Race 1      1A-2-4

Bellamy Brew wired a field last out and moves up a step today. Will have to be caught. Petrocelli ran courageously last out, going to the lead and giving way grudgingly. Comes off the horses to watch list. May be compromised by the 1A, so if that one scratches, he moves up substantially. My Adonis was looking to close in the Bellamy Brew race and should like the added distance.

Race 2      1-9-7-2

Fourth of July did not get out well last time. Drops from MSW to MCL today. It’s a Given has improved substantially on the turf and and was right there all the way last out. Was claimed last out, although Carlos Martin has not won with a claim. Does have a couple of useful works. Moss Code has been getting better with each start and cuts back to a mile here. Last was better than looked. Verger goes for Chad Brown and moves from MSW to MCL. Had lots of trouble at the start last out and given his big purchase price better things are expected.

Race 3      1-5-3-2

Cleancut Kid ran well of a 2 1/2 month layoff and drops a bit in price. Johnny V stays for the trip and that is a positive. The Pulse puts the blinkers on and should be all the early speed. Will have to be caught. Groupthink was claimed last out by Danny Gargan. He’s cooled off a bit since the spring but is still showing a high win percentage. Wake Up in Malibu makes his 2015 SAR debut and he comes off two good starts at BEL.

Race 4      2-5-3

Vacation Spot ran a sharp race first time out and has an impressive work since. Looking for improvement in this spot. Baublette came from the inside last race and should appreciate the move toward the outside. Has a competitive number. Bird Sense has not run a bad one yet and is certainly as fast as anything in the race.

Race 5      6-2-1

Lady Shipman comes off the horses to watch list off a strong win in the Coronation Cup. She’s 7 wins in 9 starts and is clearly the figure leader. Free as a Bird finished second in the Caress last out. She’s 4 of 5 at the Spa and 9 of 10 first or second lifetime. Tahnee ships from Canada where she’s shown first rate early speed. Should be the pacesetter.

Race 6      7-1-6-9

Castor goes first time for Pletcher/Velasquez. Pletcher won’t give up the trainer crown without a fight so I’m expecting most of his horses to be competitive. Wembley goes for Kiaran McLaughlin who is 23% with first timers. Castellano in the saddle doesn’t hurt. Welcoming has a start for Clement. In that one she was bounced around a bit at the break and didn’t have her best chance. Workouts look good for the second start. Lady Devil goes for the other leading trainer contender, Chad Brown. Looked very good first time out and would be no surpise at all.

Race 7      9-4-1-7

Dissident came from the outside last out, didn’t get into the race, was bumped in the stretch, but closed decently. Has good prospects today. Eidmilaad goes first time for Brown/Castellano. Workouts suggest he is ready for the debut. Pinson goes for 20% first time trainer Mike Maker. Sharp work two weeks ago suggests he’s ready. Cumberland River goes for another top first time trainer, Kieran McLaughlin and is well bred for the turf and the distance.

Race 8      9-10-7-4

Sassicaia had a troubled trip last out but still managed a close third – moved up to second on the DQ of Juba. Have to believe he is likely to be stronger today. Blame Jim broke his maiden at SAR last year and has been filtering in and out of stakes company. Looked good against G3 runners in the Jersey Shore at MTH. Probably better at this level. Doubledown Again goes for the ice cold Michelle Nevin. She’s too good to get shut out for long. Ocean Knight was on the Triple Crown trail earlier this year, was rested after a bad Tampa Bay Derby and comes back in an easy spot.

Race 9      7-9-5

Honor the Kitten drops in price after running a good race last out. As fast as anything in the race. Scrumpdilicious should be one of the forwardly placed horses, and that has not been the preferred trip, but he looked good in his return to the turf. Have to give him a chance to control the race. Shock Leader was claimed by Nick Esler two back, was moved up to a longer distance but is back at his best distance today and drops back to the price he was taken. Very dangerous.

Race 10   11-1-7-10

Feathered has the top last race figure and is always a threat to wire the field. Shouldn’t have any trouble getting position from the outside. Chocolatier is back in top condition and is competitive off her best races. Flamingo Lane has a win and a place in three starts at SAR, and is 4 wins in 9 starts. Has been competitive in all her 2015 starts. Hope Cross is the other Chad Brown starter. Gets leading rider Irad Ortiz as she looks for two in a row.

Race 11   3-4-5-12

Jadam should prefer the cutback in distance. Fits the price as well. Tachiello has some top figures in his CD turf races, ran well off the turf last time and fist with this group. Daisy Cutter Improved when dropped to the $40K level. Still looking to duplicate her maiden run, but should compete well with this group. Quarla breaks from the outside and will have to work for position,  Should be one of the ones finishing strong.