Very tough day. The late P4 sequence has 50 horses entered, and the races are competitive.
Race 1 2-4-3
Storm Cell broke well back first time but may have things his own way today.
Race 2 3-2-1
Race 3 4-6-1
Perhaps Stroke Play doesn’t have a good chance at winning, but the other four all have legitimate shots. Mei Ling and Wonder Gal should both be competing up front and both have matriculated with better. Sustainable may be the value horse. Saythreehailmary’s has to be given consideration on a Sunday.
Race 4 3-6-1
It looks like the have and have nots in this race. Despite not beating a stellar field last out, Uncle Duncan looks like the lone speed and should be tough here.
Race 5 5-1-4-7
Cards of Stone smashed a state-bred maiden field first time out in a good time. He should be the front speed. Charming Indy did well at this level last out and should be rolling again.
Race 6 2-5-10
A little bit of speculation here. Flatterywillgetyou is the best of the horses that have started. Votre Coeur is the Chad Brown entrant and he is always dangerous with firsters. I love the six furlong breeding on Chocolate Smoothie. She also has the workout pattern I like.
Race 7 7-4-9
Lots of possible winners here. American Progress goes first time for Linda Rice and she has been hot at this meet and she’s one of the potential overlays. Gentrify lost to a good field last out and drops to his lowest level. Wild target is 4 for 4 in the money on the inner and goes first time for Canizzo. If you’re going deep in the P4, Star of New York, Songa, Visionary Ruler and Wild Target are all possible.
Race 8 1-6-4
Another race with multiple possibilities. Jack O Liam is the obvious front runner, although the race has plenty of speed. I’m intrigued by the 10-1 ML. Special Ops is another 10-1 shot that looks pretty good. Notice his start on the inner this spring resulted in a convincing win. Clement is 25% off the long layoff. Wild Zambezi, Lunar Rover, Sioux, and Drama King would not be a surprise.