Race 2      3-9-4

Forever in Love was a $210K purchase this spring. Has an abbreviated set of works but the last one suggests readiness. Governor Malibu goes for the excellent pairing of Clement/Rosario. He’s by the prolific sire Malibu Moon and the works look like typical Clement. The Undersheriff looked good first time out and shouldn’t have trouble negotiating the extra sixteenth.

Race 3      4-2-1

Simple Surprise looked good winning a sloppy MSW at CD and has a decent work on the turf five days ago. Bruised Orange was well enough thought of by Wesley Ward to earn a start at Royal Ascot. She finished 12th of 20 but did show some speed in that affair. Ward/Hernandez is 25%. Celestial Sighting already has a win on the SAR turf. Has to avoid getting buried on the rail.

Race 4       12-3-11-2

Bargaining Table has the best figure but is breaking from the far outside. Has shown enough speed in the past to potentially get position. Asperites was 0 for 15 in 2014 but since moving to the states is 1 for 3. She’s making a big drop from her last to the level where she won. Lemon Song was claimed last out by Phil Serpe who is 21% first time back. Rhythm Queen is a useful turf runner with the figures to compete here.

Race 5       1-4-10-7

Light Brigade was a $240K purchase at the Keeland September sale and goes for the excellent combination of Chad Brown/Castellano. Boalt Hall is the Pletcher/Velasquez contribution. Workouts look good. Jan’s Reserve has to overcome the outside post. Her two starts suggest some talent and she adds the blinkers today. Manhattan Dan improved markedly on the turf and cuts back half a furlong.

Race 6      7-8-4

Don Dulce was taken last out by Bruce Levine who is a good 24% off the claim. Has a win at SAR and is 4 of 9 in the money at the distance. Hereditary has two wins and a second in three races in 2015. Lots of time between starts, but the workout pattern has been steady. Noble Moon has been no match for graded stakes company, but should be competitive in this group.

Race 7      1-7-9-10

Get Jets was a $300K purchase this spring. The works look good and Dutrow/Ortiz are a 29% combo. Love That Jazz was bumped in the stretch and backed out of the Rockville Center. He’s far more competitive here. Core Portfolio goes for Violette who is 34% with his first timers. Fish Trappe Road has plenty of speed and seems to be improving.

Race 8      8-1-5

Tizallheart was one of the horses that suffered when Manny Franco fell off The Ghost Bride. His previous two races put him right in the mix here. The Ghost Bride looked like he was making the winning move when Franco fell off. No reason to expect less of an effort today. Sylvia T avoided the worst of the trouble and managed to finish third in that race. Similar field, this time I expect the jockeys to stay on.

Race 9      8-5-3-2

Trophee took a while to break her maiden but looked good in her first with winners. Versatile running style. Lahinch Classics looked good at this level last out and should improve this time. Rock Me Mama fits better at this level than the graded stakes she was in the last time. Blonkers go on today. Gotachancetodance hasn’t run a bad one yet and appears to be on the improve.

Race 10   10-4-7

Street Swagg comes in from FL where he had been doing well with state-bred allowance horses. Should be a speed factor. Wild Finish was claimed two back by Sciacca who jumped him to this level. He stays at the same level today and at 12-1 ML has some interest for me. Jeter is good at the distance and has a second in two starts at SAR.

Race 1      5-1-6

Metal Magic missed by a nose in June at CD and is the best of the horses that have started. Donegal Moon goes for Pleltcher/Castellano and has a quick workout at the Spa only five days ago. Blameiton Brooklyn has a nice workout pattern and looks ready to go. Well bred for the distance.

Race 2      8-9-1

Adirondack Dancer has not run a bad one in 2015 but is still searching for a win. Does have a win at SAR. Branded Hand comes here from Kentucky where he was competitive at today’s level. Figures say he belongs. Speeding Comet had trouble at the start last out but before that ran well with NW1X.

Race 3      6-1-5

The Great Whiteway puts blinkers on and adds Lasix after being steadied at the start and losing all chance last out. Should prefer getting off the rail. Iron in the Fire has two seconds, one on the dirt and one on the turf. Looks better bred for the dirt. Ward/Hernandez a 25% combo. Dalmore switches back to the dirt after showing speed and fade in a turf route. Looks like one of the pace prompters.

Race 4      7-4-5

Just Wicked already has a win at SAR and looks well suited for the six furlong distance. Decked Out has already run in two graded stakes and has experience at the distance. Tonasah goes for Pletcher. She destroyed a field at BEL in June and has been working steadily for her return.

Race 5      7-3-6

Brickyard Kitten has a second and a third at SAR. The last race wasn’t much but prior to that he was competitive in a Grade 3 turf sprint. Should be at his best at the mile distance. All Tied Up looked good when moved back to the turf and stays here today. English Minister has a win at this meet and hasn’t run a bad one in 2015.

Race 6      1-3-10

Super Surprise goes for the deadly Pletcher/Velasquez combination. Works are impressive. Young Anna Lee already has a state bred stakes under her belt at the distance. Castellano takes the ride today. Here Comes Rosie had a lot of trouble in her first start but showed good interest. Has the outside post to overcome.

Race 7      7-9-4

Puppy Manners cuts back in distance and drops in price in search of the win. Looks by far the best figures. Escapist has a second at SAR and a win at the distance. Had been racing with better and goes first time after the claim by Bruce Brown. Bajan Summer has a second at the distance and one at the Spa. Moves from state-bred ALW to the open claiming ranks.

Race 8      8-3-6

Yes I’m Lucky was not going to close on the pace in his last race. Was running is stakes races in the spring. Worth a look at 12-1 ML. Boot Scootin Daddy looks for three in a row and is a newly changed gelding. Really good figures from his first two. Candir is making his 2015 debut for Chad Brown and he is 28% with long layoff runners. Has a win at SAR.

Race 9      1-4-2-9

The last three are very competitive. Touch the Moon cuts back to the distance where she broke her maiden. Should be able to get a good spot. Top Decile was good enough to finish second in the Alcibiades and the BC Juv Fillies. Didn’t look so good in her 2015 debut but top trainer Albert Stall looks like he has her returning in top condition. Elraazy just missed at this level last time out. Junior Alvarado takes the ride. Kirov ships in from California and gets a new trainer in Chad Brown. Have to respect the connections.

Race 10   1-4-3-8

The Fourstardave attracts a stellar field even without the presence of Wise Dan. Mshawish looked good in his race in Dubai where he lost to top runner Solow. Before that he was the king of the GP winter/spring meet. Has to make sure not to get trapped from the one post. You ignore King Kreesa at your own peril. He has a win and two seconds in four starts at SAR and has the versatility to prompt or track. Ironicus is on the improve and since his first start has not run a bad race. Jack Milton is a legitimate Grade 1 horse. Any one of these horses could be the winner.

Race 11   1-5-6-9

Deficit Hawk drops way down in search of a win. Class should overwhelm the field. Pin and Win is on my horses to watch list. He was making a move in the stretch when stymied making his last better than looked. Castellano stays for the ride. Aleander was in the same race as the previous runner and did well to close for second in his last race. Fast Runner cuts back a half furlong from his effort on this track last time. Got a competitive figure from that one.

Race 1      3-6-1

Ground Force has been off since AQU but Jason Servis is 23% with layoff horses. He drops to his lowest price in a while for the return. Rockford isn’t at the distance very often, but is 1 for 1. Another one of the price droppers. DJ scratched what looked like the stronger half of the entry leaving Mr. Masterpiece. I like the angle and sooner of later DJ has to start having more winners.

Race 2      7-1-2

Bottle Walk showed high speed in her debut before hitting a wall. Expecting an improved performance today. Diannecantretire puts the blinkers on after a disappointing performance in a straight maiden at MTH. Should be the pacesetter. Anna Rae is by Tiz Wonderful who has done very well with his two year old progeny.

Race 3      7-3-4

Heaven’s Touch looks like the speed of the race and goes for Wesley Ward who is 28% off the layoff. Ward/Hernandez is a 25% combination. Midnight Champagne has been consistent in 2015 and Michelle Nevin is excellent off the layoff. In Haste makes the big price drop in search of a win.

Race 4      9-6-1

Frisky Magician improved on the turf and should be toward the front. A little more improvement should make him the one to beat. Wicked Freud ran well first time out and has a figure as good as anything else in the race. Tiz a Chance showed good talent first time out in 2014. Motion is 24% off the return.

Race 5      6-9-3

JC’s Shooting Star has a mild case of seconditis, but given who she’s been up against that’s not such a bad thing. Had some trouble at the break last out and went wide but still finished well. Donatienne was another that had trouble at the start last out. Has a nice second at SAR last year. Saratoga by Design cuts back a sixteenth after showing good speed.

Race 6      1A-5-6

Moneyinyour Pocket looked bad before his last race but before that had a nice victory. Shouldn’t have any trouble with the distance. Mr. Palmer was claimed last out by Servis and he is 40% with his claims. Locker Room Guy has been devastating at FL and should compete well in this group.

Race 7      10-8-4

Ramble gets a positive switch to Johnny V and drops down in search of a win. Outer Orbit is 2 of 3 at the distance and 1 for 1 at SAR. Jewelisa is also 2 of 3 at the distance with a second at SAR.

Race 8      7-4-2

Conquest Superstep ran well on the turf last out but is probably superior on the dirt. Has good figures from SA and DMR. Building Permit goes for Brown/Castellano. Has been running consistent figures. Prize Take rarely runs a bad one although she has been struggling to find the winner’s circle.

Race 9      4-1-5

Sentiero Italia duels again with Strict Compliance and the last time they met it was a Grade 1 that they dead heated in. Different running styles so it may depend on how the surface is playing. Consumer Credit is the third horse coming out of the Belmont Oaks and she’s been competitive in G1’s all year. Should appreciate the distance cutback.

Race 10   2-4-7

Sauvignon has been improving and has the fastest last race number. Esther the Queen showed good interest last time on the turf and should improve today. Congress Park ran well first out in 2015 and gets Castellano back for this trip.

Just the numbers today racing fans. Back with comments on Friday.

Race 2      1-5-4

Race 3      1-2-7

Race 4      2-1-6

Race 5      4-3-5

Race 6      6-8-3-4

Race 7      3-5-6

Race 8      8-2-4-10

Race 9      3-1-8

Race 10

I liked this race as a puzzle to solve.

New York Victory has two sprints at PARX for slightly less than today’s price. He was claimed last out by Michael Pino, a 22% trainer. His rider, Andry Blanco, is a 17% guy, so not a complete throwout. The horse has a race at BEL when the competent Patricia Farro was training, and he ran an even 4th. He’s 20-1 on the ML, and I don’t think he’s without a chance.

Ganso is another interesting longshot. He ran a complete clunker on the turf, came back at a mile and was actually right there for six furlongs. He has a really nice work in July, but it is a little bothersome he doesn’t show any other activity. Still, he’s getting better with experience, has speed, which is always dangerous, and has exception dirt sprint breeding.

Bird Humor doesn’t quite have the figures of a few others, but he takes the blinkers off, has shown speed and gets an interesting switch to Rosario. Some things to like.

Nicholson is another interesting longshot. I don’t like that he has nine starts, but his last three starts were on wet tracks, and despite having a high wet track rating, he seemed to despise the going. Those races were also straight maidens. Before that he had a race at SAR and finished second by a head in a time that would blow this field away. He’s very hidden and has a much bigger chance than his 15-1 ML would suggest.

Leflore County is one of the obvious horses. He has two pretty good figures in his last two, and if you throw out the turf race, he’s running consistently. He was gelded since his last, is dropping from MSW and seems to be one of the presser possibilities.

Ettaman was also gelded since his last and puts the blinkers on. If it was anyone other than Joe Sharp who claimed him last out, and a lesser jockey than Castellano riding him, I probably woudn’t give him much of a look.

Call Daddy has a lot of starts, and that’s usually a negative for me, but he was claimed last out by Gullo and has competitive figures. On paper he’s likely to get bet.

Green Gold only has two starts for Wesley Ward, and drops from MSW to this claiming price. Has shown speed and has a good series of works at KEE. 12-1 and wouldn’t be a big surprise.

I made a case for 8 horses. Good luck on this one.

Race 2      4-5-6

Winning for Sarah ships in from Parx for Patricia Farro. She has a two race winning streak and has won 3 of her last 4. Price level should be no problem. Benny’s Bullet should be contensting the early pace. Better on the dirt. Sun and Moon moves back to the dirt where she’s got a good record.. She’s got a second at SAR.

Race 3      4-7-2

Stone Supplier has a strong workout pattern and Levine is 19% with first timers. Lady Daphne goes for Brown/Castellano. She’s dropping out of MSW into the claiming ranks.  Claddagh’s Button improved when dropped to the claiming level.

Race 4      2-4-1

Alex the Terror is dropping from a stakes race to the $40K claimer. Has run his best figures on the dirt. Whateveryouwant just won an OC $40K and has won 3 of his last 4. Sunny Puzzle and Gypsum Johnny make a good combo for Contessa and he managed to attact Castellano and Irad for the ride.

Race 5      5-1-9-3

Kentucky Road sold for ten times the stud fee and has a nice workout pattern. Tizasong goes for Graham Motion. The last work over the SAR surface was encouraging. Double Dose is the other Pletcher runner and gets the usual number one jock in Johnny V. Last work was on the turf and that makes me wonder, but otherwise the combo is hard to ignore. Big Thrill was a $410K purchase and should be given some consideration.

Race 6      9-1-10 (12)

Kensington Court seemed up against it in the allowance ranks and drops back to claimers. Pletcher is good with that move. Ready Strike is another dropping after struggling with allowance horses. Should get a good spot from the inside. Marvino has been close in his last two after breaking his maiden and although he is coming from the 10 post, he should be able to get a decent early spot. Dynamic Decision is in the mix if he draws in.

Race 7      4-8-3

Vicki’s Dancer was taken last out by DJ who is having a fairly uninspired meet. The horse has the best last race figure and is well placed for a win. Sister Sophia has a two race win streak and has the figures to compete here. Alexandrie looks like a better horse on the turf  and beat a better field in her last sprint.

Race 8      7-5-2

The marathon Birdstone is a tough race to dissect. Tacticus didn’t look bad in his last start and gets Lasix today. He’s been the distance so the 14 furlongs shouldn’t be an issue. Cary Street has been keeping company with graded stakes types and is 1 of 1 at the distance. Micromanage has been exclusively in stakes company and also has a win at the distance.

Race 9      7-6-5

Fashion Fund has had success at this level in 2015. Is 2 of 3 in the money at SAR and should have no issue with the distance. Regardez goes for Brown/Ortiz, a 28% combo. Has been a beaten favorite in her last two but was competitive in both. 3 of 4 in the money at the distance. Radiator is a likely pace presser and is decently bred for the distance.

Race 10   6-3-4

Antrim Colleen ran her best race when dropped to the claiming level and is back there today. Angel Choir drops to her lowest price. She has the best speed and the drop may put her over the top. Accord puts the blinkers on and drops to her lowest price. The last race figure says competitive.

Race 1      1-6-5

No Entiendo has a start and almost wired a field. The one post has been productive in these short sprints. New York Song goes for Violette/Ortiz. He’s got good sprint breeding and a good workout pattern. Dublinyourmoney was a $350K two year old purchase off a $6,500 stud fee. The workouts are decent, and Lynn Whiting is skilled with two year olds.

Race 2      5-6-1

Abraham goes for Mott. He hasn’t raced since January but he is 2 for 2 at SAR. Mott is decent with horses off the long layoff. Conspiracy was claimed last out by Levine who is 25% lately with first off the claim. Has good tactical speed. Indycott drops for Joe Sharp and has the figures to be a factor here.

Race 3      5-4-3

Coordinate was competitive at MSW and ran well first time with claimers. Probably at the right level. Tiz Time to Shake makes one more drop in search of a win. Much better than the 10-1 ML suggests. Tizacinch is another longshot with better prospects than his odds suggest. Good race to take a flyer.

Race 4      7-8-10

One Sided goes for Pletcher/Ortiz, a 21% combination. Just missed in his first with winners and looks well positioned today. Tiz Time to Shine gets Castellano after running strong in an ALW race. Second race of the year for him and should improve. Zabaione should be closing. He had trouble his last two starts and a clean trip should allow him to show his best stuff.

Race 5      5-10-4

Late Night Mark finally gets Lasix and a good cutback in distance. Expect better from him today. Vogner drops out of MSW into the claiming ranks and has the figures to compete here. Eye of the Moon is another dropping down after being close in his last few.

Race 6      9-4-11

Capriana blew a state-bred ALW field away last out and looks strong here. Swear By It is also 2 for 2 lifetime and should make a race of it. Graceful Gal rarely runs a bad one.

Race 7      7-10-9

Regal Minister had been racing with state-bred stakes horses and looked good when dropped to this level last out. Johnny V takes the mount. The Big Deluxe fits well at this level and has the best lifetime figure. Bass River Road has run well off the layoff and the works say ready.

Race 8      1-7-5

Amazing Anne has the most consistent figures but is going against the boys. Still, has big chances to be the winner. Possessed just won one of these at BEL but has not run on the grass yet. Has the top last race figure. If he takes to the grass he’s going to be tough to beat. Mark My Style has a third in his one try at SAR. Has been racing well of late.

Race 9      4-5-3

Splendid Gold puts the blinkers on for his second try with MCL. Has the tactical speed to get a good spot. Aussie Prayer has been knocking since dropping to the MCL ranks and looks as good as anything here. Cosmic Tale has plenty of speed and should benefit from the cutback in distance.

Lately Saratoga has been full of difficult to handicap, competitive races and today is no exception. But, here goes.

Race 1      6-7-2

Leilani’s Ticket was claimed last out by Shosberg. He gelded the horse and drops him to his lowest claiming price. He won a state-bred $25K claimer in May and that gives him the best lifetime figure. Has a third in his three SAR starts. The choice between the two speed horses Attractive Ride and Energetico was a tough one but I went with Energetico. They both have consistently shown good early speed and they may fry each other, but Energetico has shown speed against much better company and I’m betting Attractive Ride gives in first. Real Estate Rich comes off my “horses to watch” list. The comment “checked 5/16” hardly does justice to what happened to him in that race. He lost any chance down the backstretch, but he was competitive with these sorts in his races before that one.

Race 2      6-3-1

Parker Lily went for 19 times the stud fee and that was for a Pennsylvania bred. She was a beaten favorite first time out but had trouble. She gets a chance to get it right today. Thrilled (you have to wonder how that name wasn’t taken) goes for Pletcher/Velasquez and although he isn’t as strong with debut turf fillies the pairing has to be respected. Ava’s Kitten goes for Brown/Castellano and that is a pairing that is dangerous with first time turf fillies. She’s superbly bred for the turf and the distance.

Race 3      2-7-4

Animal Appeal has shown good speed and cuts back in distance. The one to catch. Hush Now also cuts back to a sprint and seems to have taken well to the turf. Worth a look at the odds. Pink Freud Live adds blinkers and Lasix and she has been very competitive lately.

Race 4      2-5-7

Hartford broke his maiden in dominating fashion and is well placed for his return and first with winners. He was a $700K purchase and there are surely big things expected from him. Silver Ride looked good in a dirt sprint his last out, catching a very nice figure. He fits well here. Fortuitous goes for RuRod. He was over his head in the Long Branch but is much better placed in this spot.

Race 5      3-9-5

Shinobi drops down from MSW to the claiming ranks and Chad Brown is almost 50% with that move. His figures are as good as any horse in the race. Whitman’s Poetry is another dropping from MSW. He gets a jockey switch to Johnny V and cuts back in distance to where he ran his best race. Banco Dinero had a good debut race in 2015 and should improve today.

Race 6      6-8-9

This race is honestly one tough puzzle. Constellation went for $800K by a sire with a $10K stud fee. The works say she’s ready. Sky My Sky has an abbreviated workout schedule but the last work sticks out. The Vapors was a $250K purchase. Cintron and Dutrow are a 31% combo.

Race 7      1-3-7

Bold Print was moved back to the dirt last out and ran a lifetime best. Looks primed for her first with winners. Sonora has been competitive in 2015 but hasn’t been able to crack the winner’s circle. Solid in the money play. Awesome News has plenty of speed  and should be the one to catch.

Race 8      4-9-11 (14)

Offering Plan broke his maiden on the SAR turf, did reasonably well in the Pilgrim, and never got into the BC Juvenile Turf after stumbling out of the gate. The 7/5 odds are not attractive, but ignore Chade Brown returnees at your peril. Rectify returns off a short layoff for Mott and the workouts say ready to roll. Boston Strong takes the blinkers off. He has been knocking and may get in today. He Has Charm is a contender if he gets in.

Race 9      4-11-1-12

Empire Dreams is the longshot play of the day. He comes of of state-bred stakes and has a solid second at SAR. 11 of 14 in the money lifetime. Also has the best last race figure.  Better than 20-1 ML. Mylute was overmatched in the Suburban but prior to that had figures that put him right in the mix. Bay of Plenty just lost to Honor Code who looks like the best of the handicap division. He was second in the Discovery last year so has the ability to go well at the distance and the level. Matrooh should get a good position even out of the 12 and is looking for two in a row at the same level.

Race 10   3-12-1

There is almost no horse without a chance in this race. Tapitry has been patiently handled by McGaughey and should run her top today. Greywalls just missed in her first with winners and has the fastest last race figure. Unbridled Sonya looked good with stakes horses on a yielding surface and should catch a firm turf today. That may allow her to ration her speed to the wire.

Race 11   11-7-1

Move Over Cuzco wired a OC $75K field and didn’t embarass himself in a stakes next out. Has the speed to get into it from the outside. Lawn Ranger is newly gelded and makes his 2015 debut at a distance where he’s already had a win. Drops out of graded stakes where he ran respectably. Watchyourownbobber and Crown the Kitten both look good in this spot.

Since I will be at the HBPA meeting this weekend, I will not have time to work on selections for Saratoga on Saturday. I apologize for any inconvenience this causes.

Selections will be back on Sunday.

Race 2      3-5-1

Star of the Forest has been racing well in 2015 and has the best last race figure. Bounty Pink has been a winner 6 of 15 starts. Was taken last out by Danny Gargan who is 21% first off the claim. Lotsa Noodles is 1 for 1 at SAR and 2 of 3 at the distance.

Race 3      11-9-4-1

Call Me Stoney was gelded since his last and drops from MSW to claimers. Should be all the speed here and the one to catch. Afleet’s Edge has run two competitive figures in a row. Sandy Strikes is the interesting horse. He broke awkwardly, took a bad step and never did much in his maiden race. He was given some backing in that race and was sired by the very productive Say Florida Sandy. Louie’s Luck has a figure that would compete in this group.

Race 4      5-1-7

Magsamelia raced well in a start over the SAR turf. Should be the one to catch. Sunrise Kitty is accomplished at the distance and has the best lifetime figure. Claiming Victory is a veteran at the distance. Not often I’ll say Bravo might be a rider upgrade.

Race 5      2-8-5

Igotthediscoinme is well bred for the distance even though he shows no races at 1 1/8. He has a race at the Spa and really isn’t up against much here. Unbridledcharacter takes a price drop and is another well bred for the distance. Dutrow has not been strong with new arrivals in his barn though. Pioneer of Wifi was claimed last out by a low profile outfit. He’s a bit of a stretch but I think at 20-1 he has some outs.

Race 6      4-7-2

Messi ran a new top last out despite a stumble at the start. Motion seems to have found the answer for this one. Reflecting is not a solid win type, but he hasn’t run a bad one in a while. Certainly has the figures to be a factor. Montclair just missed in a stake at DEL and was well enough thought of in Europe to be running in Group races. Another who improved with the trip to America.

Race 7      1-6-2-12

Honestly I marked six horses for consideration and I’m not sure I got all the contenders! Fine Instincts drops into the MCL ranks after coming close in three tries at three different tracks. Gets the nod for the Pletcher/Castellano connection. Miss Mizzen Silver looked good first time out and Maker is strong in all the relevant statistical categories. Thebeatofthestreet lost last year to Lady Eli (so did every other horse that tried her) and comes back for A+ filly turf trainer Chad Brown. Can’t ignore this one. Lana’s Fortune has been coming close and adds blinkers today. Perhaps that makes the difference.

Race 8      1-5-6

To Be Determined is by far the fastest and is making a big drop after her win. Head scratching move from Wesley Ward. Know It All Anna goes for Maker/Castellano, a 28% combo. Another one making a steep drop, but at least this is her first start of 2015. She has a win at SAR. Grandpa’s Princess actually makes the sensible drop in price and picks up Johnny V for the trip.

Race 9      5-7-4

This is another race where I had a hard time throwing runners out. I finally settled on Ready For Rye. He dominated a field when moved to the turf and dropped in price but has experience with graded runners. If he runs to his last he’ll be hard to beat. Cyclogenesis broke his maiden at SAR and won his next two stakes races. He was overmatched at Royal Ascot but fits this group well. Zandar ran a big one last out and at 12-1 he’s worth giving a second look.

Race 10   4-1-5

Gursky didn’t thrive on the turf last out. He fits the distance and is dropping from MSW into the claiming ranks. U.S.S. Boxer also drops from the MSW ranks. He’s well bred for the distance and is decently bred for the dirt. Maker/Castellano tops a lot of the statistical categories, including MSW to MCL, 2nd start, and layoff. Shadow Rider was gelded since his last out and adds blinkers. Is probably better meant on the dirt.

This looks like a very difficult day from my perspective.

Race 2      1A-4-2

Wealth to Me is dropping through the floor and if he runs he looks much the best. His stablemate Bambisfrostyracer doesn’t look bad and if DJ scratches the 1A he has some outs. Playing a Joke likes to win, is one for one at the distance. The last time he was at this price he won. Should be a stretch factor. Chairman Now is 2 for 3 at SAR and and 4 of 6 at the distance.

Race 3      2-3-4

Wind Warning drops from MSW and only has two previous starts. He adds blinkers today and the best last race figure. River Knight has plenty of speed and has been getting better with each 2015 start. Longisland Express is another dropper from MSW. Sooner or later Ray Handal has to get win number two.

Race 4      2-3-4

Super Psyche goes third time for Mott who is notoriously slow to develop horses. He gets first Lasix and improved substantially second time out. Chief of State is 4 of 6 in the money  but is having trouble getting to the winners circle. Send It In goes for Pletcher/Castellano  and is well bred for the distance.

Race 5      8-2-6

Eighty Three looked good first time on the turf. Drops from MSW to NW2L claimers and has been gelded since his last start. Triple Play has been racing at lesser venues, but has the numbers to compete here. One Eyed Ray has also been gelded since his last race and has the best last race figure.

Race 6      9-5-11-1

McIlroy just missed at a slightly higher level three back. Fits this group much better than his previous 2015 starts. Abtaal has been consistent in 2015 and drops here in search of the win. Figures say he is competitive here. Upgrade was taken last out by Klesaris. Should be coming hard in the stretch. Honor the Kitten finished third in a stakes last out. Goes for the powerful Maker/Castellano combo and is 3 of 7 at the distance.

Race 7      7-6-5

Sanctifica is the fastest in the race and is improving. Bird Sense ran well at 7F two months ago at CD and has been working well at SAR. Prospector’s Moon had trouble at the start last out but still showed good interest. With a clean break he’s a threat at what may be a price.

Race 8      4-9-3-5

Granny Mc’s Kitten cuts back to a mile and a sixteenth, She’s  2 for 4 at the Spa and 3 of 7 at the distance. Water Hole fits better at this level and distance. Her last race was by far her best and if she repeats the figure she’s got big outs. Speed Seeker has been in two G3’s in his last three races and ran well. Gets Johnny V for this trip. Patsy’s Holiday has been running in restricted stakes and has figures to compete with anyone.

Race 9      5-3-7-9

Unbridled Forever is ran decently in her two SAR G1 starts last year and is certainly the class of the field. With another year of development she could be very tough here. Stonetastic destroyed a field in the Prioress at SAR last year and has been working well at SAR. Still needs to prove herself at the distance. Expression is 7 of 8 in the money the last two years and is competitive at this level. You Bought Her ships from PRM and looks to be in top shape.

Race 10   11-6-10

Who’s Z Daddy was claimed from the Zayat’s for $50K in May and Jacobson immediately dropped him to $16K. He returns at the same price and has the best last race figure. Aleander comes off a break after being gelded. Drops in price and looks to be thriving in Gullo’s care. Pin and Win gets a switch back to Castellano who finished second with him at this level at BEL in May. Should be more competitive today.