Race 1. Doesn’t look like there is anything tricky here. It looks like the winner will come from Gold for the King, Syndergaard, and Bobby on Fleek. Gold for the King had trouble in his first out on the same day that Syndergaard ran, and both ran about the same time. At the odds I’ll look harder at Gold for the King. 3-5-4
Race 2. Tough race with a lot of unknowns. Super Mama goes for Chad Brown and he is just excellent with debuting turf fillies. Filly Madison ran well on a sloppy track at SAR and tries the turf today. Breeding seems better for the turf and adds Lasix for this effort. About that Base should show speed today and could be tough to catch. 4-8-11
Race 3. Another race with no obvious throw-outs. Cause I’m Alex didn’t run badly on the slop at SAR. He’s the best closer in the race and has a good lifetime win percentage. Onecats Chance has been on a good run lately and has a nice work at the SPA for this race. Has a win at SAR in four races. Deuces High didn’t show well in the NY Derby at FL, but drops to a level that should allow him to show the talent he flashed in breaking his maiden. Primary 5-4-1 Secondary (3, 7)
Race 4. Moonshine Cafe ran well in her debut last year at SAR, laid off 10 months and ran decently at BEL. Comes back in seven weeks with a series of useful works at SAR. Preying Mantis has nine starts, and that is more than I usually like to see, but he has shown well on the turf lately. Catch Your Dreams goes for Jonathan Sheppard who is still a good turf trainer. Top last race figure. Primary 2-4-7 Secondary (8, 9) **Note: With this race off the turf only Moonshine Cafe stays in from the contenders list. That would make 5 Cahirciveen and 1 Cashconsiderations the more likely winners.
Race 5. Nothing tricky here for me. The likely top choices Hit it Once, Jet Black and Extinct Charm look best. Primary 6-1-3 Secondary (7)
Race 6. Totally wide open race. Lucky Lou Pal, The Great Samurai and Follow the Signs get the primary nod for me. Primary 8-7-2 Secondary (5, 10)
Race 7. I didn’t think there were any throw-outs in this running of the Seeking the Ante. Code Red ran wide entering the stretch but finished powerfully. Workouts suggest she should be ready in this spot. Tiznow’s Smile has a few positives. She didn’t break sharply and was well out of the race early, but finished strongly. She takes the blinkers off today and adds Lasix for this run. At 10-1 she’s the one I’ll be most interested in looking at for a win bet. Twist ‘n Shout dueled early and them dominated a field in the slop a month ago. Can’t discount her chances. Primary 4-3-5 Secondary (2, 6, 7)
Race 8. The Yaddo is always an entertaining race and this renewal is likely to live up to that billing. Fourstar Crook draws in off the AE list looking for her fifth win in a row for Chad Brown. Her last is the top figure for the field. Neck of the Moon has been prepped for this race by Chad Brown. As a 5 year old she won at this distance on the SAR turf, and has only seemed to have gotten better in 2016, placing in two stakes at BEL. The works should have her ready to roll. Her last race was a lifetime best. The Tea Cups is back to defend her title in this race. She had a trouble start in her last and didn’t finish well, but she is top notch running against state breds. She likes the distance and likes SAR. Distorted Beauty isn’t really jumping up in class. She ran well in her last out at SAR and her figures suggest she fits in this race. Primary 13-10-7-11 Secondary (2, 3, 9)
Race 9. The West Point brings together some of the better NY bred turf horses. King Kreesa is my choice here. He was second to Lubash in last year’s running of this race and looks to be in top shape having run competitively in the G1 Fourstardave. Kharafa ran well in the Oceanport, just losing to Blacktype. He’s always a threat in these statebred stakes. Primary 2-4 Secondary (1, 3)
Race 10. The Fleet Indian brings together a competitive field of fillies. Super Surprise has been running well for Pletcher this year and comes off a win at SAR. Consistent runner should have no trouble with the step up in distance. Highway Star had some trouble at the break last out when tried on the turf but still showed some interest. Back to the dirt today and that should put her in with a better chance today. Mecke’s Madalyn just missed in the NY Oaks at FL and should be fine with the stretch out. Last race figure suggests she competes well in this group. Primary 5-2-6 Secondary (3, 4)
Race 11. The closer is a tough race, especially if it moves off the turf. Primary 15-2-8 Secondary (1, 5, 6, 10)