Race 1

For a five-horse race it presents some interesting handicapping challenges. Two horses will get most of the action. Phocea at least has shown some success at the mile distance and has a win on the main. She’s been knocking at the door and might get in today. Frostie Annie has been making a living sprinting, but she should have it all her own way on the front and if she doesn’t blow her brains out she may be able to get the distance. Morethanjusthello had a little trouble at the start last out and has spent a lot of her career with better. No surprise if she wins.  6-3-2  

Race 2

Patton Proud was claimed last out for twice today’s price and looks fastest if he runs his best. Bluegrass Chat should be the speed here. He bled in his last, but he’s been given plenty of recovery time and has had success at the 7 furlong distance. Hunt’s Road hasn’t been out since June but Englehart picked a fairly easy spot for his return. More attractive at the odds. 7-5-2  Secondary (1)

Race 3

Another five-horse special. I think you might look for a price since none of the runners is without chances. I’ll look at Princessofthieves at 15-1 ML. She’s got the best last race figure, and she has a win in her lone start on the main. She should be prompting the pace. Riot Worthy has been routing, but has been successful on the main and at the distance. She’s in good condition and certainly would be no surprise. Picco Uno has only one bad lifetime race. She’s the one to beat, but at 4/5 I’m looking to find some value.  1-5-2  Secondary (3, 4)

Race 4

Adirondack Dream ran his best race at this price level two back and switches trainers to the veteran Harold James Bond. Lost all chance when starting awkwardly in his last, and with a clean break he should be a factor. Algorix makes his second start, gets Lasix, and makes a big drop from MSW to claimers. Cournyer was claimed by high percentage claiming trainer Chris Englehart last out, gets first Lasix and takes the shades off. 4-5-8  Secondary (1, 7)

Race 5

Archumybaby made a big leap when moved to the inner and if she continues with current form she could be the value. No Hayne No Gain should be the speed and looks good for Asmussen. Clearly will be tough to beat. Three Eighty Eight is one for one on the main and has the figures to compete in this group.  3-4-2  Secondary (5)

Race 6

Mr Buff looks like one of the speed factors here and he is coming off a good effort with equivalent horses. Dynamax Prime has had issues going wide, but finished close to Mr. Buff last out. Gets first Lasix and that may lead to enough improvement to put him over the top. Toga Challenger jumps up to the one turn mile in his third lifetime start. His first two have been good efforts, and given he has been sprinting  should be the best of the speed. Might be tough to catch.  7-5-1  Secondary (3)

Race 7

Manipulated’s last win came on the AQU main. He was claimed by Jacobson three back and he is placing him at the same level from which he was claimed. He’s got the best last race figure as well. Dr. Shane is an interesting horse. He’s made a few changes since his last out – blinkers come off and he made the ultimate equipment change becoming a gelding. Off his best he’s competitive. Kohlhase should be the speed here and will have to be caught in the stretch.  8-3-4  Secondary (2, 7)

Race 8

Isabelle has been running well with state-bred stakes horses and won a restricted stakes by 12 last out. However, her success has been on the inner and that makes her suspect. Still, if she runs her best she’s the one to beat. Winter comes off two wins in restricted stakes at LRL and hasn’t run a bad race since last September. Mo’ Green ships in from GP where she had been mostly routing, but she certainly has the talent to compete here.   4-6-5

Race 9

Really made a big improvement when dropped to the maiden claiming level and with a repeat performance could be the one. Our Verde is another that ran well with maiden claimers, jumped up to MSW at a mile, and drops back with claimers and a sprint. Looks promising. Miss Pearl drops out of MSW for this run and could be the value.  1-4-8