The switch to the main track hasn’t substantially upgraded the fields or their size. But I’m back on track, so to speak, with selections.
Race 1 6-2-4
The first of a few six horse fields. Myrtlerose faded badly on a muddy surface she clearly didn’t care for. Abby Adsit trains better than her 16% win rate suggests. Two nice works in the last two weeks. Letsgotovegas drops out of MSW for new trainer David Cannizzo. She’s had a couple of bad starts and with a better luck could show her talent. Ferzetti has a second on the AQU main and was looking promising until she hit the inner. Plenty of potential here.
Race 2 5-4-6
Bit Bustin should be the clear front runner and has been good at the distance. Rock N Cozy is making a good size drop in price today. The 2 for 36 record is not inspiring, but she does have better than 50% in the money. Missy Bay won last out and has a good chance to pick up some pieces.
Race 3 3-5-6
Salisbury Knight has some back figures that would dominate this field. Bad break last out means the race can be discarded. Mach Seven has been at the condition a while but has been knocking at the door. Hampden Fiveone seems to be more interested in finishing in the money but has won two of his last three. Like it when horses figure it out.
Race 4 3-4-1
Sherifco has the best lifetime figure and drops for Nevin who is 27% first time with a horse. Onthecurve has a second on the main. He had trouble in his last and should improve today. Thomas Knight has three seconds in three lifetime starts and goes first time for the 9% Contessa.
Race 5 6-4-5
Jazzminegem hasn’t finished out of the money for a year. No reason to expect less than a first rate effort today. Here’s Zealicious has been racing with better and has a 40% win rate. Sacred Success is another that has been consistent but hasn’t been seen for 10 months
Race 6 7-9-2
Dot Product is only making her third start and looks to be improving. Last race she had trouble at the start but still ran decently. Don’t Blame Her ran much better than looked after being off 10 months. Her best three year old figure would top this field. Agate is a nine start maiden that won last out but was DQ’d. Don’t really like the ML price but still has plenty of outs.
Race 7 6-4-3
True Blue Nation was claimed last out by Danny Gargan who has been spectacular in 2015. Despite the jump in class she looks to be a contender. Live Love Laugh has been off since November but has been competitive with theses. Last race has been a key race with thee next out winners. Breach of Duty didn’t run for Toscano first after the claim but he has been sparkling in 2015. First two from the last race have already repeated.
Race 8 2-1-4
Captain Serious won his last out and is capable of stringing them together. He’s got the best speed and the best figures. Dan’s Gold has a win on the AQU main and has been in good form lately. The 10-1 ML could prove very tempting. Saratoga Snacks has been competitive with much better and finally broke back into the win column last out.
Race 9 7-9-1
Astron has lacked courage in the stretch but still figures fastest in this group. Brooklynville goes first time as a gelding, takes the blinkers off and switches trainers. Perhaps all that will signal improvement today. Canoe Club gets the rail and looks to parlay that into a winning trip.