Race 2. Doesn’t look like a prime race for me. Jademarie has been turfing lately. She’s moving back to the dirt and is taking a pretty substantial drop in price. That may explain the 3-1 ML but her overall win percentage suggests she might need more to propel her over the top. Broadway Music Gal looks like the choice to me. She doesn’t often run a bad one and she has a win on the SAR dirt. Sole Victory just doesn’t look good enough here. I think Spa Town Parade is better than her 15-1 ML odds and she’ll make my top three here. She looked very good a few months ago, and frankly I think she’s been a bit over her head lately. Off her best she can be part of the verticals. Lutheran Miss is obvious here. She’s coming off a two race winning streak, but she is taking on a tougher group. Second choice for me.  2-5-4

Race 3. Not a lot of insight here. Askfor Forgiveness has a start over the track and some good figures, but she’ll get a lot of action. Must use in the horizontals though. Cash Considerations is the Chad Brown first timer. Sprinting on the dirt not Brown’s bread and butter, but you can’t leave her out. Wild With Style had all sorts of trouble with her first start over this SAR dirt, so she gets a second chance today. Leo O’Brien is not the trainer he once was, but he still can get it done.  4-5-1

Race 4. While Akatea and Industrial Policy both look tough in here, I’m leaning toward Darling Sky at 6-1 ML. She came to SAR live, running a good one to the solid Sentiero Italia. She is fast enough to get the win here and represents the value.  4-2-5

Race 5. Sugar Trip seems to stick out here and I’d consider using him as a single. In his first start he was green early, but showed speed and finished well, losing to a horse that won his next out with winners. His figure dominates the field.  9-5-3

Race 6. I’m going to step away from the favorites and go with Street Strut here. She broke slowly last out, stayed wide and fought traffic until deep in the stretch. It is well known that Bill Mott is not great with first timers, but is better with horses that have had racing experience. The likely favorite, Llanita, has had plenty of opportunity to win. I’m willing to take a chance against her.  3-6-1

Race 7. No insight here. The likely favorites look to be the best. Cort may have a a tactical advantage here, but was run down last time by Lord of Love.    6-4-3

Race 8. This race looks open after the scratch of Transparent. I’ll still stick with his entrymate, Indycott. While Don Dulce is coming off a long layoff, he’s run well fresh previously and has the best numbers overall. I think the upset prospect is Derby Glass. He was claimed last out by Steve Asmussen and and figures to be competitive with this group.   1-5-4

Race 9. This race looks full of speed and promising horses. I’m leaning toward Lull and China Grove. The former won impressively in her debut, while the latter has looked good against stakes competition. 7-9-2-1

Race 10.  6-4-8

Late Pick 4

7th  6,4 primary, 3, 5 secondary

8th  1, 4, 5 primary, 6 secondary

9th  7, 9 primary, 1, 2, 5, 8 secondary

10th  4, 6, 8 primary, 7, 9, 11 secondary