Saratoga September 1

Race 2.  Fairly competitive race. Sweetrayofsunshine looks fairly strong on paper. She was close in a 6F event on Aug 10 in the slop at SAR and makes a slight drop in price today. Irad looks like he opted for Sun and Moon, but Geroux should be a capable replacement. The rest of the horses look about the same to me. Miss Amalita was in that same Aug 10 race and considering she was taking a lot of backsplash ran a pretty good race. She should be decent value today.  Da Wildcat Girl took some time off after Belmont but she is an honest runner and has had success at SAR.  Primary 2-6-7  Secondary (1, 3, 4)

Race 3. A few horses could be winners here, but I’m giving Warranty the nod. She’s dropping from MSW to the claiming ranks and is cutting back in distance, something that shouldn’t hurt her chances. Her figures are not dominating, but Chad Brown as trainer gives her an edge. Smile Big is the other Chad Brown horse. She just missed at a lower level last out and while her figures are a little low for the group, I think she’s got a real chance.  French Dressing ran well at this level at SAR, and while 0 for 17 is usually a DQ, I like her in the verticals at 15-1 ML.  Primary 3-2-7   Secondary (1, 4)

Race 4.  Pretty straightforward race. T R Crew, Singleton and Roustabout stick out for me. 1-4-6

Race 5. Lots of prospects here. Verbouwen exits a G3 race where she lost her best chance when she steadied. Looks good in this spot. Grey Stark comes off a win in an OC $80K race and has leading trainer Chad Brown in her corner. Rachel Wall has the figures to be a factor here and came off a nice second at the longer route distance last out.  Primary 4-5-3  Secondary (1, 6, 7)

 Race 6.  Lots of horses entered but I’m not seeing a lot of contenders. Bareeqa was claimed last out by Danny Gargan who is having a good 2016. Perhaps the change in scenery puts her over the top. Love Blues is coming off a short vacation and has enough speed to get a good spot from the rail. Octacto switches barns and the consistency of her figures is a real positive. Primary 8-1-3  Secondary (5, 7)

Race 7. Another competitive affair. Hudson River Gal gets the nod off her strong second last out in her first with winners. Winning rider Castellano gets back aboard. Khaleesi Kat comes out of the same race, but given it was her first in nine months improvement is likely. Indygita is the third horse coming out of that race. She’s shown her competitiveness and can’t be discounted here. Primary 3-10-5  Secondary (2, 8)

Race 8.  Another race where a few of the horses have common preps. Know It All Anna ran well a month ago and cuts back a half furlong in distance. One concern – regular rider Castellano jumps over to the 3. So You Say is the second runner out of a common race with the top choice. It was his first race of the year and improvement is likely. Casual Cocktail beat the top choice last out and would be no surprise in the winner’s circle.  Primary 6-4-1  Secondary (2, 3, 5, 7)

Race 9.  The P G Johnson is one of the important preps leading up to the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf. Make no mistake. These are good fillies and they will all be trying hard to win. Lady Joan has improved with each start and is adding distance today. That shouldn’t be a problem given her breeding. Right now looks like the value. Coasted has already won at the distance in impressive fashion. She’ll likely be the favorite and given her last start she will be deserving. Noble Ready goes for Clement and gets a switch to Irad. That combo is 25% at this meet. They all have similar figures, so expect a good race.  Primary 6-4-3  Secondary (2, 7)

Race 10.  Wide open race. If the two AEs Haul Anchor and Dab make it in they would be the choices. Otherwise, Dance Graze, Can You Diggit, and Jupiter Rising look like the most likely Primary 9-2-5 with 1A and 2B