Race 1 7-5-1
Love to Run was claimed back by Chatterpaul last out and he drops him to the level where he recently won. Has shown an affinity for BEL. Cost Affective has been with much better in the recent past and beat a group of $14K claimers six weeks ago. John Silver was over his head last out but before that had won two in a row. Get’s back on track today.
Race 2 2-1-8
Sister Superior ran well in her maiden voyage. Didn’t break particularly well and had to race wide, but still managed to pass all but one. Lots of room to improve today. Bella Joy has been showing good speed and may benefit with the cutback in distance. Drops in class with the move to state-breds. Spa Duchess has had trouble at the gate her first two starts. Takes the blinkers off today and with a better start should be a factor.
Race 3 6-3-2
Unbridled Ocean may have slowed down a step or two since turning seven but still shows a competitive spirit. Has been a consistent runner. Under Control ships in from CD to BEL for Motion. Motion is 25% coming off the layoff. Charming Kitten has probably been over his head in Grade 1 company but fits better here. Pletcher is deadly off the claim and more so when Johnny V is riding.
Race 4 3-6-10
Mind Magic beat more than half the field first time out Drop to MCL from MSW should be helpful. One concern – first time going against older horses. Vischer Ferry by far the fastest but this is his eighth try as a maiden. Can’t ignore but be aware of the record. Fordham Bound never got into his last race but is well bred for the turf and the distance.
Race 5 1/1A-9-6
Both of the Motion entrants aren’t going to go but I’ll trust that whichever one Motion leaves in is the better runner. Gallery weakened slightly in the Penn Mile but fits well in this group. Syntax ran well first time with winners despite a troubled start. Mott/Lezcano a strong combo.
Race 6 2-6-5
Morethanawarning fits better at this level. Win record is disappointing but figures suggest she’s competitive in this group. La Inesperada was taken last out by Phil Serpe who is 22% first time back. Moves up a bit in price, but that can be interpreted as a positive. William’sluckygray is not a win type, but in this field it’s tough to come up with anything more solid. Ran faster on the turf last out than his previous races.
Race 7 7-8-3
Gran the Man matched a lifetime top first out in 2015 and with improvement looks best. Hunt’s Road goes first time with winners. Figures say he has a chance at making it successful. Tiz Time to Shine broke his maiden in a state-bred stakes and comes out for the strong Chad Brown/Castellano duo. Could be any kind.
Race 8 4-3-7
The Grade 3 Bed Of Roses looked like a two horse race until La Verdad scratched. Dame Dorothy was always going to be a tough customer, but with the loss of the second choice the competition thins significatntly. She’s recently a Grade 1 winner and her figures dominate. Looks ultra-tough here. Room for Me should be the front runner. Has done well at BEL and likes to win. Tahoe Tigress should be the one coming in the stretch if the speed falters.
Race 9 4-3-2
Apache Warrior showed speed last out, lost focus and puts the blinkers on today. Workouts say go. Mpenzisboy is a longshot first timer. I like the early quick work and the steady pattern since then. Thank You is one of the more experienced runners in the field. Figures say competitive and perhaps he comes out a more competitive horse in 2015.
Race 10 11-6-2-12
Aussie Prayer seems better suited to the sprint distance. Last race was his best to date. Jamaalaree drops out of MSW. Has been improving and keeping on that trend could put him over the top. Clear Nite was beaten by Pink Freud Live last out but looks to be getting stronger. Pink Freud Live is competitive but may be up against it from the outside.