Race 2. Not a lot of insight here since the horses likely to get bet look best. I went with Chorus Line a horse that made a good debut last November at AQU, and actually didn’t run that badly in her 2016 debut three weeks ago at SAR. Expecting some improvement this time. Phantom Phasr adds blinkers today and usually Albertrani horses need a race or two. Antebellum moves back to the dirt after trying the turf for a while. Learning Curve is making the big drop today and may be tops based on back class. 4-9-1-8

Race 3. Bee Noteworthy never got out of the gate but made a decent run considering it was her 2016 debut. The drop in price should help today. Staff Sgt Reckless should be better at the sprint distance. The entry of Papa’s Missile and Redneck Gold both look well placed in this field. Primary 6-2-1/1A  Secondary (4, 5)

Race 4.  This race looks extremely wide open. Undercutter looked good breaking his maiden, but didn’t break and may have been over his head in his first with winners. He has enought speed to benefit from the one post. Zoot Suit is coming off a five month layoff, but has shown some talent at the short turf sprint distance. Seems better suited for the turf. Tapit Wicked has a bad case of seconditis, with 7 place finishes in 16 starts. Obviously he has the talent, but will he have the heart? Big Air made his SAR debut three years ago and it was inauspicious to say the least. Based on his last he certainly gets consideration.  Primary 1-8-3-11  Secondary (4, 5, 10)

Race 5. Very difficult race. While Johnny V normally rides debuting 2YO’s for Pletcher, in this race he went to Dr. Stone. Bruce Levine is struggling at SAR, but I’ll give him a nod today. Out of Trouble goes for Kieran McLaughlin who is a solid  21% with first timers. Great Neck has a start over the SAR dirt. She ran evenly to finish 3rd last out and should improve with the experience.  Primary 8-7-3  Secondary (2, 5, 6)

Race 6. A little more predictable 2YO race. Forge is the Chad Brown entrant and looks very tough off his last race. Let’s Get Loud goes for top 2YO trainer Wesley Ward. Toshiro goes first time for top turf trainer Graham Motion.  Primary 6-2-7  Secondary (3)

Race 7.  Greywalls is an interesting choice for me. She has been racing at a higher price, so the drop should be helpful. She has a win in two tries at SAR and she looks like she is cycling up in her form cycle. Littlemissperfect ran a good second and was claimed last out by Linda Rice who is 31% with a positive ROI first off the claim. She is dynamite on the dirt, but competent on the turf. Have to trust Rice  to place the horse where she has the best chance of winning. Emerald Pond goes for Chad Brown and you can’t ignore his turf fillies, especially considering she’s got three wins in four starts this year. Primary 5-4-2  Secondary (1, 8, 10)

Race 8. Saratoga Heater already has two wins at SAR and is looking to come back in three days to make it three in a row. Jacobson is actually 22% with that move. John’s Island has struggled a bit to find the winner’s circle this year but in his defense he’s been racing with much better than this group. More Zen Tea was claimed last out by Steve Asmussen after just missing three weeks ago. Should be finishing quickly in the stretch. Primary 6-1-4  Secondary (2)

Race 9. My Afleet has proven he can run the long distance races as he proved in 2014 at SAR with a win and a second. He’s been with better in the past and looks like he is cycling up to a top effort. Mr. Maybe has been running with graded horses this year and has the top figures in this field. Will be very tough in this spot. Renown jumped to the flats after doing well as a hurdle horse and won a stakes at DEL. I actually like horses that can run well over both the hurdles and the flat, and Elizabeth Voss is a good trainer.  Primary 7-3-1. Secondary (2, 5)

Race 10.  Stella Street is the Chad Brown horse dropping in price and has to be considered the main contender here. Magnesia Big Girl raced well when placed at this level last out. Figures suggest she’s right in the mix. Rosedale Arch didn’t have her best chance on the slop last out and the return to the turf should help her today. Primary 4-10-11  Secondary (2, 6, 9)