This day is a little different than the last three days. The last three days it looked like there were one or two horses that stuck out in the five horse fields. Today it looks like there are five horses that look like they can win in the five horse field.

Race 1      5-4-2

Howie’s Tiz has been hanging around the maiden ranks for a while and has been off for a year and a half, so he’s not a solid 9-5, but he’s newly gelded and is dropping into a maiden claimer from MSW. In this field those are good reasons to consider him. Sir Rockport switches to David Donk and drops from MSW to MCL. Gets first Lasix and a positive jockey switch to Manny Franco. Salem Loop is the third dropper, has recency at OP, and has figures competitive in this field.

Race 2      4-2

It’s a four horse race. That doesn’t mean there are four contenders in the field. It’s literally a four horse race. And I spent way too much time trying to separate the four horses. La Verdad at the top of her form is far and away the best horse in the race. Mamdooha is riding a five race winning streak, so she has plenty of talent.

Race 3      4-6-3

I’m doing this race for the turf so if it goes main track, ignore the picks. Market Outlook is a new gelding and has the best numbers in the field. Orino has been consistently on the turf and is 50% in the money. Peaceful Talk is the speed of the field and with a comfortable pace may run away from this group.

Race 4      2-7-6

Boss Daddy has the best speed in the field but hasn’t been impressive running through the stretch. Tepid choice. Kodiak Kody has been hanging around at the NW2L for a while but he does have consistent figures. Qui C’est Moi broke his maiden for Abby Adsit two back and should be in the ideal tracking position.

Race 5      4-6

I will tell you in advance that other than the MTO I thought the field was close to equal. In terms of percentages, I’d suggest the difference between the top and bottom horse is only a few points. Vision Perfect has not run a bad race and considering he won at first asking should be ready off the layoff. Zandar was right behind Vision Perfect last time out and may be the value horse.

Race 6      4-3

In this race they all look about the same, and not necessarily in a positive way. Overthespeedlimit didn’t raise a gallop last out but prior to that showed decent speed and drops into a much more likely class. Jacapo seems to be close every time and may have the talent to get win number two.

Race 7      3-5-7

Loon River has the best turf numbers, albeit not by much. Cosmic Serenity broke her maiden at first asking, steadied in her next out and actually ran better than looked last out. A little improvement puts her in the mix. Lady Bing ran her best races on the turf and returns there today.

Race 8      5-6-1

Old Upstart drops to $50K today. Didn’t care for the slop last out but ran two strong numbers in his last two starts at AQU. Erik the Red is at the right level today. Has three thirds on the main and is competitive off his best. Giant Fox is another dropping down to a level where he’s had previous success.

Race 9      1A-6-4

Fundamental lost by 2 1/2 lengths after being checked twice in his maiden voyage. Even from the outside he looks like the strongest contender. Having Chad Brown in your corner can’t hurt. Veya is a 12 start maiden that has recently undergone gelding. Perhaps this improves him enough to break the string. Andalusite has shown improvement each start and has the numbers to be competitive here.