Horses coming off the HORSES TO WATCH list have been winning at a high rate, some at big prices. Horses on the list running today include big longshot Lana’s Fortune amd Tennessee.
Race 1 7-3-6
Ready for Summer was claimed by Nevin last out and drops down today. Should be up front early. Sunrise Kitty is a specialist at the distance and has consistent figures. Ave’s Halo looks for two in a row at this level. Has a good record at SAR and the distance.
Race 2 5-6-1
Farraj goes first time for Pletcher. He’s a $1.6 million purchase by top sire Pulpit. Has been working steadily at SAR. Saratoga Wildcat was gelded since his last and takes the blinkers off today. Has shown speed in the past and the experience could be helpful. Street Jersey ran well at SAR in his first start of 2015. Should be improved today.
Race 3 2-3-6
First Service blew a field away first out at SAR and looks strong in this field. Myfourchix is well bred for the distance and is 3 for 3 in the money at SAR. Fits better at the NW1X level. Golden Gem comes off a short layoff for Violette. Works suggest she’s ready today.
Race 4 2-6-7
Tennessee comes off the horses to watch list. His vicotry in late July was very impressive and the works suggest he’s still in good condition. Juan and Bina was decent in graded races at GP and ran evenly in his first at SAR. Has the figures to compete with this group. Roll Tide Roll lost as the favorite when Waco blizted a field. Better chances today.
Race 5 2-7-9
Flipitcher goes for Chad Brown who is exceptional with dubuting turf fillies. Irad is still driving to the juckey title. On Leave has superior breeding for the turf and the distance. Works look good. Lady Carrington is the other Chad Brown runner. Gets Castellano to take the ride.
Race 6 2-1-8
Lana’s Fortune comes off the horses to watch list. She had a poor trip last out and with some better fortune could surprise the field at good odds. Fine Instincts should have most of the early speed and the cutback in distance should help. Takes the blinkers off and that should help relax her. Last race was on a track that wasn’t so kind to speed. Strong Incentive drops out of MSW for Chad Brown. Last on the dirt at a sprint distance was decent as a prep but moves back to the turf today. Should be ready.
Race 7 1-2-6
Rosaline has been competing with G1 types and drops into an OC$80K today and gets Castellano for the trip. Crisolles ran well first time in North America and should enjoy the added distance. Patsy’s Holiday has been racing well and her best this year was at this level.
Race 8 2-3-6
BarristerJim was claimed last out by Mike Maker. He showed good speed last out, has a win at SAR and is 2 of 3 at the distance. Will have to be caught. Looking Cool steps up a notch for DJ off a win at the distance last out. Has been with better in the past and should be at the top of his game. Tizmas is 1 for 1 at SAR and has a win and a second in two starts at the distance. Servis is 23% of the short freshening.
Race 9 7-1-8
Nucifera has been running in group races in France and makes his debut in NA for Graham Motion who is 27% with Euro shippers. Johnny V takes the mount. A Lot just missed in the Hall of Fame and should do well with the cutback in distance. Offering Plan sparkled in his 2015 debut and should be a major player here.
Race 10 2-11-1-6
Tiz Time To Shake took the lead in the stretch last out but couldn’t hold off the winner. Trainer is troublesome, but tops the field in terms of figure. Tempietto drops from MSW to claimers. Ran well despite a slow break and a wide trip last out at MTH. Banco Dinero had trouble at the start last out but before that was competitive with these. Another price dropper. Bubba’s d’Oro drops from MSW to claimers and is very interesting. His last two starts were full of trouble and I have a feeling if he gets out of the gate cleanly he has much better chances than the 10-1 ML would suggest.