Race 1      2-1-6

Richiebythelinks went to his knees and face planted in his last race, really losing all chance. Prior to that he was looking good in Illinois bred races. We’re betting a $16K NW2 in New York might be the equivalent of an Illinois allowance. Thirty Percent looked good in allowance races at FL and Englehart is not bad moving horses from FL to the big circuit. Has the speed to get position from the rail. Stoney Soprano won his maiden at BEL but couldn’t negotiate a muddy track at SAR. Lots of upside left.

Race 2      6-5-8-7

Steamboat Bill showed good speed last out and gets blinkers today. Oscar Nominated has the right style for the turf and gets the addition of Lasix today. Mott doesn’t often win first out but picks up the percentage second time. Tusk was awkward at the start last out and gets a big switch to Johnny V this time. Camelot Kitten goes first time for Chad Brown and it is never a surprise when one of his charges wins.

Race 3      1-3-4

V.E. Day seems to have limitless bottom and shouldn’t have any trouble with the distance. With four horses, none of them speedy, he should be in the right position to use his closing kick. If there is a likely pace setter it may be Tacticus. He showed some tendency to stay close to the speed in Europe and is well experienced at the distance. Indycott has been off since getting claimed by Danny Gargan. He doesn’t seem to be a distance specialist, but this race may come down to who gets the trip.

Race 4      7-1-3

Toughest ‘Ombre faded in the stretch first time out, but Albertrani horses often take a race to be at the top of their condition. Gets first Lasix and that could be a help. Deserved is another that has a trainer who isn’t at his best first out. Switch to Johnny V not huge but should be helpful. Wild Man gets a new rider in Castellano as the jockeys play musical horses. He kept to the task first out and showed enough heart get consideration.

Race 5      5-2-4

Great Attack is one of the two Jacobson horses. He’s been competitive at this level for a while, has a win at BEL and one at the distance. Media Kid was taken by Joe Sharp in May after having a very successful 2014 campaign. Not sure what the issue was in bringing him back so far after the claim, but the works have been steady in August and September. Certainly fits the group and takes the blinkers off for the new conditioner.

Race 6      4-3-1

Longfor the City has had most of his success on the BEL dirt and the return should be in his favor. Blinkers go on today and that should help focus his natural speed. 10-1 too attractive to ignore. Dekalb County hasn’t run a bad one at BEL, has plenty of early foot and consistently good figures. Blinkers on for him as well; probably will be bet too heavy to   get my money in the win pool.  Instructor Kunu had been with decent PA breds and ran well when moved to SAR, especially considering the stumbling start. Far better than the 15-1 odds might lead you to believe.

Race 7      2-10-9

Startwithsilver missed graduation by a nose last time and has a field dominating figure. Unless one of the first timers is super she looks like the likely winner. Ally’s Envy goes for the always dangerous Chad Brown, and the combo with Irad is a healthy 27%. The danger. Bea Bea has some good works for Violette and is well bred for the grass and the sprint distance. Another worth monitoring on the tote board.

Race 8      6-1-9

All Over Me is a decent horse in a not so decent field. Hasn’t been seven furlongs yet – strictly a router – but has shown speed at the longer distance and that may be in his favor. Don’t like the record at BEL, but as I said, not much to beat here. Chasintheblues has had some hard luck but does have a win at BEL. Dark Roast is not a win type but is better than 50% in the money. I’ll focus on him underneath.

Race 9      8-9-5

Malabar won her last, a Group 3 at Goodwood. Compare her time to Osaila the same day. Malabar looks more apt at the mile and a sixteenth. Osaila was second in her last, a Group 3 at Goodwood. Dettori doesn’t come for the ride, but Castellano is a good sub. Five wins in 11 starts is a good percentage. Sentiero Italia comes off a win in the G2 Lake Placid, besting Miss Temple City. Very good prospects today.

Race 10   7-8-5

Banana Thief has been competitive at this level for a while but is still looking to break through for win number two. Looks good based on recent figures. Payment Terms broke his maiden at Belmont, ran decently considering he was hard to control early in the NY Stallion Series at SAR. Expecting a good run today. Wicked Freud just broke his maiden at SAR but also has a good race over the BEL turf. Lots of outs today.