for testing. While a portion of our Tactical Research budget is used for that purpose – it is one of the least fruitful areas. This is because the substances on these websites are unregulated, fringe sources.  That means that there is no expectation of consistency in the products. Because of this, formulations and additives can change based upon what is cheap, available, or fashionable in the drug maker’s mind. Thus, even testing these products once will be insufficient. This is why we test these substances continuously.

Furthermore, the RMTC does much more with its Tactical Research budget than just testing substances. With Tactical Research funds, the RMTC has funded:

  •  Research regarding cobalt for the development of an endogenous threshold;
  • Research for gamma aminobutyric acid (GABA) for the development of an endogenous threshold;
  • Development of a dermorphin standard so that all laboratories were able to detect and identify it; and
  • Research on hair testing – with the goal of testing for illicit substances using a methodology that allows for long-term detection.

In sum, the RMTC views emerging threats seriously. In the past three years we have dedicated significant time and resources to researching these and other areas of horse safety and racing integrity and with support from across the horse racing industry, we will continue doing so in the future. As for funding these important endeavors, I encourage Mr. Halvey and everyone interested in racing integrity to visit www.rmtcnet.com to make a donation.  

 Hallie Roach Lewis

Communications & Development

Racing Medication & Testing Consortium

Aqueduct November 21

Race 1      Turf:  8-4-10    Dirt:  4-1A-10

Race 2      1-4-7

Race 3      Turf: 2-7-8    Dirt: 3-14-2

Race 4      1-8-3

Race 5      Turf:  1/1A-4-8    Dirt:  5-11-2B-3

Race 6      2-1-3-8

Race 7      4-7-6-2

Race 8      Turf:  3-6-4-2    Dirt:  13-12-14

Race 9      6-11-1

Aqueduct November 20

Race 1      3-6-1

Race 2      3-5-7  (the 1 would be included on a wet track)

Race 3      Turf:  6-9-11    Dirt: 12-4-14

Race 4      9-6-3

Race 5      3-6-5

Race 6      Turf:  7-10-6-4    Dirt:  7-13-16-14

Race 7      3-2-5

Race 8      Turf:  6-7-10-2    Dirt:  13-15-3

Race 9      10-5-2-6

Aqueduct November 19

Looks like it’s likely to get wet tomorrow. Just depends on what time the storm rolls in. Selections for both turf and dirt.

Race 1      Turf: 10-1-3-9      Dirt: 16-15-10

Race 2       1/1A-3-5

Race 3      Turf: 6-10-1-11      Dirt: 13-14-8

Race 4      2-7-6

Race 5      1-2-3

Race 6      3-6-5-2

Race 7      Turf: 1-6-9      Dirt: 5-1A-3

Race 8      5-2-1-8

Race 9      Turf: 3-8-5      Dirt: 6-16-15

Aqueduct November18

Race 1      3-4-7

This is a cheap race and a lot of the starters are destined to be at this level a while. Frankly, part of the reason they are running at this level is that they are unreliable. Buyer beware. McKenzie’s Way gets the nod for a few reasons. He was claimed by DJ three back and has come close in low level claimers since. His last race was at half this price at LRL but don’t be fooled – it’s the same bottom level group he’s in today. He was also racing with much better earlier in the year. DJ is bringing him back in a week, and that may or may not be a great move, but he is 20% with those horses.  Grosero might be as close as we’ll come to a price in this race. At FL earlier this year he was tearing up the cheap claiming ranks. I’d be happier if he was back with Bruce Anderson, but Michael Aro is at least familiar with the horse. He’lll be near the front and may forget to back up. First Bid was grabbed by Contessa two back and he looks competitive with these horses. If you are playing the horizontals, you might want to contemplate the all button.

Race 2      5-6-1

This maiden claiming event for two year olds is another race where the horses that have already started look suspect and the first time starters don’t stand out. Wicked One is dropping out of MSW for top conditioner Mark Casse. Voided Contract was probably not on her best surface with the muddy BEL track but still ran well. Looking for improvement today. Kalabaka has two seconds in two starts and Violette is usually effective with young horses.

Race 3      3-6-2-7

Roccia d’Oro has two wins in Europe. He didn’t show well in a Group 2 in Italy but looked pretty good first time in America. Losing to Red Smith favorite and winner Mr. Maybe is nothing to be embarrassed about, and there is no Mr. Maybe in this race. He is the one to beat. Grey Wizard has a win at the distance. Last out he took the lead in the stretch and got passed late. Puts blinkers on today in an effort to focus. Coturnix was claimed three back by Abby Adsit and he’s been running open claimers at today’s price. He’s got a decent turn of foot and has a win at the distance and a second at AQU. At 15-1 he could make the verticals. Request has been looking for win number two for most of the last two years. He’s been no worse than fourth in the last year including a couple of nose loses. I’m not enamored with the horse in the win slot, especially at the odds, but he’d be hard to leave out of the verticals.

Race 4      6-5-3-10

Big Al Parker made an obvious improvement when dropped to the $40K level. Drops again AND moves from the turf to the dirt. He seems much better bred for the dirt and actually ran a decent race sprinting on the dirt earlier in the year. Looking at him for the value. Elusive New Yorker ran well in an off the turf sprint two back. Breeding suggests dirt may be the preferred surface and Rosario returns for the ride. Rich Dalone is developing the look for a horse that may prefer second to winning, but he has the figures to be competitive here. El Genio drops slightly for this run. He’s got plenty of speed and may be the one to catch.

Race 5      8-7-5-2

Successful Sweep steps up a notch but has been running well all year. She had been racing on the dirt all year until her last, a decent effort on the turf. She actually has a win on the turf and is well bred for the distance. Angel Choir is on a two race win streak and drops down a bit in the try for three in a row. Looks like the one to catch. Mobilize ships over from Laurel. She’s been seaching at the NW1X level for the second win and drops down to $35K. Figures say she’s got a big shot. Egyptian Magic won a NW2L by daylight in an off the turf affair and figures well here.

Race 6      1/1A-5-7

The Dominck Shettino entry of Heady Creek and Sean and Matt should be tough in this spot. Heady Creek just beat a $10K maiden field and shouldn’t be making much of a jump to this level. He had been totally non-competitive on the turf and the move to the dirt produced a different horse. Sean and Matt was a complete flop on the turf last out but prior to that ran a fair third in a $25K claimer. He hasn’t been any closer to this level than that race and should benefit from the drop. Sourcesandmethodshas been popular at the claiming box lately. He just missed at the $16K level two back and lost to Pin and Win and the now infamous Bossmon, Roy Sedlacek’s horse who ran on AH-7921. Figures well with this group. All My Trails drops almost in half for this run and his best recent run came in an off the turf affair on a muddy track.

Race 7      3-9-7

Fourstar Crook won an open MSW last out for the deadly duo of Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. She drops into a state-bred NW1X today and given she’s got the fastest last race figure, she looks solid in the win slot. Hillaryinthehouse has been knocking at this level and might have been the favorite if not for Fourstar Crook. Hasn’t been around two turns but is well enough bred for the distance. Forever for Always has been knocking around looking for win number two for a few months. Has been close enough to get some consideration at  15-1 ML.

Race 8      2-4-5-8

Heaven’s Runway stumbled at the start of the Bold Ruler, rushed to the front, dueled all the way but faded at the end. Had a win in a restricted stakes at DEL in July and gets an interesting jockey switch to Alvarado here. Green Gratto dueled with Heaven’s Runway in the Bold Ruler but the 7F distance proved too tough. His best shot is at 6F and he gets the cutback today. We’ll see who wins the duel this time. Marriedtothemusic is almost 50% at the distance and 2 for 2 at AQU. Certainly worth a look at 12-1. This race is filled with speed and it looks like the best closer should be Joking. One to consider coming at the end.

Race 9      5-7-3-8

Secure Access improved when moved to the turf and has the best last race figure. Laquesta is the likely front runner and will have to be caught. She’s fast enough and courageous enough to make a race of it. Pay the Kitten goes for Chad Brown who is 31% second time out. Improvement puts her right there. My Dinah Lee goes second time for Mott who is not known for his proficiency with first timers. He stretches her out today and Chris DeCarlo should be sticking with Laquesta early.

Thoroughbred Horseracing Integrity Act of 2015

There has been a lot of discussion about the Barr-Tonko legislation (H.R. 3084) and whether it is necessary to improve racing. The primary proponent of the legislation is the Coalition for Horseracing Integrity. The Coalition represents a diverse group of horse racing and animal welfare organizations including The Jockey Club, Breeders’ Cup Ltd., the Water Hay Oats Alliance, the Humane Society of the United States, the Humane Society Veterinary Medical Association, the Kentucky Thoroughbred Association and the Kentucky Thoroughbred Owners & Breeders.

On the other side, the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) and the Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association (HBPA) oppose the legislation.

Ostensibly, the Bill is supposed to improve the integrity and safety of Thoroughbred horseracing by requiring a uniform anti-doping program to be developed and enforced by an independent Thoroughbred Horseracing Anti-Doping Authority (THADA). While it is true there is not absolute uniformity across jurisdictions currently, all or part of the groups that favor the legislation must also believe horseracing in its current form is corrupt, inept, unsafe or all three, a conclusion that flies in the face of statistics published by ARCI. Why else would we need federal legislation unless the only thing standing between failure and prosperity is regulatory uniformity, and the only way to get it was HR 3084?

Less than one-half of one percent of all urine and blood tests come back with a positive for a substance overage, and of those only a very small percentage are not related to approved therapeutic medications. In other words, on the face of it, the urgency of Barr-Tonko is that the handful of Class 1 or 2 violations (out of the hundreds of thousands of races run every year) not related to therapeutic medication or environmental contamination are convincing proof the system needs serious repair.To believe these statistics are wrong, you have to believe either

  • Like many of the people in the recently completed DRF survey, you are convinced that no matter what statistics say, trainers are spiking their horses with great regularity and getting away with it; or
  • ARCI is corrupt and hiding the real numbers; or
  • The jurisdictions are selective or inconsistent in their enforcement; or
  • Testing labs are either incompetent, hiding results, or simply not testing for the right performance enhancing substances.

Although the legislation doesn’t say this overtly, it is hard not to conclude there may be one other purpose – to deal with the issue of raceday Lasix. It is the 800 pound gorilla in the room. It appears WHOA and the animal welfare folks are not simply hoping to add a layer of bureaucracy on top of that which already exists in the states, but to have one place where they can finally tell all the recalcitrant racing commissions that Lasix four hours before a race is no longer allowed.

Let’s look at the important elements of the bill.

The highlight of the legislation is the establishment of the THADA. THADA is supposed to be independent (whatever that means exactly) and is responsible for developing and administering an anti-doping program for horses, persons and races covered by the Act. I’ll detail just how that differs from the current organization for drug testing below.

The THADA is supposed to be composed of

  • The head of the U.S. Anti-Doping Agency;
  • Five U.S. ADA board members;
  • Five individuals from different constituencies of the thoroughbred industry.

The U.S. ADA is required to solicit lists of two candidates each from a cross-section of owners, trainers, veterinarians, racing associations, State racing commissions and jockeys. That’s five representatives from six constituencies. It also suggests the U.S. ADA should make an effort to include the most broadly based organization(s) from each constituency.

Notice any group missing? That’s right, the one group that provides the funding for the sport and is most affected by horses that race with illegal levels of medications or drugs, the betting public.

Notice anything else? More than 50% of the THADA is made up of people who were appointed to the U.S. ADA. I looked at each of the members. You have ex-Olympic athletes, a couple of medical doctors, a lawyer, a swimming coach, someone with drug-free kids, and a college professor in sports management. In other words, not one single person who is familiar with horseracing or the use of medications in racing in any sort of depth. You have a majority of non-racing experts to counterbalance the minority of potential experts.

Since the THADA is interested in avoiding any appearance of conflict of interest, the Bill requires nominees to not have a financial interest in, or provide goods and services to covered horses. Officials, officers or anyone else that works in policymaking or governance for any throughbred industry representative are similarly disallowed. Finally, any employees or people having a business relationship with the individuals or organizations described above are also disallowed.

Huh? I must not be reading this right, because it seems to say all the groups that are supposed to be on the board – owners, trainers, vets, racing associations, State racing Commissions and jockeys – appear to be immediately disqualified because they are associated with racing.

This is the exact language:

(c) CONFLICTS OF INTEREST.—To avoid any conflict of interest, no nominee or board member shall be—

(1) an individual who has a financial interest in or provides goods or services to covered horses;

(2) an official, officer, or serve in any governance or policymaking capacity for any Thoroughbred industry representative; or

(3) an employee or have a business or commercial relationship with any of the individuals or organizations described in paragraphs (1) or (2).

You can tell me if I am not reading that correctly.

The Bill also provides for the development of Standing Committees comprised of experts. I mention this only because the function of such committees eventually becomes a cost center.

The duties of the THADA will include

(1) lists of permitted and prohibited substances and methods;

(2) a schedule of sanctions for violations;

(3) programs relating to anti-doping research and education;

(4) testing procedures, standards, and protocols for both in-competition and out-of-competition testing;

(5) procedures for investigating, charging, and adjudicating violations and for the enforcement of sanctions for violations; and

(6) laboratory standards for accreditation and testing requirements, procedures, and protocols.

This is pretty standard stuff – in fact, it pretty much is what racing commissions do now. However, bear in mind, that any group with a specific agenda would now only have to convince the THADA to make a rule instead of 38 jurisdictions.

Also, consider one other thing. U.S. law does not apply in Canada. What do we do if Woodbine doesn’t adopt the same standards as THADA?

The authority of THADA is limited by the Bill. While they can decide which substances are permitted and prohibited, what the penalties should be for violations, what testing procedures should be, and how violations should be investigated, charged, adjudicated and enforced, they can’t actually do the work themselves. For that they would be dependent on the States. Perhaps not the most efficient organizational structure.

So to this point we have a THADA board primarily comprised of people outside of horseracing, with no representative from the primary funding group, with the same duties and responsibilities that current racing commissions have for developing drug and medication standards and associated penalties.

While THADA makes the rules and decides HOW they should be investigated, prosecuted, adjudicated and penalized, they leave the actual work of doing those things to the state racing commissions. Once again, the implication is that the state racing commissions are not getting it right, and need to be told what to investigate, how to investigate, and how to punish.

As has been noted, the centerpiece of the Bill is the anti-doping program. The program is required to include

(1) a uniform set of anti-doping rules;

(2) a list of permitted and prohibited substances and methods;

(3) a process for sample collection and analysis and test distribution;

(4) programs for in-competition and out-of-competition testing (including no-advance-notice testing and mandatory reporting of each horse’s location for testing);

(5) investigations related to anti-doping rule violations;

(6) management of violation results;

(7) laboratory accreditation; and

(8) disciplinary hearings, which may include binding arbitration, sanctions, research and education.

Once again, this is pretty much what racing commissions are responsible for now, although if you look at number (4) it seems like they grabbed the language right out of the U.S. ADA handbook. Olympic athletes can be tested anytime they are in training. It will be interesting to see how it goes to test horses as they are coming back to the barn after a gallop just to see if they were juiced up for the exercise. I mean the whole point of horseracing testing is to ensure a horse is not RACING with an illegal level or illegal substance. This out-of-competition testing may make sense for human athletes, but I’m not so sure knowing a horse is at 29 nanograms of Banamine after a workout should be grounds for an enforcement action. All the statistics and all the current testing suggest that unlike, say, cycling, horses are not juicing with steroids and EPOs, and even if they were, they’d get caught on raceday. Unlike most sports, horseracing has zero-tolerance for the kind of performance enhancing substances they are interested in controlling in cycling or the Olympics. Plus, considering how much it is costing just to test horses from a race, how much more would it cost to institute random testing between races?

THADA includes the absolute insurers rule in concept. The problem with the absolute insurers rule in the modern environment is that there are counter measures available to determine instances when the trainer is not responsible for a horse’s bad test. Things like security cameras should be mandatory. Drug testing for backside workers should be required, especially in cases where the measured level indicates an environmental contamination. Pro-active testing of common supplements, including feed, should be required. Requirements for investigations on the part of the enforcing agency need to be incorporated into rules. Once again, there is a missed opportunity to fix the weak parts of current regulations.

The Bill allows THADA to enter into an agreement with the State racing commissions to implement any of the rules developed by the THADA. While the racing commissions cannot be trusted to make the rules, apparently they can be given a chance to enforce the rules. In essence, things look about like they do now, except THADA decides what the rules are. In that case, the existing labs that are doing the sample testing will wind up being the labs doing the testing under the new THADA regime. After all, the states will still be responsible for sample collection and transport to the lab. One more thing that looks like the status quo and obviates the need for overlying federal legislation.

The really bad news is that the Bill states, Nothing in this Act requires the United States Government to provide funding for or to guarantee the debts of the Authority. The funds necessary for the establishment and administration of the Thoroughbred horseracing anti-doping program shall be paid entirely by the Thoroughbred horseracing industry…

The initial funding of the THADA would be done using donations and loans that would be paid back by assessing each jurisdiction a monthly payment. That payment would then be used for the continuing funding of the THADA. I don’t have a calculation handy, but considering the state payments have to fund the operation of THADA and all it’s standing communities, the only thing that stands between us an a multi-million dollar authority is the frugality of the appointed board.

If for no other reason, every serious horseplayer should oppose the legislation because unless states give up a portion of the take going to their operations (not likely since in the end they don’t really have less to do) the take will have to rise to cover the cost of running THADA. The number one issue for serious horseplayers is getting the take reduced, and anything that means it will be raised is not a good thing for us.

If the real purpose of the Bill was only to harmonize medication and drug testing and enforcement, there are avenues that could be explored short of federal legislation. In fact, I’m not sure we could successfully argue efforts to create uniform rules and standards have utterly failed. More and more jurisdictions are adopting ARCI’s uniform medication rules. While it may have taken time, ARCI may have succeeded in eventually getting all the major racing jurisdictions to harmonize.

Given who is supporting the Bill, it is hard to conclude anything other than the hidden agenda is the banning of raceday Lasix in all jurisdictions. Even if you favor a Lasix ban, it would be hard to sustain an argument that necessitated creation of an additional layer of oversight consisting primarily of people who know little about horseracing, and raising the already stiff amount horseplayers pay in the form of the takeout.

WHOA and the other Bill supporters are making an end run around the existing system because they have not been able to get their way by pushing the racing commissions. It is incumbent on these groups to make their argument irresistible if they expect to get their way.

The Barr-Tonko legislation in its current form is at the least flawed and at the most unnecessary. I believe most horseplayers would agree the discussion of medication and drug standards, enforcement, and punishment needs to occur. Harmonization of rules across jurisdictions should be part of that discussion. And when those discussions occur, ALL the stakeholders need to be represented. If HBPA, ARCI, WHOA and the rest of the Coalition for Horseracing Integrity don’t agree to start discussions with a sincere intent of reaching consensus, we may all find ourselves living in a regime none of us really wanted.

 

Aqueduct November 15

After yesterday’s results I’m wondering if most of us aren’t swimming upstream at AQU. I was especially taken by the crowd in the Red Smith. They made Mr. Maybe a 2-1 favorite against War Dancer, Kaigun, and Mr. Speaker. After the scratch of Great DancerI thought Mr. Maybe would be the value play (see yesterday’s blog). Honestly I was wavering about whether to take him at 5-1, his ML price, but at 2-1 it either meant the crowd had lost it’s collective sanity, or they provided the very definition of a synergy. It turns out all the big money was on a Chad Brown runner that had just won an OC $62K race. When the crowd is that smart, it’s going to be hard to make a buck. In nine races, other than the fluke in the second, the highest odds of the day were 9/2. It was a rarity, but I found no horses that looked like overlays in the entire card.  We’ll give it another try today.

Race 1      1-2-7

Hard to say if this race will produce a price, but the horses that have started do not look particularly superior. Mo d’Amour is a first timer for Todd Pletcher. Uncle Mo’s progeny have run well this year and the workouts look like typical Pletcher. Carella has two fair starts and gets Lasix today. Albertrani is not usually known for early success so the horse can get upgraded today. Rayella was sold for $170K off a $7,500 stud fee. Couple of sharp works suggest she’s in the mix.

Race 2      2-5-6

This has the appearance of a race any of the starters can win. Bird Prince just won for $25K and was claimed by Abby Adsit who is pretty fair with her claims. I’m banking that she keeps the horse rolling. Despite running for modest claiming tags, Aleander has been competitive in almost all his 2015 races and just won a $25K NW3 last out. He’s got two wins and two shows in four starts at AQU. Point Hope came off a short layoff to destroy a field last out. Came back with a good work two weeks ago and should be well recovered from the effort off the layoff.

Race 3      6-8-5

This is a pretty sad group all in all, with only one horse garnering his two wins in less than 10 races. Reach for Yield was grabbed by Michelle Nevin last out and she is 25% first off the claim. He’s got a good turn of foot and a win at the distance. Police Camp has run lifetime best figures in his last two starts and should be one of the horses coming toward the end. His last win was at the $40K level and at his best he’s competitive here.Talbot County is listed at 15-1 ML. He’s been racing at much higher price levels and has a win at $40K this year. Worth a look at the price.

Race 4      1/1A-6-8

She Is My Hero goes for Andrew Lakeman. Of the two she looks the weaker but she did show some speed last out when the blinkers went on and may be on the improve. Stoneheartedlover has been knocking around at this level a while and has the figures to compete with this group. Phocea ran a good second in a race where the jockey lost his whip and gets a big switch to Irad for this trip. Could be the move that puts him over the top. Mohawk Lily has been close without winning in a third of her starts. Goes back to Cancel who rode her well the one time he was up.

Ra ce 5      3-2-7-9

Jumpin Frac Flash made a serious price drop at the Meadowlands after struggling at the $50K level. He’s good enough to compete with this group. In Trouble makes a big drop to the $25K level and if he runs his best he’s got a big shot here. Chang’s Secret has run well in turf sprints and stretches out today. Given his speed he may be a factor. Celebrity Warrior has been running well in NJ and fits the conditions.

Race 6      1-7-3

You Got It has been gelded since his last start and is dropping from MSW to $40K. His first race says he can run with this group and Ru Rod is good with the drop to MCL. Zababa is another dropping from MSW and showed speed first time out. Asmussen is 24% second time out. Littlebitadominic goes second time for Linda Rice and she is usually better on the second start. He adds blinkers today.

Race 7      1-6-8-3

Sea Coast ran lights out first time in the states. If he runs that race he’s the winner. My Cara Mia takes the blinkers off after running a dull race with them on. Prior to that she won an allowance and finished a length and a half out in the Riskaverse. Neck of the Moon dead heated for third in the Ticonderoga and prior to that won at the NW1X level. Figures say he’s competitive. Fresh Feline comes off a bunch of consistently good races at the OC level. He’s run well on the turf and looks to transfer that to the dirt.

Race 8      6-3-7

Sherifa has plenty of speed and cuts back to seven furlongs. He’s run well at AQU and Linda Rice is good off the short layoff. Old Harbor has run well in state bred turf events and looks to make a splash on the dirt. He has a win and a second in two starts on the dirt. He’s definitely one of the classier runners. Saythreehailmary’s has done well at this level and is three of three in the money at AQU.

Race 9      6-8-2-5

Purim Party has shown speed in his last two and at 12-1 is worth a look. Loose Money has closed well in his last two, including a MSW. Should be coming again today. Plundering has been knocking on the door without getting through. One more chance today. River Knight is another with speed who just can’t seem to kick past the winner. As usual, he will be the one to catch.

Aqueduct November 14

I’m expecting we’ll be back on the turf today. The fist three races have five horse fields, so I’m not going to spend much time doing analysis.

Race 1      2-3-1

Race 2      4-1-3

Race 3       2-5-3

Race 4       3-1-9

The scratch of Boss Man changes the race slightly. Harpoon was a winner in a $25K starter handicap last out at the Medowlands and returns to the NY circuit today. He’ls not been as happy winning as finishing second, If he’s gotten the winning idea he has a good chance here. The Steve Klesaris entry of Three for Me and Frogman Mel look very strong here. Three for Me has been running well in 2015, not running a bad race until his last one when he checked sharply. Frogman Mel has had a good 2015 and has a win over the AQU turf. Elroi is the best closer in the field and should be doing his best running in the stretch.

Race 5      4-3-1

Governor Malibu comes off a 3rd place finish in the Sleepy Hollow at today’s distance. He’s been improving with each race and gets first Lasix today. Mind Your Biscuits stretches out today after finishing a dull third in a state-bred stakes sprint. This is a much weaker field and he is competitive here. Holdtherightcards has finished midpack in a couple of state-bred MSW and may catch a slice.

Race 6      9-6-1

Indebted comes from Woodbine where he ran evenly in the Toronto Cup. He certainly fits at this level and should appreciate the slight cutback in distance. Disco Partner didn’t like the mud in the Allied Forces but when he got back to the turf ran a big one. Looks primed to continue today. Rock Eagle was closing with interest in his last race and given the short number of career starts has lots of room for improvement.

Race 7      The Red Smith Handicap (G3)

One of the principles I attach to turf races is that Grade 1 horses are superior to Grade 2 horses which are superior to Grade 3 horses. The exception to that rule is a three year old that improves late in the season. The questions are, who are the higher level horses, and are there any three year olds that fit the bill. To start, there is only one three year old in the field, Great Dancer. Great Dancer arrived here from Ireland and was given to the care of James Lawrence. Lawrence is not a high percentage trainer and that counts against the horse. However, Great Dancer has improved with each start in the U.S. and ran his best figure since arriving here in the Grade 2 Hill Prince. The fact that the race was on a soft turf is another point in his favor. That may be offset by the fact that he’s never been the distance, and his breeding doesn’t suggest improvement with longer races. The final point in his favor is the jockey, Kenneth Carmouche, who has been as hot as any rider at this meet. For me the bottom line is this. Yes, he’s got a chance, especially considering we haven’t likely seen his best. The 20-1 ML odds indicate you could get a substantial reward for taking the chance. But realistically, you are taking a chance on a horse that hasn’t been proven at the class or the distance and banking on sharp improvement from a trainer that hasn’t been inspiring. I’d feel fine about using the horse in the verticals, and depending on how the odds break maybe a small win bet, but I’ll admit there would be an element of gambling in the bet. War Dancer is a solid Grade 2 horse that has been competitive against the top Grade 1 horses, including Slumber, Twilight Eclipse, Big Blue Kitten, Red Rifle, and Flintshire. He has a couple of positives. First, he likes to run toward the front, and in a race with very little speed, that will be an advantage. Second, he’s proven at the distance. The down side? His last two races look like he’s starting on the down side of his form cycle. He has Bill Mott and top turf rider Jose Lezcano going for him, and he’s had a month to get ready for this one. If he runs back to his spring/summer races, he tops the field. You’ll have to answer the question of whether he’ll regain that form, but you leave him out at your own peril. St. Albans boy looks a cut below the best in here, but he will do well at the distance. Iron Power is mildly dangerous because he has shown a lot of ability to set the early pace. Lately Clement has asked the horse to press, but it really looks like if he is to have any chance, he’ll revert to the front-running ways. Kaigun is another solid Grade 2 horse with plenty of experience with Grade 1 horses. His last two starts at Woodbine returned two nice figures. The Canadian International gave him experience at a mile and a half, an eighth of a mile longer than today’s distance. Mark Casse is a top trainer in Canada or the U.S. Definitely a contender here. Mr. Speaker is another solid Grade 2 horse, and has a victory in the Grade 1 Belmont Derby at a mile and a quarter. Shug McGaughey finally seems to have the horse on the right path, and off his best he is a deserving favorite. Holiday Star is not outless, but he seems to be a Grade 3 horse at best. His last two Grade 3 wins came in the Sycamore at Keeneland and he looks in the second tier. Mr. Maybe is the X-factor horse. He doesn’t show any graded races, but he did switch to Chad Brown who got him to win immediately at today’s distance. That race was an OC $62K, so he’s got a lot to prove, but he might be worth a thought in the back holes. Charming Kitten is without a graded win in the last two years, and although he gave Holiday Star a run for his money in the Sycamore, he doesn’t inspire me. The race comes down to three groups. The solid Grade 2 horses are Kaigun, Mr. Speaker and War Dancer, and I’ll select them in that order. Great Dancer is the improving three year old, and Mr. Maybe could be any sort now that Chad Brown has taken over the training duties. For me the most likely winner is one of the top three, but the value may lie in the other two.

Race 8      9-3-5

Ogermeister does have two wins, but 7 place finishes. He’s always competitive but often fails in the stretch. Still, should be part of the picture today. Howaboutwe  is coming in off a two race win streak, albeit at FL. He seems to be in top shape and Englehart is a great manager of getting his horses in the right spot. Adirondack Posse moved to the dirt to break his maiden and ran a decent race in his first with winners. Looks to be on the improve and should compete here.

Race 9       5-1-7

Bank Float has been competitive with much better in the recent past and looks like the strength of this field. The Imposter ran well after the claim by Joe Sharp, just missing at a lower level. He stetches out today but shouldn’t have any trouble with the distance. Should pass the test today. Chunnel comes off a win at a level down from here but has run well with better in the past.