Race 2
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6 Massena 3-1
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8 Sebonack 7/2
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5 Saratoga Charlie 4-1
Very tough day at the Spa. In the second race the favorite Massena looks to have the best figures of the horses with a start. He showed improved speed at the mile distance last out before fading and drops back to six and a half today. Sebonack makes his 2016 debut for Mike Maker who is 21% off the long layoff. He’s been gelded over the winter, and drops to the MCL ranks. Saratoga Charlie should be the one to catch.
Race 3
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5 Conscience 3-1
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3 To the Victor 4-1
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2 Swivel 9/2
Conscience has been knocking at the door and drops in claiming price to gain the win. Should be the front runner and the one to catch. To the Victor drops well down in price. Definitely needed his last.
Race 4
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6 Going for Broke 8/5
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2 Jules N Rome 5/2
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5 Rachel’s Temper 7/2
Going for Broke was an impressive winner last out and looks to have the dominant figure against this field. Jules N Rome did not seem to relish the BEL mud last out but prior to that he was a strong winner at this price. Jose Ortiz takes the mount. Rachel’s Temper flopped on the turf last out but clearly favors a fast dirt.
Race 5
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1 Littlefirefighter 3-1
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4 Love and Lemons 3-1
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5 Alkenetta 4-1
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9 Conquest Bad Girl 9/2
I’m favoring the first timers in here. Littlefirefighter goes for Linda Rice who is decent with first time two year olds. Workout pattern brief but useful. Love and Lemons is by good turf sire Lemondrop Kid. Not a lot of info on trainer Troy Wismer, but I really like the workout pattern. I think he will be the value play. Alkenetta is sent out by the always dangerous combo of Pletcher and Veleasquez. Conquest Bad Girl had a troubled trip last time out and could be the winner with a clean run.
Race 6
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2 Chase Motto 5/2
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5 Theatric 5/2
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4 Blenheim Prince 7/2
This pretty much looks like a formful affair. Blenheim Prince may be as good as his ML odds, but I’m not convinced. I’ll look more at the top two.
Race 7
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1 Asset Inflation 3-1
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11 Wicked Freud 4-1
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9 Polar Axis 5-1
Asset inflation looks best here, especially after the scratch of Captain Gaughen. Has a win at the distance and at SAR. Wicked Freud has been competitive at this level. Polar Axis just finished in front of the top choice and has shown some liking for the distance and SAR.
Race 8
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2 Disco Chick 5/2
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1 Paulassilverlining 5/2
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4 Haveyougoneaway 7/2
While Paulassilverlining looks stong in this spot, I’m going to give the not to Disco Chick. She just missed in a stakes at DEL and she’s shown herself to be a consistent at high levels.
Race 9
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6 Spectacular Me 7/2
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3 Tent City 4-1
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4 Justa Lady 5-1
With the scratch of Rumble Doll this race became wide open. Spectacular Me is a horse that likes to win and seems especially adept at the turf sprint. Tent City is running through her conditions and has yet to be beaten. Jason Servis hasn’t missed being in the money yet this season. Justa Lady should be the best speed and with the scratches has a much better chance.
Race 10
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6 Tambourin 3-1
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8 Sly Tom 4-1
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5 Mambo At the Gym 4-1
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9 Irish Cat 5-1
This race is wide open. Tambourin may have suffered the so-called Euro Bounce last out, although he was jumping up some in price. He’s back at a better level today. Sly Tom has been steady at this price. Mambo At the Gym is another with ability to finish in the money. Irish Cat may be the most interesting of the group. If you toss out his last race on the yielding turf, and his race on the inner dirt, his figure fits this field. If he throws in his sharpest race, he’s competitive.