All posts by richhalvey

Belmont October 1

Race 1

Dirt

  • 10  Bonus Points

  • 9  Altito

  • 5  Kahramani

Race 2

  • 9  Louisiana Lady

  • 4  Divine Cause

  • 2  Corey Q

  • Secondary (8)

Race 3

  • 1  Oxford Circus

  • 6  Gotta Curlin

  • 2  Capitaine

  • Secondary (4, 5)

Race 4

Dirt

  • 7  Dreamsdocometrue

  • 8  Sail Ahoy

  • 1  Gentrify

  • Secondary (6)

Race 5

  • 6  Bustin It

  • 7  Just Afleet

  • 1  We Did

  • Secondary (3, 4, 5)

Race 6

  • 4  Flintshire

  • Secondary (2, 3)

Race 7

  • 4  Paulasilverlining

  • 6  Wavell Avenue

  • 7  Wonder Gal

Race 8

  • 6  Oscar Performance

  • 3  Bird’s Eye View

  • 2  J.S. Choice

  • Secondary (5, 8, 9)

Race 9

  • 6  X Y Jet

  • 3  Joking

  • 2  Holy Boss

  • Secondary (7)

Race 10

  • 2  Forever Unbridled

  • 7  Off the Tracks

  • 4  Penwith

  • Secondary (5, 6)

Race 11

  • 4  Jo’s Bold Cat

  • 5  It Must Be Nice

  • 7  Rule Number One

  • Secondary (6)

Belmont September 30

Picks are for a fast track and firm turf.

Race 1

  • 2  Kohlase

  • 7  Bermuda Triangle

  • 4  Play Big

  • Secondary (1, 5)

Race 2

  • 4  Undertherain

  • 8  Likeagirl

  • 9  Madison Blues

  • 1  Lady Lcuky

  • Secondary (2, 3)

Race 3

  • 1  Governor Malibu

  • 5  Taoiseach

  • 3  Clifton Pleasure

  • Secondary (2)

Race 4

  • 8  My Fair Lily

  • 4  True Pleasure

  • 7  Well Blessed

  • Secondary (6)

  • MTO Beverly Mine is a contender if the race goes off the turf

Race 5

  • 2  Big Mara

  • 6  Young Anna Lee

  • 4  Unrepented

Race 6

  • 7  Mo Promise

  • 8  Emiliana’s Hope

  • 4  Tizzy Fit

Race 7

  • 2  Linda Mimi

  • 4  Piccolo Flats

  • 5  Carameaway

  • Secondary (3, 6)

Race 8

  • 2  Asset Inflation

  • 7  Summer Breezing

  • 5  Whiskey Seven

  • Secondary (1, 4, 10)

Race 9

  • 7 Catapult Jack

  • 1  Playthatfunnymusic

  • 10  Great Skelig

  • Secondary (2, 8)

Belmont September 29

What a great day I had on Wednesday. One of my top three choices would have won all nine races had I not made a publishing error in Race 6. Even so, I had the early P4, the P5, some big P3’s and plenty of nice win mutuels. Let’s look for the same success today.

Race 1

  • 2  Zoo Yorker

  • 3  Ghareeb

  • 6  Tree Shaker

  • Secondary (5)

Race 2

  • 5  Indian Starlight

  • 1  Littlemissperfect

  • 2  Reversiontothemean

  • Secondary (4)

Race 3

  • 5  Kraken Glacken

  • 3  Congratulations

  • 8  Salty Slew

  • Secondary (4)

Race 4

  • 1  Carnevale

  • 7  Frozen Hannah

  • 5  Hold Me Down

  • Secondary (3)

Race 5

  • 8  Enduring Warrior

  • 6  Mr. Euro

  • 1  After Hours

  • Secondary (2, 5)

Race 6

  • 10  Otto

  • 7  Mr. Neetie

  • 1  Arch Contender

  • Secondary (5, 6)

Race 7

  • 5  Tizanillusion

  • 3  Ortiga

  • 4  Ellenvelyn

  • Secondary (4)

Race 8

  • 4  Coniah

  • 5  My Savannah Belle

  • 1  Know It All Anna

  • Secondary (3)

Race 9

  • 6  Hotfoot

  • 5  Mr Grey

  • 3  Colfear

  • Secondary (8)

Belmont September 28

Race 1

  • 8  Hamptons Holiday

  • 1/1A  Shade Seeker/Can You Diggit

  • 4  Control Group

Race 2

  • 4  Idiosyncratic

  • 2  Veya

  • 1  Mav

Race 3

  • 5  Talkin Til Midnight

  • 6  Cash Considerations

  • 1/1A  Town Fair/Preying Mantis

Race 4

  • 5  Virga

  • 2  Canarsie Kid

  • 6  Cuckoo’s Selection

  • Secondary (11)

Race 5

  • 6  Intensity

  • 1/1A Mighty Mo/Site Read

  • 3  Toughest ‘Ombre

  • Secondary (4, 9)

Race 6

  • 7  Sunset District

  • 9  Xaverian

  • 2  Frogman Mel

  • Secondary (4, 5, 6)

Race 7

  • 7  E Warfare

  • 1  B Three

  • 8  Ginned Up

  • Secondary (5)

Race 8

  • 1/1A  Tahoe Tigress/Katniss the Victor

  • 8  Highway Star

  • 7  Conquest Superstep

  • Secondary (1, 5)

Race 9

  • 8  Tailoredforsuccess

  • 1  Conquest Lucknlove

  • 4  Tiz Paradise

  • Secondary (3, 6)

Belmont September 25

Race 1.  Not much of a race here. Starr Bear will go favorite in this race off the strength of her turf start at SAR. That gave her a figure well above any of the other horses that have started and that may be enough to propel her to victory. Sunday Gravy makes her fourth lifetime start and she improved in her last run. She adds blinkers today. Honor Way goes for Pletcher and Castellano. She ran well in her last, a maiden claimer, and steps up to MSW today. Primary 2-1A-4

Race 2.  This race looks wide open to me. Inventor’s Gate is listed at 12-1 on the ML but he’s been racing against better quality horses and producing good figures. Should be running at the front and has the ability to be strong in the stretch. Son of Oahu took a while to break his maiden but jumped up in price and ran well. I like the improvement and he appears to be in top shape. Steamboat Bill had a bit of a tough time getting out of the gate last out and actually had the lead in the stretch before getting run down. Certainly fits with this group. Primary 2-6-3  Secondary (1, 4, 7)

Race 3.  I’m Amazing has had two tough loses in a row, took a little over two months off, and comes back off a nice series of works. Winning Road makes his 2016 debut today. His figure from last year comes close to topping the field, and with a year of growth he could come back even better. May be the value. Tale of Mist has the best figures in the field, but is making his tenth start looking to break his maiden. Not an impossible task but at the odds not that exciting. Primary 2-6-1  Secondary (4)

Race 4.  Three Perfections was outfinished last race but that was only his second start. Should be able to better dictate his pace in this race and at 10-1 he’s as good as anything in the race.  Ballagh Rocks has been close in his last three and today could be the breakthrough day. T R Crew has been in the money in each of his last four and should appreciate the slight cutback in distance.  Primary 8-9-4  Secondary 2, 6)

Race 5.  Marble Falls should be the one to catch here. He makes a pretty good drop in price and the last time he was this low and this distance he was a winner. Good ML odds. You Know I Know won easily at this level and distance at SAR, came back at a slightly higher price and put in a good performance, and drops back in price today. Figures say he is a major contender. Attractive Ride has been knocking around at the level for a while. Veteran campaigner knows how to win and is worth a look as a price possibility.  Primary 10-7-1  Secondary (4, 5, 11)

Race 6.  Orecchiette had some issues at the start but nearly broke his maiden at first asking. Should have no issue with the added half furlong. Bellavais adds Lasix today after nearly winning his debut race. Fly Swift makes his third start for Clement and is a major contender with a clean trip. Primary 2-10-3  Secondary (5, 7, 8, 12)

Race 7.  This is a very difficult race and there are a lot of horses that you can make a case for. I’m going to start with Securitiz. He’s coming off a nice second place finish at this level. Last time he was at this distance he was a winner. Slim Shadey was claimed two back by Mitchell Friedman and finished second at this level for him. Irad Ortiz helps the cause. English Minister has trouble getting to the winner’s circle but always seems to be close at the finish. Good prospect in the verticals. Primary 10-9-6  Secondary (1, 2, 5, 7, 11)

Race 8.  This edition of the John Hertinger is very competitive. Fourstar Crook has a five race winning streak and that makes her tough to pick against. This may be her toughest test yet so I’ll make her a tepid favorite. Flipcup was entered yesterday but passed in favor of this spot. She was second to the top choice last out and could reverse the tables today, Old Harbor easily won a stakes at DEL last out. Could have done better in the Yaddo but the track was yielding that day. Has outs at good odds. Primary 2-3-5  Secondary (6, 7)

Race 9.  Kitty Madness gets a positive jockey switch to Irad and at the odds looks like the potential value.  Tiz Twice should be the speed in the field and has shown finish at the distance. Tepid choice for me. Belle Postiere ran well in her first in NA but didn’t show well in her second because of a troubled start. If she runs to her top figure she will be tough to keep out.  Primary 4-7-8  Secondary (6, 10)

Belmont September 24

Race 1. Wide open two year old maiden race. Win with Pride was a $450K purchase and has the top connections of Pletcher/Velasquez. Big Handsome has a series of bullet works and may be the speed here. Tale of Silence has one start where he showed good speed after getting bumped at the break. Could be a threat with a clean trip.  Primary 5-1-4

Race 2.  Lots of changes for That Makes Sense since his last at SAR He’s been gelded, switched trainers to Carlos Martin and adds blinkers today. Cuts back in distance and has a speedy 4F workout in prep for this. Howie’s Tiz has two seconds in five starts at BEL and has been knocking around at the NW2L level for a while. Tepid second choice. Glennevan goes first time with winners off a sharp maiden win. DJ seems to have turned him around. Primary 8-7-5  Secondary (4, 9)

Race 3.  Another open affair. Speith closed very well after steadying at the start. McLaughlin is strong with second start maidens. Mo Town has a strong second and a series of nice workouts . Was well backed as a favorite first time out and has the top last race figure. Your Secret’s Safe finished behind the second choice last out but Chad Brown is a stout 26% with second time maidens.  Primary 5-4-6  Secondary (2, 3)

Race 4. This race looks like the West Point all over again, except at another sixteenth of a mile. King Kreesa and Kharafa have both successfully negotiated the distance and they finished within a nose of each other last time. Offering Plan and Tapitation were within half a length of the top two last out, but neither shows a success at the distance. However, they both like the BEL turf.  Hard to settle on any other horse.  Primary 3-4-5-6

Race 5.  I think you could make a case for any horse in this race. Hammers Vision raced well in the Better Talk Now in his latest and was within a length in the G3 Pennine Ridge. Figures look strong and Johnny V stays for the ride. Cadeyrn finally broke through at the NW1X level and steps up to the NW2X level. I like how he’s run with the change to Saez. Story to Tell has been in the money in five of his last six races and Irad Ortiz gets back in the saddle.  Primary 3-6-5  Secondary (1, 2, 4)

Race 6. Euros to Dollars ran two good races at SAR on the turf and looks to transfer that form to BEL. Looks like the one to catch. Mambo at the Gym adds blinkers today after being claimed last out by Mike Maker. Seems to have trouble cracking the winners circle but lately has been consistent in the money. Altar Boy looks better suited to the 7F distance of today’s race after running evenly in the middle of the pack last out. Last win was at this distance on this track.  Primary 1-3-9  Secondary (7, 8)

Race 7. Zennor is 2 of 2 in the money at BEL and gets a much better post position today. Only his third start of 2016  and should be looked to steal the race up front. Tizzarunner has been racing with much better lately and should be one of the ones coming in the stretch. Sadler’s Joy just broke his maiden at a long distance and is beautifully bred for these long affairs. May need to be a little closer if he expects to use his late speed effectively.  Primary 1-5-9  Secondary (2, 4, 7, 10)

Race 8.  The edition of the Nobel Damsel brings together a fair field of fillies and mares. Mrs McDougal has been running a steady diet of Graded races including decent runs in the Diana and the Just A Game. Should find this group more to her liking. Stormy Victoria has been running well in lesser stakes since coming to North America. Big figure in her last and if she duplicates it she’ll be the danger. Bureau de Change has been knocking with Graded types all year with only modest success but catches a fair group today. At 10-1 ML she is worth a look.  Primary 5-7-2  Secondary (6, 8)

Race 9.  Wireless Future was running in graded races earlier this year and has been claimed out of him last two when dropped to $40K. has shown decent speed in routes and cuts back to 6F today. Lots of positives including a drop in price and a switch to Lezcano. Speeding Comet is another making a substantial drop in price. He’s 7 of 8 in the money at BEL and should be in a nice pressing spot. Rapscallion is another that likes the BEL turf. Last time he was at this level he was a winner.  Primary 8-5-1  Secondary (7, 9)

Race 10.  This race is wide open as far as I am concerned. Palladian Bridge is making her third lifetime start. She dropped to this level lat out and ran an improved race. Takes the blinkers off today. Sea Pebble has eight starts and four place finishes. Looks to be solid in the verticals. Flying K C just missed when dropped to the sprint distance last time. She’s another that has a lot of in the money finishes but won’t seem to win. Perhaps her last showed an interest in winning.  Primary 2-6-11  Secondary (7)

Belmont September 18

Race 1.  Match Up is not 7/5 as far as I am concerned, but being claimed by Danny Gargan is a positive. Best figures but not by much. Switch to Castellano is a positive. Chubby Master was claimed last out by DJ and returns at the same level. Figures tab him as a contender. I’mbetterthangood was dynamite earlier in the year but seems to have cooled off a bit based on his SAR races. However, he cuts back to the mile and gets a positive switch to Franco. Primary 7-5-2  Secondary (4)

Race 2.  Bright Side Up has good speed and gets blinkers today. Figures say he is competitive and the cutback in distance can’t hurt. Princessofthieves looks for her maiden win in her 10th start. She’s been close in a number of her races and should be in a good position at the top of the stretch. Quanique missed breaking her maiden by a nose last out and was claimed by Brad Cox who is 24% first off the claim. Has run well at BEL.  Primary 4-5-7  Secondary (8)

Race 3.  Pawley’s Express broke her maiden impressively at BEL and came right back at today’s level and missed by a length. Looks good today. Ring Knocker was claimed last out by David Cannizzo and is moving up today. Last race number says he fits in this group. Primary 5-2  Secondary (1, 4, 6)

Race 4.  Strong has to overcome the outside post but he’s been competitive with better recently. Second last race gives him the top figure. Montauk Man switched trainers since his last and makes a drop looking for a win. Last two races were troubled and with a clean break and trip he’s in the mix. Geo Niko jumps up off a win on the dirt. He seems a little more viable on the turf. Primary 12-6-11  Secondary (2, 9)

Race 5.  Electrified has three strong races coming into this one and sticks out in this field. Bea Bea ran decently when dropped to this level last out. Should improve in this field. Congarees Key drops out of MSW to the claiming level. Needs to get out of the gate to be a factor today.  Primary 6-11-4  Secondary (14)

Race 6.  Fear No Evil has the speed to play catch me if you can and gets first Lasix today. 10-1 ML is way off in my opinion. In It For the Gold makes her third start for RuRod today. She ran two good races in her first two and owns the top last race figure. Yorkiepoo Princess ran well in her first start at SAR and adds blinkers today. Better post to run from today. Primary 2-3-6  Secondary (10)

Race 7.  Hey Jabber Jaw has run well at FL and looks to transfer his form to BEL. Plenty of speed and the top figures. Los Borrachos has had trouble getting to the winners circle but is in the money in half his starts. Steve’s Image has been competitive in his last two and adds shades today.  Primary 4-1A-5 (2, 3)

Race 8.  Quinta Verde comes off a long layoff but with Chad Brown in her corner she should be ready to run. She’s Group 3 placed in Europe and won her stateside debut at KEE. Mighty Souper has two thirds in her two 2016 races and has the top figure. Havana Moon has had some trouble finding the winners circle, but has been reliably in the money in her career. Primary 7-4-6  Secondary (1, 5)

Race 9.  Wide open race. Run With Bulls won his last, moved barns and jumps up slightly in price. Blame Jim goes second off the claim for RuRod. Has been with better in the recent past and if he runs to his best he’s a contender. Frazil has a great record at BEL and fits well with this group.  Primary 2-8-4  Secondary (5, 10)

Belmont September 17

Race 1.  While Midnight Hawk has strong figures, I tend to want to give the West Coast horses that DJ has picked up a look to see how they adapt to Big Sandy. I’m looking at Lucky Lotto who is three of three in the money at BEL and has been dropping down the price ladder looking for a win. He showed well in his last and the final drop could be enough for him to get the win. Primary 4-5-1  Secondary (6)

Race 2.  Foglio was off slow in his debut but closed very well to miss by a length. Have to make him the choice, but there are a lot of unknowns here. First timers Heaven is Waiting goes for Chad Brown who is very strong first on the turf. Arch of the Diver goes second time for Albertan and he is stronger second time out. Primary 1-2-5  Secondary (7)

Race 3. Dad’z Laugh makes it three in a row where the favorite looks toughest. Chelios steps up a bit coming off a nice win for Chris Engelhart. Storm Pursuit has a lot of speed and I like his chances to be a part here. Primary 2-5-7  Secondary (3, 4)

Race 4.  Ascend hasn’t run a bad race in a year and is still in good form. Almanaar goes first time in NA for Chad Brown who is a solid 26% with Euro shippers. Infinite Wisdom ran decently in the Oceanport but is 2 for 2 racing at BEL. Primary 1-3-5  Secondary (2, 4, 7)

Race 5.  Avail Ekati was a half million dollar purchase off a $15K stud fee. I like the workout pattern. Hammerin Aamer never had a chance last out and adds blinkers today. Dupree also had a troubled start but still gave a good effort last out.  Primary 6-8-3  Secondary (1)

Race 6.  Crowd Funding showed a different dimension last out and appears to have rounded into top shape. At 10-1 ML he’s worth a look. Stormin Stephen has done well at the distance and at BEL and should be close up early. Timbar ships over from MTH where he ran a sharp sprint. Step up in price should be no issue. Primary 2-1-9  Secondary (4)

Race 7.  Lead By Example broke his maiden at BEL in July, jumped up to this level and ran well despite steadying in the lane. Rider switch to Jose Ortiz doesn’t hurt. The J Y should be setting the fractions and has the talent to be a factor with these. At 15-1 he holds some interest. Prophet’s Cat has been knocking around at this level for ages. Not likely a winner but good prospects in the verticals.  Primary 8-4-1  Secondary (5)

Race 8.  Jet Black has done well since breaking his maiden at BEL. He was ambitiously placed in the Albany, showed some speed but couldn’t sustain a run with the runners at that level. Seems better suited for the middle distances. The jet exacta could very well be Get Jets who comes off a long layoff for Tony Durrow. He won first time out so he’s show he can fire off the rest. Positive workout patter and Castellano in the saddle is a plus. Testosterstone has run well at BEL previously and is having a good 2016. He’s got outs at 12-1.  Primary  2-9-1  Secondary (10)

Race 9. I had a hard time eliminating any horse from the race. Elysea’s World ran a nice second in the Lake George and lost all chance in the Lake Placid when she stumbled badly at the start. With a clean trip I like her chances. Diamond Fields ran well to be second in the Lake Placid and seems to be on the improve. Galileo’s Song was coming well in a G3 at MTH and hasn’t run a bad race lifetime. She has two wins in three tries at BEL.  Primary 6-2-1  Secondary (3, 4, 5, 7)

Race 10.  Bushmill Giant came close to breaking his maiden in July at BEL and seems to be working well after the freshening. Dot Matrix threw in a clunker on a race taken off the turf but prior to that had been running close up in turf races at today’s distance. Leaveematthegate is another who didn’t thrive on the dirt but looks better on the turf. Switch back to Ortiz is a positive. Primary 7-4-5  Secondary (6)

Belmont September 16

Race 1.  Redneck Gold starts as the ML favorite, but I’m not quite as taken with her as the linemaker was. I’m more inclined to look at Stella Who. She broke her maiden at AQU and jumped up to an OC $50K next out, laid off for three months, came back on the turf and lost her jockey out of the gate. This is her lowest price by far, and her figures say she is competitive. (Note: in the event of a scratch, Prove It All Night should still be considered.) Spun Cooper showed some speed at SAR after shipping from Maryland. She was grabbed out of that race by Abby Adsit who is ok first off the claim. She was consistent in Maryland and came close to her top number at the Spa.  Primary 1A-2-5  Secondary (6)

Race 2.  Hidden Vow stays at the $25K level after running a decent race at SAR last out. Positive jockey switch to Irad Ortiz. Powerful Impact makes a significant drop from OC$40K to this level. Winning rider Jose Ortiz gets back aboard for this trip. Mobridge has a good record on the BEL turf and has competitive figures. Primary 1A-4-6 Secondary (3)

Race 3.  Nothing tricky here. I took Clear the Mine over Juan and Bina mainly because of the 1 for 20 record on the part of the latter. Vulcan’s Forge ran well in an off the turf affair last out and I like that Fletcher gives him another shot on the dirt today. Primary 4-2-6  Secondary (5)

Race 4.  A number of legitimate contenders here. Ross Boss showed a lot of speed in a MSW in January at AQU and switches trainers to Peter Pugh. The drop in price should allow him to carry his speed farther. He gets first Lasix for this run. Massena was grabbed last out by John Toscano and takes a slight drop for this run. The two races at BEL gave him very competitive figures. Buckwellspent gets a good switch to Jose Ortiz and really upped his game with a couple of seconds at SAR. Primary 4-5-1  Secondary (6, 7, 9)

Race 5.  This looks like it could be an all race if you’re looking at the horizontals. Mewannarose ran well at SAR and has a win at BEL. Takes a big tumble in price, which with DJ is not a negative move. Royal Saint was claimed last out by Mike Miceli. The horse has a win and a second in two starts at BEL. Saratoga Wildcat comes off a win at SAR (naturally) and was claimed by Danny Gargan. Gargan is still a high percentage trainer first off the claim.  Primary 1-3-5  Secondary  (4)

Race 6. Always a chance for something strange in a two year old maiden race. Harlan’s Hunch ran a good race at BEL before finishing out of the money at SAR. Top figure in this race. Forge goes for Chad Brown who does very well dirt to turf. Should be the one to catch here. Toshiro gets fist Lasix after just missing in a 5.5F race on the SAR turf. Another one that should be close up early. Primary 1-8-11  Secondary (2, 6)

Race 7.  Ametrine takes a big tumble in price today and gets a nice switch to Johnny V. Figures suggest she should be best in this race. Ortiga has run well but has struggled to get back to the winners circle. Off her best race she’s a danger. It’s Two Hot Benny could be the speed here and may be hard to catch.  Primary 3-7-5  Secondary (4, 6)

Race 8.  Green Mask comes off a close second in a G2 and another close second in the Troy at Sar. Figures say 3/5 odds might be warranted. Dowse’s Beach has a good record at BEL and seems to be finally putting it all together. Life in Shambles is riding a three race win streak and while his best figures are on the dirt, he’s shown an ability to negotiate the turf. Primary 1-2-6

Race 9.  Smart Alex almost made her turf debut a winning one and winds up with the best last race figure. Queenofthechannel takes the blinkers off today. She was competitive against better before dropping to this level. Diamonds for Leah almost won an MSW, dropped to $75K and didn’t do much, and takes another drop to $40K today. Off her best she’s definitely competitive.  Primary 7-11-10  Secondary (3, 12)