Race 1      5-4-1    C=2    V=2

Resourceful looks like the clear frontrunner and will have to be caught. Danzig Storm was one of the horses that slipped by Resourceful last out and certainly looks competitive in this field. Ross J Dawg is a head and a neck away from being undefeated and if he takes to the dirt he’s going to be dangerous.

Race 2      1-4-8    C=1    V=1

This race was confusing and I spent quite a while on it before reluctantly coming up with three choices. Pep the Champ got the nod. He was claimed last out by Joe Sharp who is 27% first off the claim.  Elroi is the best closer in the race and should be coming at the end. Changewilldoyagood drops out of a state-bred OC$40K into a $35K NW3. His figures say he is competitive here.

Race 3      2-8-4-5    C=1    V=1

This race has a ton of early speed and not a lot of closers. Longfor the City has three recent races that were competitive at the distance. He’ls the selection based on him looking like the best finisher. Between the Lines hasn’t been worse than second in over a year and gets top apprentice Cancel in the saddle. On Tap only has two starts. Has been off since January, but has a good third over the AQU dirt. Alex the Terror has improved since the claim by Toscano and figures to be in the mix today.

Race 4      4-5-11-10    C=1    V=1

Sassy Spirit made a big improvement when moved to the turf and at 12-1 ML should be considered. Two Below was wide in a five horse field but closed willingly for second. Another longshot with better outs than her odds suggest. Tiyo ran a good one first time out. Castellano rode her in that first race and the switch to De Sousa is not encouraging, but if she gets the right ride she’s in the mix. Stupefaction ships in from Parx, drops out of MSW, and gets first Lasix. Interesting combiantion.

Race 5      9-1A-4    C-2    V=2

Super Psyche was not at his best on the slop last out but prior to that just missed on the SAR turf. Pop the Hood looks the stronger of the Broman entry. He hasn’t looked strong in the stretch but adds blinkers in an attempt to focus. River of Magic has a couple of mediocre races and Weaver takes the blinkers off and moves him to the dirt. His breeding looks far more adapted to the dirt.

Race 6      7-1/1A-5    C=1    V=1

Bigger Picture was unlucky not to be on a two race win streak. Horse rarely runs a bad one. The entry of Midnight Notes and Mr. Rosenthal look formidable in this group. One is more front, the other more off the pace from mid-pack. Both have been in good condition lately. McIlroy has had some seconditis lately but the numbers say he has a reasonable chance.

Race 7      3-2-8-6    C=2    V=2

Send It In moves up off a win at the $50K SA level. Will be closing and hopefully will not run out of real estate. Uncle Sigh was well regarded in early 2014. His two return races have not been that impressive. He’ll be a favorite but looks vulnerable. Full of Mine usually runs a competitive race and should be around at the end. Euros to Dollars makes his fifth start and has been improving with each start.

Race 8      3-4-8-2    C=1    V=1

This is a very competitive edition of the Long Island Handicap. There are probably seven horses you could make a case for. Goldy Espony is dangerous if the pace is leisurely. Rosalind is very tractable and has figures just as fast as any horse in the race. Danza Cavallo nearly won the Grade 1 Flower Bowl and nearly won this race last year. Evidently is the sleeper horse in the field. Her Grade 3 efforts are not great, but her figures say she has an excellent chance, especially since she has the best closing kick. Gottachancetodance looks overmatched her. Mei Ling is MTO. Courtesan is another that looks overmatched. Mutatis Mutandis is a step slower than the top two but given that her last was her first in America, she could make a big step forward. A definite contender. Crisolies has looked excellent since moving to America, although in lower grade races. Still, her numbers say she has a legitimate chance. Walk Close and Interrupted don’t look like they have real shots here.

Race 9      1-9-4    C=2    V=2

Spooked Out has one race and it was a good one. With small improvement he runs away from this field. Gaming improved significantly when moved to the dirt. Hit It Once More has run two good races, although it’s a little disappointing he didn’t break through. Still, can’t ignore him in this group.