Race 1
- 1/1A Buckwellspent/Playthatfunnymusic
- 5 Too Wild to Repent
- 6 Driving Me Crazy
- This is a competitive race. The Joseph Parker entry looks tough, with Buckwellspent perhaps the stronger of the two. Last out he showed speed early but flopped in the lane, but prior to that he’s shown an ability to stay well in the stretch. A win and a second on theAQU main. TooWild to Repent was claimed by RuRod last out and jumps up in price. RuRod is almost 40% first off the claim.
Race 2
- 2 Spotty Zealous
- 3 Honorable Jonas
- 4 Bear Clause
- Secondary (6)
- While Spotty Zealous is 2/5 on the morning line, he’s making a negative drop. He broke his maiden for $40K, ran respectably in a an OC$75K and drops all the way down to an NW2L $16K spot. You can’t bet against him, but I have to wonder, although the rest of the field is pretty dismal.
Race 3
- 5 Gypsum Johnny
- 2 Adulator
- 6 Governor Malibu
- Secondary (4)
- Gypsum Johnny has been racing well and looks like he may wind up the value. Has an affinity for the main. Adulator was a solid runner in 2016, but his only start of 2017 was not a good one. Still, if Jerkens has him wound up he is very competitive with this price level.
Race 4
- 8 General Bellamy
- 5 Big Al Parker
- 2 Storm the Shore
- Secondary (3, 4)
- Not likely a great betting race. General Bellamy is not really a win type but he is often close. Big Al Parker has the best last out figure and has only one race in his last nine out of the money.
Race 5
- 6 Clipthecouponannie
- 4 Carrumba
- 2 Highway Star
- Secondary (1, 3)
Nothing tricky here. Carrumba will get heavy action, but I’m going to hope the track is playing like it did yesterday and look at the speed, Clipthecouponannie.
Race 6
- 9 Broken Engagement
- 5 Incorporate
- 10 My Boy Tate
- Secondary (1, 6, 7)
- The horse I’m most interested in is Incorporate. He bobbled at the break in his last start, rushed to be with the leaders and gradually gave it up, although not that badly. At 20-1 on the ML he could be a worth a second look. Broken Engagement makes his second start off the same race as the Incorporate. He was pinched back at the start and made a nice even close to finish second.
Race 7
- 6 Breeze Burner
- 4 Italian Syndicate
- 1 Valhalla
- Secondary (7)
- Breeze Burner was claimed by Contessa and immediate moved up where he was over his head. Comes back to his winning level today. Italian Syndicate also comes back to a level where he is more likely to succeed.
Race 8
- 7 Elrigh
- 2 Catapult
- 6 Macagone
- Secondary (1, 4)
Race 9
- 2 Driven by Speed
- 3 Miss Sizzle
- 4 Holiday Disguise
- Secondary (10, 11)
- The first timers don’t look great here so I’m going to look at some of the horses that have had a start. The Pletcher horse Driven by Speed makes his 2017 debut. Pletcher is very strong off the layoff and with second time starters. Miss Sizzle adds blinkers and comes off a race where she was a favorite. Holiday Disguise might have been in one of the first two slots, but she’s more of a closer and the track had been playing to speed. But if the track is fair, up her chances.