Race 1.  The Lost Tigress ships in from FL although she’s been here before and has a second to show for it. She’s got plenty of natural speed and she rarely runs a bad race. Chickaletta is on a two race win streak including her last one at SAR. Seems to have stayed in good condition this year. Aix En Provence has a lot of starts but she’s still running well.  Primary 4-3-1  Secondary (7)

Race 2.  Munchkin Money is likely to go favorite on the strength of being trained by Chad Brown and ridden by Javier Castellano. She improved when dropped into the MCL ranks last out and really had no place to run in the stretch. Sneaky Fudge Face has been getting better with each start and last out ran well to the stretch. Weekend Hottie has a lot of thirds and may be useful in the verticals.  10-7-8

Race 3.  Sly Tom was claimed last time by Joe Sharp who has had a decent SAR meet. The blinkers go on today and Sharp is 14% with the move. Disard his last and prior to that he has the top figure. Dujac makes his 2016 debut for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. Last year he ran well and his three year old figures suggest he’s competive here Matador ran ok on the dirt last out but in his prior race he ran competitively on the turf.  Primary 5-6-7  Secondary (1, 4, 9)

Race 4. Kenyan improved when dropped into the MCL ranks and takes another tumble down the ladder today. Good rider switch to Jose Ortiz. Buckwellspent ran his best career race last out on the SAR dirt. Fits well in this group. Celtic Scout moves back to the dirt and turns back in distance. Good chance based on dirt figures.  Primary 9-1-5  Secondary (2)

Race 5.  Luckystrikedelcoco is much better placed in this race and Castellano taking the mount is a positive. Marabea has been running consistently and is making a big drop in price today. Expect him to be running in the stretch. Electro Peg ran well when placed on the SAR turf. Off his best figure he’s competitive here. Primary 4-6-7  Secondary (2, 9)

Race 6. This is a wide open affair and it’s best to go with the higher priced horses with top two year old trainers. That makes the choices Black Canary, K J Warrior, and Orechchiette. Primary 7-9-4  Secondary (1, 2)

Race 7. Very competitive race and I’m going with First Service and Wonder Gal to make the exacta. The latter is the class of the field and the only thing keeping her from going odds on is is that she’s making her 2016 debut. If Wonder Gal runs to her 2015 form she may be hard to beat. Primary 1-2  Secondary (3)

Race 8.  Totally wide open race. Two Pump ran a good race at this distance on the turf early in the meet for a much higher price. She flopped in her subsequent try on the dirt, but if she runs to that earlier effort she’s competitive. Goodbye Sorrow ran a lifetime top while finishing second at this distance. She’s got plenty of speed and should have the shortest route to the wire. Sunrise Kitty has been in the mix pretty much every race and has a second and third in three tries on the SAR turf. Primary 3-9-7

Race 9.  I’m inclined to consider this an “all” race since every horse has a chance. A look at the ML shows no horse is greater than 5-1. Royal Posse is the horse to beat. He won the Alydar at SAR and ran a field topping figure doing so. Crackerjack Jones and Wake Up in Malibu should be the horses dueling up front and if both of them can avoid trying to outrun the other they have real chances. Ostrolenka has been close in both of his SAR races and will be trying the 9 furlong distance for the second time. He could also be a pace factor. Good Luck Gus may be the value in the race. There should be plenty of speed for him to run at, and while his figures are not at the level of some others, he has good outs given the pace scenario.  Primary 3-4  Secondary (1, 2, 5)

Race 10.  With two of the AE’s getting into the race the choices changed. Rediscover has shown a lot of speed at the MSW level and should benefit from the shift to MCL. The horse to his inside, He’s One Wild Dude, had a troubled start last out, but if you put a line through that race the race before that he ran a competitive race. At 15-1 he interests me a lot. Twenty Four Seven moves over to the Danny Gargan barn and he has been excellent with new charges. Another with good outs at the odds. Astute Warrior has been running longer but looks strong for Eddie Kenneally who has had good success at the meet with limited starters.  Primary 10-11-1-4  Secondary ( 5, 7, 13)