Race 1. 7-4-1
Crimson Cat ran well first out for Barclay Tagg and gets a positive switch to Castellano. Miss Aja Brown should be the speed here and looks more capable at the MCL level. Tiz Twice didn’t break smartly last out which was killing in a 5 furlong race. Very well bred for the distance and drops from MSW down to the claiming ranks. Give consideration at the odds.
Race 2. 4-8-6
Sunny Puzzle has plenty of speed and a tendency to finish in the money. Has run with much better in the recent past. Giant Fox is dropping substantially in price today and at his best should handle this field. Has a win and two seconds in three tried at BEL, Fleeting fits the conditions and his figures say he is competitive.
Race 3. 6-5-4
Doctor Mounty adds the blinkers today. Looks well suited to the distance and the last work suggests he’ll be prompting the pace. Justalittlebitmore just missed last out and should do well with the stretch out. Louies Baby Boy broke poorly last out but worked to get into the race and expectedly faded. Should be competitive with a better break.
Race 4. 3-1-7-9
Proletariat should be the speed here. His last two showed some talent at this level. Clifton Pleasure has been knocking around at this level for a while, but has shown a tendency to finish in the money. Reasonable expectations today. Timber may have been a little over his head in the state-bred stakes last out but is in a better spot today. Should do fine on the stretch out. Hit It Once More just broke his maiden in his first out of 2016. Has shown a liking for the BEL dirt.
Race 5. 1-8-2
Royal Ekati goes first out for Barclay Tagg who is 21% with limited debut horses. Is very well bred for the sprint. Like the workout pattern. Frosti Agosti goes for Ray Handal, who is frankly pathetic at getting horses to win. But, the horse has speed and this isn’t the strongest field. Gorelli rarely runs a bad one but hasn’t cracked the top spot yet. Perhaps today is the day.
Race 6. 6-7-5
Western Reserve has been gelded since his last start, and he definitely fits in this group. Last two on the turf showed a lot of promise. Offering Plan managed to close into a average pace in the Hollywood Derby. Looks to be the classiest in the race and his figures as a 3YO dominate this group. With some improvement he a major contender. Weekend Express is overlooked on the ML. He fits the conditions and his figures suggest he has some outs.
Race 7. 6-1-3
Carrumba hasn’t been worse than second lifetime and on figures deserves to be the favorite. Cavorting has run well in graded stakes, winning 50% of her races overall. Likes BEL and should be strong at the distance. Spelling Again is another that has shown ability in graded stakes and could be part of the combinations.
Race 8. 1-3-8
Recepta is a grade one mare that has done well at BEL. Mixed success on a softer turf, so demand value before investing. Ball Dancing is the Chad Brown entrant. Broke poorly in the Hillsborough but in 2015 was strong. Has a win at BEL and has shown well on a yielding turf. My Miss Sophia is a Grade 1 placed mare making her 2016 debut. Has run well fresh and can handle the soft going.
Race 9. 7-3-5
Unified just won the Bay Shore impressively and came back with a nice series of works. Is very well bred for the stretch out. Adventist tried the NY Derby prep series but wasn’t good enough to make the big race. Still, they weren’t bad races and he’s a contender here. GovernorMalibu just won the Tesio and has run well at BEL. Longshot chances here.
Race 10. 7-9-5
Kaigun never seems to run a bad one and beat competitor Wake Forest recently in the G2 Pan American. Top figures make this one a contender. Wake Forest has struggled to get a Grade 1 win but is solid Grade 2 horse. Really improved under Chad Brown’s care and may turn the tables on the top choice. Go Around is better than his 10-1 ML would suggest. Actually has a good combination of speed and finish and likes to win.
Race 11. 5-8-11
Majestic Bloom improved when moved off the inner and back onto the turf. Hillaryinthehouse ran well first out of 2016 and is 4 of 6 in the money at BEL. Amazing Anne is another that looked good first out of the year and improvement might make her the winner. I’m